Company and Industry Summary Company: Jindawei Key Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Jindawei reported revenue of 152 million, a year-on-year increase of 83%, with semiconductor business contributing 111 million, although gross margin declined to 27% [2][3] - For 2024, display business revenue was 553 million, a 2% decrease year-on-year, with a gross margin of 33%. Growth in 2025 is expected from 8.6 generation line testing equipment, with revenue anticipated to remain flat and gross margin improving to approximately 45% [2][5] Semiconductor Business Insights - Jindawei's semiconductor business achieved significant growth in 2024, with revenue reaching 249 million, a twofold increase, primarily driven by demand from Changxin and Peidun. The gross margin for this segment was 32.38%, up by 5.54 percentage points due to scale delivery [3] - The company expects to secure at least 1.3 billion in orders for 2025, with 60% from the semiconductor sector, translating to approximately 800 million in new orders, of which testing machine orders account for 20-30%, around 250 million [3][7] Market Potential and Growth Projections - The semiconductor industry's long-term market potential is estimated based on an annual expansion of 50,000 wafers, corresponding to a 2.5 billion market for testing equipment and probe cards. Jindawei's market share assumptions are 40% for aging equipment and probe cards, and 30% for CP and FT testing machines [4][9] - Peak revenue for the semiconductor business is projected to reach 1.6 billion, with a net margin of 30%, resulting in profits of approximately 333 to 355 million. The conservative long-term market valuation for the company could exceed 12 billion, indicating substantial growth potential [4][9] Display Business Outlook - The display business is expected to maintain revenue levels in 2025, with gross margin projected to improve to 45% as the share of 8.6 generation line revenue increases [5][7] Product Development and Market Position - Jindawei continues to enhance its market share in probe cards and aging testing equipment. The company secured bulk orders for general testing machines and has begun validation of FT testing machines at customer sites [6] - Ongoing developments include high-speed FT testing machines and upgraded CP testing instruments, with new products like SoC testing machines and NAND Flash testing systems in the pipeline, positioning the company as a potential leader in the testing machine sector [6] Stock Price Catalysts - Key factors that may catalyze the company's stock price include the impact of HBM-related tenders and listings from Changxin Technology, as well as the progress of new product validations [10]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a first-time coverage [1]. Core Views - The company, Jingzhida (688627), is positioned as a leading domestic semiconductor testing and display inspection equipment provider, benefiting from the expansion of the storage industry and advancements in display technology [8]. - The semiconductor testing segment is expected to see significant growth, particularly in the HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) testing equipment, with a projected CAGR of 100% from 2025 to 2027 [8]. - The display inspection business is also anticipated to maintain a steady growth rate of 15%-20% in orders from 2025 to 2026, solidifying the company's performance [8]. - The company has established strong customer relationships with major clients like Changxin Storage and BOE, which enhances order visibility and growth potential [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Jingzhida has developed a comprehensive product matrix covering display inspection and semiconductor storage testing equipment, establishing itself as a leader in domestic substitution with unique offerings [36]. - The company has undergone three major development phases, transitioning from display testing to semiconductor testing, and has achieved significant milestones in both areas [13][14]. 2. Financial Performance - Revenue projections indicate a growth trajectory from CNY 648.56 million in 2023 to CNY 2,600 million by 2027, with a CAGR of 44.44% [1]. - The net profit is expected to rise from CNY 115.69 million in 2023 to CNY 521.66 million by 2027, reflecting a substantial increase in profitability [1]. - The report highlights a significant improvement in gross margins, particularly with the introduction of high-end products, which are expected to exceed 40% [8]. 3. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has a strong foothold in the semiconductor testing market, having achieved full coverage of DRAM testing equipment and is actively expanding into HBM testing [8]. - The strategic collaboration with key clients and the ability to meet high-performance testing requirements positions the company favorably against international competitors [8]. - The report anticipates that the semiconductor equipment market will experience rapid growth, driven by the expansion plans of major storage manufacturers [53]. 4. Product Development and Innovation - The company is advancing its product offerings, with the first-generation CP testing machine expected to complete validation in 2025, and the second-generation machine targeting HBM applications [57][58]. - The introduction of self-developed ASIC chips enhances equipment performance and compatibility, aligning with industry standards [58]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technological advancements in maintaining competitive advantages in the rapidly evolving semiconductor market [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jingzhida, is positioned as a leading player in the domestic semiconductor testing and display inspection equipment market, benefiting significantly from the expansion wave in the storage industry and advancements in display technology [1][2]. Semiconductor Testing - The company has achieved full coverage in DRAM testing equipment, creating a synergistic ecosystem with CP/FT testing machines, aging equipment, and probe cards [1]. - The performance of HBM testing equipment is on par with international competitors, with the second generation CP testing machine (2.4 Gbps) and FT testing machine (9 Gbps) entering core customer validation [1]. - Revenue from the semiconductor business is projected to grow at a CAGR of 100% from 2025 to 2027, with gross margins expected to exceed 40% as high-end products are introduced [1][2]. Display Inspection - The company maintains a strong position in the AMOLED inspection market, ranking among the top three in domestic market share, with Module optical inspection equipment rapidly replacing overseas competitors [1]. - The company is strategically positioned in the Micro LED inspection space, with high-precision AOI equipment already introduced in leading panel manufacturers' pilot lines [1]. - The display business is expected to sustain an order growth of 15%-20% from 2025 to 2026, reinforcing the company's performance stability [1]. Customer Positioning and Order Visibility - The company has a significant advantage in customer positioning, with deep ties to major clients such as Changxin Storage and BOE, anticipating a 100% year-on-year growth in new semiconductor equipment orders by 2025 [2]. - The stable expansion of Changxin Storage's DRAM capacity by 40,000 wafers and HBM capacity by 5,000 wafers corresponds to a testing equipment demand of nearly 4 billion yuan, with the company expected to capture around 50% of this market [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1 billion, 1.8 billion, and 2.6 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 200 million, 360 million, and 520 million yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 35.2, 19.6, and 13.5 times [2]. - Using a segmented valuation method, the combined target market value for semiconductor and display businesses in 2026 is estimated at 9.54 billion yuan, indicating an upside potential of over 35% from current levels [2].