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苏博特(603916):需求逐步企稳,价格环比改善
HTSC· 2025-10-29 08:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported Q3 revenue of 904 million RMB, a year-over-year decrease of 0.92% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 8.82%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 30.87 million RMB, showing a year-over-year increase of 21.94% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 20.67%, slightly below previous expectations due to rigid expense performance and declining revenue [1][6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a cumulative revenue of 2.577 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 4.10%, and a net profit of 94.12 million RMB, a year-over-year increase of 19.73% [1] - The demand is supported by key infrastructure projects in the western region, such as the "Yaxia" hydropower station, and the price of water-reducing agents improved quarter-over-quarter in Q3 [1][2] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In the first nine months of 2025, the company’s high-performance water-reducing agents, efficient water-reducing agents, and functional materials achieved sales revenues of 1.316 billion, 31 million, and 566 million RMB, respectively, with year-over-year changes of +0.9%, -13.7%, and +22.2% [2] - The average selling prices for these products showed year-over-year declines of -1.73%, -10.18%, and -10.35%, but the prices for high-performance and efficient water-reducing agents improved quarter-over-quarter by +3.6% and +7.8% [2] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 33.14%, an increase of 0.25 percentage points year-over-year, while Q3 gross profit margin was 30.15%, with year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter changes of +0.65% and -5.35% respectively [2] Expenses and Cash Flow - The company’s operating expenses increased by 5.3% year-over-year to 682 million RMB, with a period expense ratio of 26.47%, up 0.3 percentage points year-over-year [3] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 was 179 million RMB, a year-over-year decrease of 16.54% [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 164 million, 206 million, and 241 million RMB, respectively, with a three-year compound growth rate of 35.94% [4] - The target price is set at 13.44 RMB, based on a 28x PE valuation for 2026, reflecting the expected improvement in demand for construction materials due to the recovery in real estate sales [4]
苏博特(603916):重点工程拉动,核心产品放量
HTSC· 2025-08-29 04:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 13.30 [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 1.673 billion for H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.03%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 63.25 million, up 18.68% year-over-year [1][7]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of RMB 991 million, a year-over-year increase of 0.70% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 45.45%, with net profit of RMB 38.92 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 20.86% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 59.97% [1][7]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing major infrastructure projects in the western region, such as the "Yaxia" hydropower station, which will drive demand for its products [1][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 1.673 billion, with a net profit of RMB 63.25 million and a non-recurring net profit of RMB 52.96 million [1][7]. - The comprehensive gross margin for H1 2025 was 34.75%, slightly down by 0.12 percentage points year-over-year [2]. - The company’s expense ratio for H1 2025 was 27.72%, down 0.34 percentage points year-over-year, indicating improved cost absorption capabilities [3]. Product Performance - Sales of high-performance water-reducing agents and functional materials showed positive trends, with revenues of RMB 867 million and RMB 347 million respectively, reflecting year-over-year increases of 6.3% and 25.2% [2]. - The company has expanded its functional materials offerings, with significant growth in new materials, which has been well-received by customers [4]. Market Expansion - The company has intensified its efforts in the western region, achieving notable results in sectors such as hydropower, nuclear power, and railways, participating in projects like the Sichuan-Tibet Railway and the Haitaichangjiang Tunnel [4]. - The company has also expanded its overseas business, establishing subsidiaries in the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, thereby broadening its international market presence [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are RMB 164 million, RMB 206 million, and RMB 241 million respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 0.38, RMB 0.48, and RMB 0.56 [5][11]. - The target price has been adjusted to RMB 13.30, based on a 35x PE valuation for 2025, reflecting the company's strong project experience and first-mover advantage in major infrastructure projects [5].