Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the gas turbine industry Core Insights - Gas turbines have a wide range of downstream applications, with F-class being the current mainstream model [6] - AI is driving the gas turbine market into a prosperous cycle, with significant order increases from overseas leaders [6] - The overall capacity of the supply chain is tight, and domestic suppliers are expected to increase their global market share [9] Summary by Sections 1. Gas Turbines: Wide Downstream Applications, F-Class as the Mainstream Model - Gas turbines convert thermal energy into mechanical work and consist of three main components: compressor, combustion chamber, and turbine [7] - Heavy gas turbines are primarily used in fixed power generation units for urban grids, while light gas turbines are used in industrial power generation, marine propulsion, oil and gas transportation, distributed generation, and military applications [7][26] - The global gas turbine market is expected to see a significant increase in installed capacity, reaching over 100 GW in the next decade, with the U.S. adding 250 GW in the next five years [41][43] 2. Demand: AI Drives the Gas Turbine Market into a Prosperous Cycle - The global data center demand is expected to grow significantly, with AI data centers in the U.S. requiring an additional 31 GW of power over the next five years [31][36] - The electricity consumption of global data centers is projected to rise from 415 TWh in 2024 to 945 TWh by 2030, with the U.S. accounting for 45% of this demand [36] 3. Supply: Overall Capacity of the Supply Chain is Tight - The gas turbine OEM market is highly concentrated, with GEV, Siemens Energy, and Mitsubishi holding 34%, 27%, and 24% of the global market share, respectively [44] - The report highlights the increasing order intake for gas turbines, with GEV expecting to sign contracts for 24 GW in Q4 2025, and Siemens Energy forecasting 26 GW in the same period [55] 4. Investment Suggestions - The report suggests focusing on domestic suppliers' opportunities to increase their global market share and progress in the gas turbine supply chain [10] - The domestic suppliers are positioned to benefit from the ongoing expansion of the gas turbine market, particularly in high-temperature alloy components and blades [80]

（来源：淘金ETF） 1. 中航成飞（302132） 作为中国航空工业集团核心子公司，国内歼击机、教练机等主战装备的核心研制单位，军工背景深厚且 技术积累雄厚，在航空装备制造领域占据绝对龙头地位。主营业务聚焦军用战斗机、教练机研发制造， 同时延伸至民用航空零部件加工与航空技术服务，客户覆盖国内军方及航空工业全产业链企业。依托军 用航空领域的大尺寸模锻、精密加工等核心技术，深度切入商业航天赛道，为商业火箭提供高端结构 件、航空级特种材料及定制化加工服务，尤其在重型火箭箭体部件制造方面具备独特优势。已成功为国 内多家商业火箭企业提供关键结构件支持，深度参与多个商业航天发射任务，技术可靠性与产品稳定性 获行业高度认可。未来随着商业航天规模化发展，重型火箭、可回收火箭等新型装备研发加速，公司将 进一步推动航空航天技术跨界融合，充分受益于太空算力、低轨卫星星座建设带来的增量需求，在航天 结构件、特种材料等领域持续扩大市场份额，成长空间极具想象力。 2. 中航西飞（000768） 隶属于中国航空工业集团，是国内大型运输机、轰炸机、预警机等核心军用飞机的主要制造商，具备全 产业链研发、生产与集成能力，在航空装备制造领域技术 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年02月02日 2026年02月03日 制造成长周报（第 45 期） 优于大市 Meta 预计 26 年资本支出超 1150 亿美元，Figure 发布 Helix02 重点事件点评&重点关注：商业航天、人形机器人、AI 基建 事件 1-Meta 预计 2026 年资本支出最高达 1,350 亿美元：2026 年 1 月 29 日，Meta 公布财报显示，预计 2026 全年资本支出将在 1,150 亿美元至 1,350 亿美元之间，接近去年的两倍。 事件 2-Figure 发布 Helix02：2026 年 1 月 28 日，据 Figure 官网，公 司发布的 Helix 02 人形机器人模型，在技术上实现了三大突破。其核心 创新在于通过 System 0、System 1 和 System 2 三层架构，首次用单一 神经网络实现了全身端到端的自主控制，将移动与精细操作深度融合。 事件 1-SpaceX 申请部署百万颗卫星：2026 年 1 月 30 日，据财联社消息， SpaceX 正在申请发射并运营一个由至多 100 万颗卫星组成的星座，这些 卫星具备前所未有的计算能力，以支 ...

