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国泰海通:25H1通信行业盈利提速 算力板块表现亮眼
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 07:33
Core Insights - The communication industry experienced steady revenue growth and improved profitability in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 17,850.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.07%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1,604.32 billion yuan, up 11.26% year-on-year [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q2 2025, the communication industry continued to show robust growth, achieving revenue of 9,424.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.91%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 986.82 billion yuan, up 12.33% year-on-year [2]. - The adjusted net profit after excluding non-recurring items for Q2 2025 was 912.62 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.94% [2]. Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors in terms of revenue growth in H1 2025 included optical modules, communication PCBs, network equipment manufacturers, IoT modules, and base station RF components [2]. - The sectors with the highest net profit growth in H1 2025 were optical modules, communication PCBs, network security and visualization analysis, IoT modules, and network equipment manufacturers [2]. Market Trends - The industry is currently underweight, with capital expenditure on computing power maintaining high growth. The domestic market is accelerating in line with global AI development trends, indicating significant upward potential for the communication industry [3]. - The AI computing power supply chain is expected to continue its rapid development in 2025, driven by evolving demand in inference, which will benefit the communication industry's related supply chain [3]. Recommended Stocks - Key stocks recommended include: - Optical Modules: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Guangxun Technology, Huagong Technology, Dekeli [4]. - CPO/Silicon Photonics: Tianfu Communication, Shijia Photonics, Yuanjie Technology, Guangku Technology, Changguang Huaxin, Taicheng Light [4]. - PCB: Hudian Co., Shenzhen South Circuit [4]. - End-side: Guanghetong, ZTE Corporation [4]. - IDC/Liquid Cooling: Wangsu Technology, Aofei Data, Guanghuan New Network [5]. - Network Side: ZTE Corporation, Ruijie Networks, Unisplendour, Fenghuo Communication, Feiling Kesi [5]. - High-speed Copper Cables: Zhaolong Interconnect [5]. - Operators: China Mobile, China Telecom, China Unicom [5]. - Military Communication Related Stocks: Haige Communication, Qiyi Er, Changying Tong [5]. US Stock Recommendations - Related US stocks include Credo, MaxLinear, Arista Networks, Century Internet, Coherent, Lumentum, Broadcom, Marvell, AXT [6].