Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the context of the mild recovery of the domestic economy and the increasing expectation of global liquidity easing, the policy resonance of the Fed's December interest - rate meeting and the Chinese Central Economic Work Conference will affect the A - share market rhythm in December and lay the foundation for the cross - year market and the investment mainline in 2026. Before the official implementation of the policies of the two meetings, funds may be more cautious, and the stock market is expected to be mainly volatile with funds preferring defensive allocations. After the meeting content is clear, the positive policy signals and the Fed's interest rate cuts may boost market risk appetite again [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IF contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next) were 4530.60, 4512.20, 4492.20, and 4441.60 respectively, with increases of 17.20, 14.20, 15.40, and 12.00 respectively, and increases of 0.38%, 0.32%, 0.34%, and 0.27% respectively. The trading volumes were 63708.00, 3708.00, 20155.00, and 5003.00 respectively, and the open interests were 136475.00, 8471.00, 90771.00, and 26187.00 respectively, with changes of - 5723.00, 505.00, 851.00, and 425.00 respectively [1] - **IH Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IH contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next) were 2968.20, 2959.80, 2958.60, and 2943.80 respectively, with increases of 13.00, 10.00, 10.80, and 10.60 respectively, and increases of 0.44%, 0.34%, 0.37%, and 0.36% respectively. The trading volumes were 27688.00, 1268.00, 8640.00, and 1677.00 respectively, and the open interests were 53262.00, 2694.00, 23841.00, and 7797.00 respectively, with changes of - 2692.00, 228.00, - 354.00, and - 202.00 respectively [1] - **IC Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IC contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next) were 6983.20, 6926.20, 6812.20, and 6605.00 respectively, with increases of 42.00, 37.80, 40.20, and 39.00 respectively, and increases of 0.61%, 0.55%, 0.59%, and 0.59% respectively. The trading volumes were 64721.00, 4034.00, 23747.00, and 7294.00 respectively, and the open interests were 123278.00, 11229.00, 76774.00, and 32908.00 respectively, with changes of - 10513.00, 789.00, 1096.00, and 52.00 respectively [1] - **IM Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices of IM contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next) were 7213.40, 7137.20, 6987.80, and 6748.20 respectively, with increases of 28.00, 23.20, 26.60, and 27.40 respectively, and increases of 0.39%, 0.33%, 0.38%, and 0.41% respectively. The trading volumes were 116454.00, 7618.00, 35706.00, and 12279.00 respectively, and the open interests were 181088.00, 17229.00, 102333.00, and 56566.00 respectively, with changes of - 11986.00, 1137.00, - 1707.00, and - 1212.00 respectively [1] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The current inter - month spreads of IF (next month - current month), IH (next month - current month), IC (next month - current month), and IM (next month - current month) were - 18.40, - 8.40, - 57.00, and - 76.20 respectively, compared with the previous values of - 16.00, - 6.60, - 56.60, and - 74.20 respectively [1] 2. Stock Index Spot Market - **CSI 300 Index**: The previous value was 4546.57, with an increase of 0.34%. The trading volume was 147.20 billion lots, and the total trading amount was 3487.67 billion yuan [1] - **SSE 50 Index**: The previous value was 2974.34, with an increase of 0.38%. The trading volume was 36.28 billion lots, and the total trading amount was 886.22 billion yuan [1] - **CSI 500 Index**: The previous value was 7012.81, with an increase of 0.24%. The trading volume was 141.04 billion lots, and the total trading amount was 2399.13 billion yuan [1] - **CSI 1000 Index**: The previous value was 7248.66, with an increase of 0.01%. The trading volume was 194.84 billion lots, and the total trading amount was 3113.16 billion yuan [1] - **Industry Indexes**: Among different industries, energy, raw materials, industry, and optional consumption had increases of 0.48%, 0.41%, 0.66%, and 0.25% respectively; main consumption, medical and health, real estate and finance, and information technology had changes of - 0.79%, 0.28%, - 0.08%, and 1.09% respectively; telecommunications and public utilities had changes of 0.94% and - 0.23% respectively [1] 3. Futures - Spot Basis - The previous values of the basis between IF contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next) and the CSI 300 Index were - 15.97, - 34.37, - 54.37, and - 104.97 respectively, compared with the previous two - day values of - 12.85, - 28.85, - 48.65, and - 97.25 respectively [1] - The previous values of the basis between