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Lululemon stock price is crashing today: Trump's tariffs and de minimis change are part of the reason why
Fastcompany· 2025-09-05 15:51
Core Insights - Lululemon Athletica reported its Q2 fiscal 2025 results, surpassing earnings estimates but providing disappointing guidance for the full fiscal year, leading to a significant drop in stock price [2][3][7]. Financial Performance - Lululemon's international net revenue increased by 22%, with international comparable sales up 15% and gross profit rising 5% to $1.5 billion [3][4]. - In contrast, net revenue in the Americas grew by only 1%, and comparable sales in the Americas decreased by 4% [4][6]. - Overall, Lululemon's global net revenue increased by 7% to $2.5 billion, with total revenue for the quarter reported at $2.53 billion, slightly below analyst expectations of $2.54 billion [6][9]. Guidance and Market Reaction - The company revised its full-year revenue guidance for fiscal 2025 to a range of $10.85 billion to $11 billion, below the $11.18 billion expected by analysts [8][9]. - Lululemon's diluted earnings per share (EPS) guidance was lowered to between $12.77 and $12.97, significantly below the expected EPS of $14.45 [9][10]. External Factors Impacting Guidance - The decline in guidance is attributed to the expiration of the de minimis exemption and increased tariffs, which are expected to reduce gross profit by approximately $240 million [10][11][12]. - The removal of the de minimis exemption means higher costs for shipping goods valued under $800 to U.S. customers, potentially leading to reduced consumer spending [11][12]. Stock Performance - Following the earnings report, Lululemon's stock price fell by 19% to $166.94 per share, marking its lowest point in over five years [13]. - Year-to-date, Lululemon shares have lost more than 46% of their value, primarily due to concerns over the impact of tariffs on the company's import-heavy business model [14].
Analysts Estimate Lululemon (LULU) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-08-28 15:01
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Lululemon's earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending July 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Lululemon is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.84 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 9.8%, while revenues are projected to reach $2.54 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.57% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Lululemon is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.93%, which indicates a bearish outlook [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lululemon had an earnings surprise of +0.39%, reporting $2.60 per share against an expectation of $2.59 [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Lululemon has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - Lululemon does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, suggesting that investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [17].
2 Growth Stocks That Wall Street Might Be Sleeping On, but I'm Not
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-15 16:27
Core Viewpoint - Despite strong revenue growth, Lululemon and Roku are currently undervalued in the market, presenting potential investment opportunities as they recover from recent declines in stock prices. Group 1: Lululemon Athletica - Lululemon's shares have dropped over 60% from their peak and recently hit new 52-week lows, indicating a disconnect between brand strength and stock price [4] - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate of 19% in revenue and 24% in earnings over the past decade, showcasing its competitive position in the athletic apparel market [5] - The athletic apparel market is projected to grow at an annualized rate of 9% through 2030, with a total market value of $406 billion in 2024, indicating significant growth potential for Lululemon [6] - Lululemon reported a 7% year-over-year revenue increase in the first quarter, demonstrating resilience amid weak consumer spending [7] - The stock is considered undervalued with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13, and a return to previous peak levels could more than double investments made at current prices [8] Group 2: Roku - Roku's stock has underperformed despite growth in its streaming platform, with shares currently priced at $84, down from a pandemic high of $490 [10][11] - The company has invested in ad technology and partnerships, which are beginning to yield positive results, as evidenced by double-digit growth in platform revenue and streaming hours [12][14] - Roku serves over half of all U.S. broadband households, with users spending over 35 billion hours watching content last quarter, reflecting strong engagement [12] - The growth rate in video advertising on Roku's platform outpaced the broader U.S. digital ad market, indicating a strategic advantage in capturing ad spending [13] - Management is optimistic about Roku's prospects for 2026, citing improvements in EBITDA margins and a 79% year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA for Q2 [14][16]
WideOpenWest (WOW) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 00:06
Company Performance - WideOpenWest reported a quarterly loss of $0.22 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.15, and compared to a loss of $0.13 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of -46.67% [1] - The company posted revenues of $144.2 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.14%, but down from $158.8 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, WideOpenWest has surpassed consensus EPS estimates only once, while it has topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - WideOpenWest shares have declined approximately 35.7% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 8.6% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.20 on revenues of $141.3 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.78 on revenues of $574.9 million [7] Industry Outlook - The Cable Television industry, to which WideOpenWest belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for the company [8] - The performance of WideOpenWest's stock may be influenced by the overall outlook for the industry, as research indicates that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [8]
