投资逻辑 公司基本盘复苏，国产替代打开主业增长空间。谐波减速器是技术 密集型行业，材料、加工工艺、加工设备等方面均存在较高技术壁 垒，以公司为首的国产谐波减速器厂商经过多年发展，打破了国际 品牌在国内机器人谐波减速器领域的垄断、并持续深化国产替代。 公司技术+成本优势领先，中商情报局披露，2024 年公司市占率 达到全球 12%，位居全球第二，国产第一。受公共安全事件结束和新 能源汽车、3C 电子等下游需求拉动影响，2024-2025 年行业持续回 暖，国家统计局披露，2024/2025 年中国工业机器人产量分别同比提 升 14.2%/28.0%，2025 年产量达到 77 万台，创历史新高。 人形机器人风口将至，公司是人形领域谐波减速器的龙头。人形机 器人市场随着 AI 技术的进步和以特斯拉为首的科技巨头加码，有望 迎来快速爆发，人形机器人自由度有持续增长趋势，将带动谐波减 速器行业数倍增长的需求。以特斯拉 Optimus 为例，单台人形机器 人谐波减速器需求量为 14 台，后续有望提升到 20 个以上。国产厂商 具备较强的创新及降本能力，相对优势显著，有望充分受益人形机 器人市场爆发带来的产业机遇。公司在 ...

Group 1 - The stock of Greentec Harmonic fell by 5.15% on January 7, closing at 189.51 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.473 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 4.15%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 34.743 billion CNY [1] - Greentec Harmonic Transmission Technology Co., Ltd. is located in Suzhou, Jiangsu Province, and was established on January 13, 2011. The company went public on August 28, 2020, and specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of precision transmission devices [1] - The main revenue composition of Greentec includes harmonic reducers and metal components at 78.33%, mechatronic products at 16.56%, intelligent automation equipment at 3.24%, and others at 1.87% [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under ICBC Credit Suisse holds Greentec Harmonic as a major investment. The ICBC Specialized and Innovative Mixed A Fund (015135) held 33,900 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 4.18% of the fund's net value, making it the largest holding [2] - The estimated floating loss for the ICBC Specialized and Innovative Mixed A Fund today is approximately 348,900 CNY [2] - The ICBC Specialized and Innovative Mixed A Fund was established on August 1, 2022, with a current scale of 121 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 3.03%, ranking 4142 out of 8823 in its category, while the one-year return is 48.14%, ranking 2236 out of 8083 [2]

Group 1 - The stock of Greentech Harmonic rose by 5.19%, reaching 180.70 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 706 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.18%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 33.128 billion CNY [1] - Greentech Harmonic, established on January 13, 2011, and listed on August 28, 2020, is a high-tech enterprise based in Suzhou, Jiangsu Province, specializing in the research, design, production, and sales of precision transmission devices [1] - The company's main business revenue composition includes harmonic reducers and metal components at 78.33%, mechatronic products at 16.56%, intelligent automation equipment at 3.24%, and others at 1.87% [1] Group 2 - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Greentech Harmonic, Penghua Fund's carbon neutrality theme mixed fund A (016530) reduced its holdings by 758,600 shares, now holding 1.8983 million shares, which accounts for 1.12% of the circulating shares [2] - The Penghua carbon neutrality theme mixed fund A, established on May 5, 2023, has a latest scale of 2.08 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 106.53%, ranking 37 out of 8244 in its category; over the past year, it achieved a return of 191%, ranking 18 out of 8080 [2]