IH contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next) and the SSE 50 Index were - 6.14, - 14.54, - 15.74, and - 30.54 respectively, compared with the previous two - day values of - 4.68, - 11.28, - 11.88, and - 26.08 respectively [1] - The previous values of the basis between IC contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next) and the CSI 500 Index were - 29.61, - 86.61, - 200.61, and - 407.81 respectively, compared with the previous two - day values of - 45.96, - 102.56, - 214.96, and - 423.76 respectively [1] - The previous values of the basis between IM contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and the quarter after next) and the CSI 1000 Index were - 35.26, - 111.46, - 260.86, and - 500.46 respectively, compared with the previous two - day values of - 52.87, - 127.07, - 280.07, and - 517.27 respectively [1] 4. Other Domestic and Overseas Indexes - **Domestic Indexes**: The previous values of the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, Small and Medium - sized Board Index, and ChiNext Index were 3875.79, 13006.72, 7904.33, and 3067.48 respectively, with changes of - 0.06%, 0.40%, 0.26%, and 1.01% respectively [1] - **Overseas Indexes**: The previous values of the Hang Seng Index, Nikkei 225, S&P 500, and DAX Index were 25935.90, 49864.68, 6857.12, and 23899.33 respectively, with changes of 0.68%, 1.14%, 0.87%, and 0.11% respectively [1] 5. Macroeconomic Information - Chinese President Xi Jinping held talks with French President Emmanuel Macron. The two sides emphasized mutual support on core interests and major concerns, exchanged views on the Ukraine crisis, and witnessed the signing of cooperation documents in multiple fields [2] - The China Council for the Promotion of International Trade organized Chinese entrepreneurs to communicate with US - China Business Council and its member enterprises in Washington, and the council's president also attended a seminar with the US Semiconductor Industry Association and its member enterprises to discuss cooperation in the semiconductor field [2] - The Chinese government conducts export control of rare - earth - related items in accordance with laws and regulations, and approves compliant export applications for civilian use in a timely manner. The Chinese side urges Japan to correct its wrong words and deeds on the Taiwan issue [2] - The EU has terminated the lawsuit against China's trade - restriction measures at the WTO. China believes the EU's decision to terminate the lawsuit is correct [2] - More than 15 regions have issued "15th Five - Year Plan" suggestions, with a focus on artificial intelligence and other cutting - edge industries, each with its own layout and development direction [2] 6. Industry Information - The Future Network Test Facility, the first national major scientific and technological infrastructure in the field of information and communication in China, has been officially put into operation, providing open - test support for multiple fields and carrying out demonstration applications in cutting - edge directions [2] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has issued a recommended national standard for food - delivery platforms, aiming to solve problems such as "ghost food - delivery" and promote the healthy development of the food - delivery industry [2] - In November, the number of second - hand housing transactions in first - tier cities reached 49,000, a seven - month high, with a month - on - month increase of 20%. In the first 11 months of this year, the cumulative number of second - hand housing transactions in first - tier cities reached 519,000, a year - on - year increase of about 5% [2] - In December, the supply of new housing is expected to be stable at a low level. The single - month supply of 28 cities is expected to decline by 12% month - on - month and 49% year - on - year, and the annual cumulative supply is expected to decline by 19% year - on - year. However, due to "quality improvement and quantity reduction" in supply and year - end discounts, the new - housing transactions in December are expected to have a pulse - like recovery [2] 7. Stock Index Views - The three major US stock indexes showed mixed performance. The previous trading day, the stock index fluctuated and recovered. The machinery and equipment sector led the gains, while the comprehensive sector led the losses. The market turnover was 1.56 trillion yuan. On December 3, the margin trading balance decreased by 3.713 billion yuan to 2.465189 trillion yuan [2] - In December 2025, the global financial market will face two "policy wind vanes": the Fed's December interest - rate meeting and the Chinese Central Economic Work Conference. Their policy resonance will affect the A - share market rhythm in December and the investment mainline in 2026 [2]