海峡两岸概念
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A股时隔十年再破4000点,慢牛能否继续从容前行
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-10-28 11:53
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant moment on October 28, 2025, when the Shanghai Composite Index briefly surpassed the 4000-point mark, reaching a high of 4010 points, marking a ten-year high since August 2015. However, it closed at 3988 points, indicating a cautious sentiment among investors despite the milestone [2][3]. Market Performance - On October 28, the A-share market saw the Shanghai Composite Index open lower but rise to 4010 points before retreating to close at 3988. The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.44% to 13430.1 points, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.15% to 3229.58 points. The total trading volume across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets was approximately 2.17 trillion yuan, a decrease of 190 billion yuan from the previous day [3][4]. - The market showed mixed performance across sectors, with military equipment, port shipping, and non-metallic materials leading in gains, while precious metals and wind power equipment faced declines [3]. Capital Flow - The sectors with the highest net inflows included biopharmaceuticals, cultural media, and glass fiber, with net inflows of 1.589 billion yuan, 643 million yuan, and 552 million yuan, respectively. Conversely, the semiconductor, non-ferrous metals, and small metals sectors experienced significant net outflows [4]. Investor Sentiment - Market sentiment remains cautious, with analysts noting that the willingness of new capital to enter the market is low. Key factors include the valuation of certain sectors being above reasonable levels, a lack of strong economic recovery signals, and ongoing uncertainties in the international environment [5][6]. - Despite the cautious sentiment, analysts express optimism for the future, citing a likely continuation of a "slow bull" market due to favorable domestic and international conditions, including potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [6][7]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the A-share market will continue to experience a "slow bull" trend, supported by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and potential benefits from easing U.S.-China relations. They expect the market to maintain a wide range of fluctuations and gradual upward movement in November [7][9]. - The market is anticipated to face short-term volatility around the 4000-point level, requiring new driving forces and consensus among investors to establish a stable breakthrough above this threshold [8].