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凯伦股份(300715):检测设备转型元年,看好公司业绩估值双升空间
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-05-14 07:35
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][64]. Core Views - The company is undergoing a transformation from its traditional waterproof materials business to the display panel and semiconductor testing equipment sectors, which are expected to provide significant growth opportunities [2][13]. - The acquisition of Suzhou Jiazhi Technology is anticipated to enhance the company's performance, with a commitment to achieve a cumulative net profit of no less than 240 million yuan from 2025 to 2027 [1][51]. - The report highlights the potential for a turnaround in the company's main business after reaching a low point, alongside the expected growth in the newly acquired testing equipment business [64]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has historically focused on waterproof materials but is now shifting towards the display panel and semiconductor testing equipment markets, with a diversified shareholding structure [2][13][16]. - The company has faced challenges in its waterproof business since 2021, with a projected loss of 540 million yuan in 2024 [2][18]. Jiazhi Technology - Jiazhi Technology, established in 2017, is positioned in the second tier of the panel testing equipment market and has begun sales in semiconductor testing equipment [3][32]. - The market for panel testing equipment is expected to recover gradually, with a projected demand of 9.6 billion yuan in 2024 [39][40]. Financial Projections - The company's revenue from waterproof materials is projected to reach 2.4 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 4% [63]. - Jiazhi Technology's revenue is expected to grow significantly, reaching 511 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 34% [64][51]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the display panel testing equipment market is currently dominated by two leading companies, with Jiazhi holding approximately 6% market share [47]. - The semiconductor testing equipment segment is still in the early stages, with limited volume production expected in the short term but significant long-term potential [50].