We turn more bullish on China's power grid equipment names, underpinned by our assumed 11% China grid CAPEX CAGR in 2026-30E, up from 9% previously. While we highlighted upside to grid CAPEX (volume) and T&D tariffs (price) in our previous note, we now believe actual grid CAPEX could again exceed official plans, driven by accelerated backbone and distribution grid build-out enhancing system stability and reliability. This could translate into earnings upgrades and valuation re-ratings for power grid equipme ...

证券代码：603308 证券简称：应流股份 公告编号：2026-001 债券代码：113697 债券简称：应流转债 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 关于控股股东解除质押及再质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： ● 截至本公告披露日，安徽应流机电股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东霍山应流投资管理有限 公司（以下简称"应流投资"）持有公司股份 18,582.50万股，均为无限售条件的流通股，占公司总股本 27.37%。本次解除质押及再质押后，应流投资累计 7,000万股股份被质押，占其持有公司股份的 37.67%，占公司总股本的 10.31%；应流投资及其一致行动人累计质押8,300万股，占其持股数量比例为 35.19%，占公司总股本比例 12.22%。 公司于近日收到控股股东应流投资关于股份解除质押及再质押的通知，具体情况如下： 一、控股股东股份解除质押具体情况 二、控股股东股份再质押具体情况 ■ 本次再质押的股份不存在被用作重大资产重组业绩补偿等事项的担保或其他保障用途。 三、股东累 ...

每经AI快讯，应流股份1月30日晚间发布公告称，截至本公告披露日，安徽应流机电股份有限公司控股 股东霍山应流投资管理有限公司持有公司股份约1.86亿股，均为无限售条件的流通股，占公司总股本 27.37%。本次解除质押及再质押后，应流投资累计7000万股股份被质押，占其持有公司股份的 37.67%，占公司总股本的10.31%；应流投资及其一致行动人累计质押8300万股，占其持股数量比例为 35.19%，占公司总股本比例为12.22%。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——核电建设热潮下，设备厂忙到"飞起"！订单已排至2028年，员工三班倒， 产线24小时不停 （记者 曾健辉） ...

| 证券代码：603308 | 证券简称：应流股份 | 公告编号：2026-001 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：113697 | 债券简称：应流转债 | | 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 关于控股股东解除质押及再质押的公告 1 股东名称 本次解除 质押股数 （万股） 占其所 持股份 比例（%） 占公司 总股本 比例（%） 解除质押 时间 股东持股 数量（万 股） 股东持 股占公 司总股 本比例 （%） 剩余被质押 股份数量 （万股） 剩余被 质押股 份占其 所持股 份比例 （%） 剩余被 质押股 份占公 司总股 本比例 （%） 应流投资 6,000 32.29 8.84 2026/1/28 18,582.50 27.37 3,000 16.14 4.42 3,000 16.14 4.42 2026/1/29 6,000 32.29 8.84 合计 9,000 48.43 13.25 / 18,582.50 27.37 / / / 一、控股股东股份解除质押具体情况 "剩余被质押股份占公司总股本比例"不包含本次再质押股份的数量。 | 股东 | 是否为 | 本次质 | 是否 | 是否 为补 ...

