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应流股份20250807
2025-08-07 15:03
Summary of Conference Call for 应流股份 Industry Overview - The global AI data center capital expenditure is surging, particularly in Europe and the US, leading to a strong demand for gas turbines due to insufficient grid stability, with natural gas becoming the primary energy source [2][5] - The global gas turbine market is highly concentrated, with GEV (USA), Siemens Energy (Germany), and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (Japan) holding 80%-90% market share [2][6][8] - The gas turbine industry is expected to see a market space of approximately $28.1 billion (around 200 billion RMB) in 2024 [8] Key Points and Arguments - In 2024, global cloud infrastructure service spending is projected to reach $330 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22%, with the four major US CSPs (Google, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft) increasing capital expenditure by 75% [2][5][7] - GEV's order backlog has reached levels sufficient to sustain operations until 2028, with a 113% year-on-year increase in new gas orders for 2024 [2][6][10] - Siemens Energy reported a 60% year-on-year increase in new gas business orders for the first half of 2025, indicating a strong demand trend [2][9] - The gas turbine blade industry is experiencing intense competition, with companies like Howmet and PCC expanding slowly, while Homate's gross margin has improved due to increased demand [2][11] Company-Specific Insights - 应流股份 is focusing on the gas turbine blade sector as its primary growth curve for the next three years, with potential expansion into the aerospace engine blade market in the future [3][12] - The company has seen explosive order growth since the second half of last year, reflecting strong downstream demand and price increases [3][15] - 应流股份 has been approved for convertible bond issuance to expand production capacity, which is expected to significantly enhance blade output and revenue potential in the coming years [3][15] Additional Important Information - The overall industry is experiencing high demand across various dimensions, including AI data center capital expenditure and gas turbine blade manufacturing, with significant improvements in gross margins and performance [2][14] - 应流股份 is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities due to the slow expansion of competitors and the high energy consumption and pollution associated with casting processes [3][13] - Market valuation concerns exist for 应流股份, currently estimated at 40 times earnings, but with significant growth potential projected over the next three years [2][16]