3 Top Stocks to Buy With $1,000 in August
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-02 12:00
Group 1: Market Overview - The stock market has shown incredible resiliency in 2025, with the S&P 500 nearing new all-time highs despite trade wars and economic uncertainty [1] - There are solid companies trading at reasonable valuations that are worth buying as August approaches, a historically weak month for markets [1] Group 2: Alibaba (BABA) - Alibaba's shares are starting to recover after a slump, driven by an improving Chinese economy and strong demand for cloud services, with potential to double in price within five years [4] - The e-commerce marketplaces Taobao and Tmall reported a 12% year-over-year growth in customer management revenue for the March-ending quarter, primarily from fees charged to third-party merchants [5] - Alibaba's revenue growth in e-commerce is supported by initiatives like the integration of Cainiao logistics and new software service fees [6] - Alibaba Cloud is experiencing rapid growth, with AI-related product revenue increasing at a triple-digit rate for seven consecutive quarters, positioning the company for strong growth over the next decade [7] - The stock is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 13.5, which is considered a bargain compared to the average S&P 500 P/E ratio of 30, indicating potential for significant upside [8] Group 3: Lululemon (LULU) - Lululemon's stock has declined approximately 45% in 2025, but it is viewed as oversold and trading at a bargain price [9] - The company reported a 7% year-over-year sales increase in the fiscal first quarter, but comparable sales were only up 1%, with a 2% decrease in the Americas region [11] - Lululemon's P/E ratio is currently at 14, and it maintains a strong operating margin of 18.5%, despite a slight decline due to tariffs [12] - Sales in China increased by 22% year-over-year in Q1, providing a positive outlook amidst challenges in the Americas market [13] Group 4: VF Corp (VFC) - VF Corp is considered undervalued, with its stock down about 85% from its peak in 2021, making it a potential investment opportunity [14] - The company showed signs of a turnaround in fiscal Q1, with solid growth in core brands like Timberland (up 11%) and The North Face (up 6%), despite a 14% decline in Vans [16] - VF Corp trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.5, indicating upside potential if it can achieve a profit margin of 5%, which would equate to a P/E ratio of 10 [17] - Continued progress in the turnaround could lead to the stock doubling or tripling in value [18]
Will lululemon's Innovation Pipeline Deliver Growth in 2H25?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 15:50
Core Insights - Innovation is central to lululemon athletica inc.'s brand identity, with a focus on blending function, style, and science to navigate a complex retail landscape and reignite growth momentum in fiscal 2025 [1][2] Innovation and Product Development - Lululemon's growth in the second half of fiscal 2025 relies on its innovation engine, with strong guest responses to new product launches like No Line Align leggings and Glow Up training leggings, which are expected to expand across stores [3][9] - The company is doubling down on product development, brand activation, and international expansion despite macroeconomic pressures and cautious consumer behavior in the U.S. [2] Financial Performance and Challenges - Tariff headwinds and cost pressures have impacted margins in the first half of fiscal 2025, prompting lululemon to implement modest price increases and supply-chain adjustments to mitigate these challenges in the latter half of the year [4][9] - Lululemon's shares have declined by 41.4% year to date, compared to a 24.2% decline in the industry [8] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Lululemon trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 14.88X, which is higher than the industry's 11.51X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for lululemon's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year decline of 1.1%, while fiscal 2026 suggests growth of 8.3% [11]
Lululemon's China Cooldown And US Struggles Weigh On Outlook
Benzinga· 2025-07-22 18:51
Core Viewpoint - Lululemon Athletica's growth outlook in the U.S. has softened due to a shift in consumer preferences towards new fabric innovations, leading to a downgrade from Overweight to Neutral by JP Morgan analyst Matthew R. Boss, with a price forecast reduction from $303 to $224 [1][2]. Group 1: Product Performance and Market Trends - The U.S. product catalyst launch has been postponed to the second half of 2025 as customers favored new fabric innovations like Align No Line and Be Calm, while showing less interest in Updated Core-Seasonal colors, which constitute approximately 40% of inventory [2]. - Second quarter U.S. revenue growth is now projected at +1.2% year-over-year, a decrease of 50 basis points from the first quarter's +1.7%, reflecting a +1.0% two-year stack, as around 80% of the product assortment faces conversion challenges [3]. - The U.S. premium activewear market is experiencing a slowdown, with Euromonitor forecasting only 1.0% growth in U.S. sports apparel for 2025/26, compared to 11.0% growth in FY21-FY24 [5]. Group 2: Management Strategies and Financial Outlook - Management plans to enhance investments in the second half of 2025, including expanding Align No Line to all stores by September and utilizing air freight to expedite inventory deliveries, indicating confidence in first quarter metrics and the U.S. women's business [4]. - Increased markdowns due to product assortment challenges and higher fixed cost leverage across operating expenses and SG&A are expected to further constrain Lululemon's multi-year margins, contributing to the Neutral rating [7]. Group 3: International Market Potential - Lululemon's international market penetration presents a significant growth opportunity, although recent analyses indicate a more normalized growth pace in Mainland China, which was previously viewed as a strong growth driver [6].
