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光库科技:武汉捷普主营业务为光学组件制造及提供子系统解决方案 与公司在光模块领域有很强的产品互补和战略协同性
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 07:45
(本文来自第一财经) 光库科技在互动平台表示,武汉捷普主营业务为光学组件制造及提供子系统解决方案,具有完整的光有 源、无源器件制造和光器件封装能力,具备优质的客户资源及供应链优势,与公司在光模块领域有很强 的产品互补和战略协同性。 ...
对AI新宠CPO颠覆担忧过度,摩根大通上调Coherent和Lumentum目标价
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-13 04:27
Core Viewpoint - The optical components industry is showing signs of recovery after a prolonged period of uncertainty, with a positive outlook on the CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) sector, particularly for leading companies like Coherent and Lumentum [1][12]. Industry Overview - CPO technology is expected to begin mass production in the second half of 2025 and reach a significant turning point in 2027, accelerating growth compared to previous optical communication technology transitions [1]. - The total power consumption of data center hardware is projected to surge from 50 GW in 2023 to 150 GW by 2029, with optical transceiver power consumption expected to increase nearly tenfold [5]. - CPO technology offers substantial performance advantages, including over 30% reduction in power consumption, doubling of port density, and significant performance improvements [8]. Market Dynamics - The market for pluggable transceivers is expected to remain dominant, growing from $11 billion in 2025 to $23 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17% [9]. - CPO is not seen as a disruptor to existing supply chains but rather as a catalyst for creating a new market, allowing current optical suppliers to maintain essential roles [12]. Profitability Insights - CPO business is anticipated to have a gross margin exceeding 50%, significantly higher than the 30% margin for traditional pluggable transceivers [13]. - By 2030, CPO is expected to account for 19% of total revenue for companies like Coherent and Lumentum, contributing 27% of gross profit [13]. Company Projections - Coherent is projected to achieve a 10% revenue growth in fiscal years 2026 and 2027, with earnings per share (EPS) reaching $5.70, surpassing market expectations [16]. - Lumentum's EPS forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been raised to $4.20 and $5.90, respectively, driven by its leadership in CPO laser technology [16]. Key Players and Developments - Major companies benefiting from the CPO supply chain include Broadcom, Nvidia, TSMC, Corning, and Fabrinet, each playing a critical role in advancing CPO technology [20]. - The CPO market is characterized by ongoing pricing pressures and potential vertical integration by customers like Cisco and Ciena, which could impact upstream suppliers [20].