Workflow
化工综合服务
icon
Search documents
三维化学(002469):炼化、煤化双轮驱动,新材料开启第二成长曲线
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-11 01:23
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [10][12]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading domestic comprehensive service provider in sulfur recovery and has developed proprietary "non-online furnace sulfur recovery technology." It is currently the largest designer and general contractor for sulfur recovery units in China. The dual benefits of resources and policies are expected to drive growth in modern coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, alongside ongoing refining transformation projects [5][7]. - The company has transitioned from an "engineering expert" to a "technology + engineering + industry" full-chain ecosystem, establishing a comprehensive chemical service provider with three synergistic segments: technology research and development, engineering services, and chemical manufacturing [7][19]. - The company is the largest producer of n-propanol in China and is expanding its new materials business, which is expected to significantly boost growth with the production of cellulose acetate and isooctanoic acid [5][9]. Summary by Sections Engineering - The company is deeply involved in the coal chemical sector, supported by national and local policies promoting the development of coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, with an estimated investment of over 800 billion yuan in the future [7][61]. - The replacement of outdated refining capacities will further drive the demand for sulfur recovery units, as new refining projects are initiated [8][10]. Chemical Sector - The company has established a comprehensive layout in the "aldehyde-alcohol-ester" chain, enhancing its industrial ecosystem. It is also a leading producer of n-butanol and isooctanol, with a flexible production model that allows for product switching based on market demand [9][24]. - The cellulose segment is expected to benefit from domestic substitution trends, with significant potential for performance elasticity [9][24]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.554 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.88%. The revenue contributions from the chemical, engineering, and catalyst segments were 70.7%, 22.1%, and 6.8%, respectively [33][34]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 360 million yuan, 420 million yuan, and 560 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15.5X, 13.3X, and 10.0X based on the closing price on August 8, 2025 [10][12].