【文/观察者网 熊超然】2025年年末，美国国防部又端出"年度冷饭"——"中国军力报告"，再度炒作所 谓"中国军事威胁论"。进入2026年，美国媒体也不闲着，东拼西凑各类所谓"专家"观点，甚至脑补了出 一篇文章——"中国计划在2026年称霸海上"（China's Plans to Dominate at Sea in 2026）。 当地时间1月1日，美媒《新闻周刊》（Newsweek）的这篇报道写道，随着在去年部署了新型军舰，并 在太平洋地区扩大了影响力，作为美国的主要海上竞争对手，中国预计将在新的一年中继续快速推进海 军现代化建设，并扩大在海上的影响力。 通过列举舰艇、潜艇和航母数量，包括福建舰、054B型护卫舰、076型两栖攻击舰，报道将中国海军形 塑为"全球规模最大海军"；通过提及中国2025年进行的多次远海演训，包括双航母编队同时现身西太平 洋，报道渲染中国已成为"首屈一指的海上强国"，正越来越适应在远离本土的海域运作其海军力量。 气氛"烘托"至此，有关"专家"也适时跳出来打配合，甚至刻意提及近期中日两国之间的"海上对峙"，进 而宣称这是一个"不祥的迹象"，中国海军可能会在2026年扩大部署范围，包括 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. is significantly lagging behind China in the shipbuilding industry, holding only 0.1% of global commercial shipbuilding capacity compared to China's 53% [1][3]. Group 1: U.S. Shipbuilding Industry Challenges - The U.S. shipbuilding capacity has severely declined over the past two decades, with outdated facilities that frequently malfunction, failing to meet the maintenance needs of the U.S. Navy [5][9]. - Important shipbuilding projects are often delayed by 1 to 3 years, exacerbating the challenges faced by the U.S. Navy [5]. - The U.S. Navy's attempts to develop an unmanned vessel fleet have encountered numerous issues, including software failures and human errors during tests [5][8]. Group 2: International Collaboration Efforts - U.S. senators have sought assistance from South Korea and Japan to explore potential collaborations and joint ventures in shipbuilding [3][5]. - South Korea has proposed a $150 billion investment in the U.S. shipbuilding industry, while Japan has shown willingness to assist during tariff negotiations [8]. - Despite these efforts, the collaboration is seen as a temporary solution, as South Korea and Japan's shipbuilding capabilities do not match China's scale, efficiency, and technological comprehensiveness [8][12]. Group 3: Legislative and Structural Barriers - The Jones Act, a protectionist law, complicates overseas collaboration by mandating that all domestic shipping vessels must be built, registered, and operated in the U.S. [8][9]. - The U.S. military's procurement rules further restrict the purchase of foreign-built vessels, limiting the potential for revitalizing the domestic shipbuilding industry [9]. - The fragmentation of the domestic supply chain poses a significant challenge, as it takes years to train skilled workers, and the U.S. shipyards struggle to attract labor [9][11]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - Even with potential support from South Korea and Japan, the U.S. is unlikely to quickly rebuild a shipbuilding system that can compete with China's [12]. - The U.S. must undergo deep reforms in technology accumulation, talent development, and supply chain reconstruction to catch up with China in shipbuilding [12]. - If the U.S. continues to pursue short-sighted and competitive strategies against China, it may further hinder its own capabilities in the shipbuilding sector [12].