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特朗普不知所措,关税战不但没打赢中国,美国可能要倒赔2万亿
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 23:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential legal and financial repercussions of the U.S. Supreme Court's upcoming decision regarding the legality of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which could lead to significant compensation claims from international investors [1][3][19]. Group 1: Legal Implications - The focus of the Supreme Court case is whether President Trump abused the "national security" justification for imposing tariffs, which could redefine the boundaries of presidential power [3][8]. - If the tariffs are deemed illegal, it could invalidate numerous investment agreements made under duress, potentially leading to claims for compensation from affected countries [4][19]. - The case is not initiated by the Democrats but by various industry associations that argue the tariffs have led to increased costs and reduced orders, highlighting a shift in support from Trump to legal opposition [7][21]. Group 2: Financial Risks - Trump has suggested that the potential compensation claims could amount to $2 trillion, a figure he uses to create panic regarding the court's decision [1][19]. - The U.S. Treasury is reportedly assessing the financial implications of a ruling against the tariffs, including the possibility of initiating a refund mechanism, raising questions about funding sources [17][19]. - The risk of a compensation wave from international investors is significant, as many entered the U.S. market based on the aggressive trade policies of the Trump administration [19][21]. Group 3: Political Consequences - The outcome of the Supreme Court's decision could serve as a critical juncture for U.S. foreign policy, particularly regarding the use of national security as a rationale for trade actions [26]. - The article suggests that if the court rules against the tariffs, it may undermine the legitimacy of Trump's trade strategies and affect future negotiations with other countries [16][26]. - The legal battle reflects broader challenges to the U.S. constitutional order and the balance of power between the presidency and the judiciary [8][21].