2 Top S&P 500 Dividend Stocks to Buy Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-03 07:50
Group 1: Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola is a durable brand with steady sales and profits, allowing for consistent dividend payments [3][4] - The company has increased its dividend for 63 consecutive years, currently paying about 75% of its earnings in dividends, with a recent quarterly increase of 5% to $0.51 [4][6] - Analysts expect Coca-Cola to achieve 6% annualized earnings growth, with significant opportunities in emerging markets, which represent 80% of the global population [5] - Coca-Cola has successfully adapted its beverage portfolio to meet changing consumer preferences, with 30 brands generating over $1 billion in annual sales [6] - The non-alcoholic beverage market is valued at $1 trillion and is projected to grow at 5% annually through 2029, with Coca-Cola likely to outperform this estimate [7] - The stock's forward dividend yield is 2.84%, making it an attractive option for passive income [7] Group 2: Nike - The athletic apparel industry is valued at over $400 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow at 9% annually through 2030 [8] - Nike is the leading brand in this industry, with trailing revenue exceeding $46 billion, and its stock has recently seen a decline, resulting in a high forward dividend yield of over 2.17% [9] - The company faces near-term challenges due to higher costs from tariffs, but this has created an opportunity for investors to acquire shares at an attractive yield [9] - Nike's new CEO is implementing strategies to return the business to growth by aligning inventory with demand and shifting focus from lifestyle to sports-oriented products [10] - Despite a lower earnings forecast, Nike can sustain its current quarterly dividend of $0.40, with expectations of earnings recovery to $2.47 by fiscal 2027 [11][12] - The stock is trading at its lowest price-to-sales multiple in over a decade, indicating potential undervaluation and solid returns for investors over the next five years [12]
Top Stock Movers Now: Nike, Boeing, MP Materials, and More
Investopedia· 2025-06-27 16:01
Group 1 - U.S. equities surged at midday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching record highs due to a trade deal between the U.S. and China, with more agreements anticipated [1][5] - Nike (NKE) emerged as the top performer in the Dow and S&P 500 after reporting better-than-expected results and a positive outlook, indicating the success of its turnaround plan [1][5] - Boeing (BA) shares were positively impacted by the U.S.-China trade news, which is expected to enhance the company's sales in China [2] Group 2 - Shares of mining companies such as Nemont (NEM) and Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) declined as gold and other precious metal prices fell following the trade news [3][5] - The announcement of a collaboration deal between Cyngn (CYN) and Nvidia (NVDA) led to a significant increase in Cyngn's shares, which soared 171% [2] - Life sciences company Bio-Techne (TECH) experienced a decline in shares after warnings of "big-picture headwinds" facing the sector [3]
Understanding Lululemon (LULU) Reliance on International Revenue
ZACKS· 2025-06-09 14:16
Core Insights - Lululemon's international operations are crucial for assessing its financial resilience and growth prospects, especially given the interconnected global economy [2][3] - The company's total revenue for the quarter reached $2.37 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.3% [4] International Revenue Breakdown - Canada contributed $292.82 million, accounting for 12.35% of total revenue, which was a surprise decrease of -3.35% compared to expectations [5] - China Mainland generated $368.1 million, representing 15.53% of total revenue, with a slight miss of -0.42% against analyst estimates [6] - Revenue from Hong Kong SAR, Taiwan, and Macau SAR was $44.1 million, making up 1.86% of total revenue, exceeding expectations by +8.5% [7] - Other geographic areas contributed $283.9 million, or 11.98% of total revenue, surpassing projections by +4.76% [8] Future Revenue Projections - For the current fiscal quarter, total revenue is projected at $2.54 billion, a 7.1% increase year-over-year, with expected contributions from Canada (13.4%), China Mainland (15.5%), Hong Kong SAR, Taiwan, and Macau SAR (1.7%), and Other geographic areas (12.2%) [9] - For the full year, total revenue is anticipated to be $11.29 billion, reflecting a 6.7% increase from the previous year, with specific contributions from various regions [10] Strategic Considerations - The reliance on global markets presents both opportunities and challenges for Lululemon, making the analysis of international revenue trends essential for forecasting future performance [12] - Analysts closely monitor these trends to adjust earnings forecasts, influenced by the company's performance in both international and domestic markets [13]