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes the resilience of the A-share market amidst multiple overseas risks and signals of regulatory easing in China, suggesting that the relationship between market performance and regulatory changes warrants further consideration [5][12] - It highlights the significant outperformance of the A-share market compared to other major indices, particularly the CSI 300, which has faced substantial redemption pressure [5][12] - The report suggests that investors should not overly worry about the CSI 300's performance, as it has already aligned with regulatory easing requirements, reducing the necessity for further pressure [5][12] Group 2: Economic Insights - China's exports continued to show strong performance in December, driven by overseas investment during a global easing cycle, positively impacting sectors like electrical and mechanical equipment [6][13] - Domestic consumption is recovering, with a rebound in per capita consumer spending in the fourth quarter, aligning with the report's annual strategy predictions [6][13] - The report notes that recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing real estate are expected to support synchronized recovery in both domestic and external demand [6][13] Group 3: Asset Allocation and Investment Recommendations - The report identifies a dual focus for 2026 on physical assets and Chinese assets, with thematic investments being essential [7][16] - Recommended sectors include physical assets such as copper, aluminum, tin, gold, lithium, and oil, alongside Chinese equipment export chains like electrical grid equipment and renewable energy [7][16] - The report also highlights sectors benefiting from capital market expansion and improving long-term asset returns, such as non-bank financials and consumer sectors like aviation and duty-free retail [7][16] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - **Yunnan Aluminum Co. (000807.SZ)**: The report recommends a long-term investment due to favorable conditions for aluminum exports and a strong balance sheet, with potential for increased dividends [18] - **Hua Aluminum (600301.SH)**: The company is seen as a strong growth candidate due to rising tin and antimony prices and its position as a key beneficiary of metal consolidation in Guangxi [19] - **Yingliu Co. (603308.SH)**: The report anticipates a surge in global gas turbine demand, positioning the company to increase its market share in turbine blades [20] - **Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ)**: The company is recognized for its strong cash flow from cement operations and potential for significant dividends [21] - **Pop Mart (9992.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in the entertainment market through IP incubation and diverse monetization strategies [22] - **China Duty Free Group (601888.SH)**: The company is projected to strengthen its market position in the duty-free sector, benefiting from increased inbound tourism and overseas expansion [24] - **China Southern Airlines (1055.HK)**: The airline is expected to benefit from improved industry supply-demand dynamics and a large fleet size [25] - **Li Auto (2015.HK)**: The company is focusing on advancements in AI and smart driving technology, with expectations for increased vehicle sales [26] - **Lante Optics (688127.SH)**: The company is positioned to benefit from strong demand in automotive and smart imaging sectors [27] - **InnoCare Pharma (9606.HK)**: The company is advancing in the ADC field with a robust pipeline and partnerships, with several products nearing clinical registration [29]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月28日 2026年01月29日 AI 基建点评：我们持续看好 AI 基建相关产业链，重点关注燃气轮机及液冷 方向。建议重点关注 AI 数据中心能源供应核心卡位的燃机产业链：1） 燃机热端叶片：【应流股份】【万泽股份】；2）燃机发电机组：【杰 瑞股份】；3）燃机其他铸件：【豪迈科技】【联德股份】；4）燃机配 套余热锅炉（HRSG）：【博盈特焊】。建议重点关注重点关注液冷中价 值量高、核心卡位的环节：1）一次侧重点关注冷水机组及压缩机环节： 【冰轮环境】【汉钟精机】【联德股份】；2）二次侧重点关注集成商： 【高澜股份】【同飞股份】；3）二次侧零部件端重点关注 CDU、Manifold、 冷板、UQD 环节：【飞荣达】【奕东电子】【南风股份】【强瑞技术】。 行业动态&政府新闻&公司动态 行业动态：商业航天-1 月 20 日，我国 2025 年度商业航天发射达 50 次，可 核心观点 行业研究·行业周报 制造成长周报（第 44 期） 优于大市 SpaceX 星舰今年目标完全复用，特斯拉将在 2027 年底前向公 众销售人形机器人 重点事件点评&重点关注：商业航天、人形机器人、AI 基 ...

广钢气体：行业龙头上市推迟导致公司股价近两天出现调整，但我们了解到春节后大概率过会，只是时点问题。 【天风机械】重点品种：广钢气体、宏盛股份、应流股份、芯碁微装近期调整点评 广钢气体：行业龙头上市推迟导致公司股价近两天出现调整，但我们了解到春节后大概率过会，只是时点问题。 公司基本面强劲，26年有望订单+利润率+国产化率拐点三击，看好400-500e市值，回调建议布局。 宏盛股份：公司新增的潜力大客户相较于当前月度弹性单一个客户就有1.5-2x空间，该客户为美国AI最有 回调建议布局。 【天风机械】重点品种：广钢气体、宏盛股份、应流股份、芯碁微装近期调整点评 应流股份：公司产能爬坡非常顺利，安萨尔多订单已落地，近期即将新增韩国斗山，接单方面供不应求，毛利 率、净利率有望环比持续提升，本年度目标市值500e+。 高温叶片万泽股份、隆达股份同样看好。 芯碁微装：芯碁微装的市值中仅包含40e先进封装估值，而这部分实际可实现市值150-200e对应6x利润贡献。 公司基本面强劲，26年有望订单+利润率+国产化率拐点三击，看好400-500e市值，回调建议布局。 宏盛股份：公司新增的潜力大客户相较于当前月度弹性单一个客 ...