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春节临近运价持稳,市场节奏逐步放缓
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-08 15:17
Core Insights - The market for grain transportation is stabilizing as the Spring Festival approaches, with a gradual slowdown in purchasing and sales activities [1][2] - The inland grain transportation market is adjusting prices based on shipping capacity and the return of grain vessels for the holiday [1] - Coastal grain transportation remains subdued due to limited cargo availability, with freight rates stabilizing [3] Inland Transportation - As the Spring Festival nears, grain purchasing activities are slowing down, leading to a decrease in inland grain transport volume [1] - The wheat market is operating steadily but weakly, with terminal flour procurement nearing completion and reduced demand for replenishment [1] - Freight rates are influenced by the return of grain vessels, with routes aligned with vessel return directions maintaining stable rates, while others see increased costs due to temporary adjustments [1] Long River Route - Freight rates on upstream routes remain firm due to low water levels affecting cargo capacity and navigation efficiency [1] - The upcoming maintenance of the Three Gorges ship lock is causing shippers to expedite their schedules, increasing the number of vessels waiting to pass [1] - The imbalance of cargo availability, with more supply downstream than upstream, is indirectly raising costs for upstream freight [1] Coastal Transportation - The coastal grain transportation market is experiencing a flat trend, with limited wheat shipments from regions like Jiangsu and Anhui to South China [3] - Freight rates for coastal routes are stable, with costs around 60-65 yuan/ton from Anning Port to Guangdong and 50-55 yuan/ton to Fujian [3] - As the Spring Festival approaches, market focus is shifting to vessel scheduling and cessation plans, leading to a gradual decline in trading activity [3] Market Outlook - The coastal freight rates are likely to continue narrow fluctuations due to insufficient cargo support and a gradual reduction in shipping capacity [4] - Attention should be paid to replenishment dynamics in southern regions and vessel cessation plans to optimize pre-holiday shipping arrangements [4]