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美元迷雾:AI狂潮、政策博弈与霸权暗战
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 12:22
Group 1 - The recent rebound of the US dollar is driven more by global liquidity arbitrage rather than traditional economic logic, with investors borrowing in low-cost currencies like yen and franc to invest in US bonds with higher yields [1] - The prolonged government shutdown in the US has created policy uncertainty, which has reduced the risk of currency volatility and opened a window for arbitrage trading [2] - The influx of capital into US dollar-denominated assets is being fueled by a massive supply of dollar assets from tech giants issuing debt, creating a "non-official QE" effect that directs global liquidity towards the US [2][3] Group 2 - The current AI investment narrative is shifting the support for the dollar from "debt faith" to "technology faith," as it aims to enhance total factor productivity [3] - Companies like Meta are using complex legal structures to offload significant long-term debt from their balance sheets, which could create potential liabilities if AI investments do not yield expected returns [4] - The rise in the ICE high-yield index spread indicates that investors are demanding higher compensation for potential default risks in the tech sector, particularly among non-major companies, which could signal an impending crisis [7] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve is engaging in a sophisticated "asset swap" strategy to lower long-term interest rates without excessive liquidity, supporting the economy and facilitating Treasury bond issuance [10] - The future of the dollar hinges on global confidence in three key areas: the reality of the AI revolution, the health of financial markets, and the US government's ability to manage the economy effectively [11]
Short-Term Treasuries: My Pick Is VGSH Over SCHO
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-11 08:03
Group 1 - Investing in long duration bonds is favorable when interest rates are declining, but the current rate environment is volatile since the last Fed meeting [1] - There is an opportunity to secure high short-term yields amidst the fluctuating interest rates [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of informed decision-making in finance, aiming to empower readers with insights and analysis [1]
Global Markets Grapple with Policy Distrust, NEV Regulations, and Indian Market Volatility
Stock Market News· 2025-10-10 04:08
Gold Market - A significant gold rally has seen prices soar past $3,800 per ounce, indicating growing distrust in global fiscal and monetary policies [2][7] - The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) has experienced a substantial 42% gain this year, reflecting heightened investor interest in gold as a safe haven [2][7] Automotive Sector - China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has announced new, stricter technical requirements for energy-saving and new energy vehicles (NEVs) to qualify for tax incentives, effective January 1, 2024 [3][7] - Non-compliant vehicles will be removed from the eligible catalog starting June 1, 2024, with a grace period for existing models until May 31, 2024 [3][7] - Tax incentives can include a full exemption or a 50% reduction, up to a maximum of 30,000 yuan ($4,100), for purchases made between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2025 [3][7] Indian Financial Market - The Indian Rupee (INR) opened steady at 88.78 against the U.S. dollar, reflecting a slight depreciation trend amidst investor caution [4][7] - India's 10-year benchmark government bond yield experienced a marginal decline, settling at 6.5230%, down from 6.5239% [5][7] - The NSE Index began trading with a minor dip, opening down 0.06% in pre-open trade, indicating a cautious start for Indian equities [5][7]
2025年英国毕业生就业调查报告出炉,薪资大起底!究竟哪些专业更吃香?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 14:16
在规划留学的过程中, "性价比"与"未来就业薪资前景"是学生和家长比较关心的问题之一。英国权威机 构 High Fliers Research的 《毕业生就业市场报告》给出了关键数据:平均起薪、招聘需求旺盛的行业等 等。这份报告中的信息无论对于将来想在英国求职的同学,还是未选定专业方向的低年级同学们来说, 都具有很大的参考价值。本期分享我们就来 为各位同学解读最新的《2025年毕业生就业市场报告》。 图片来源 High Fliers官网 01 什么是英国毕业生就业调查报告? High Fliers Research发布的英国毕业生就业调查报告是规模较大、较为权威的对英国大学最后一年学生进 行的年度调查。这份调查报告的数据基于对2024年毕业生深入调查,采访了30多所顶尖大学约15,000名左 右入围者,以及60多家国内外毕业生雇主。 图片来源 High Fliers官网 02 哪些是高薪行业? 首先是大部分同学都很关心的"高薪行业"。人们都说人生最幸福的事情之一就是"把自己的兴趣变成事 业",对于还没有确定自己申请专业的同学,快来看看自己感兴趣的方向是否属于有"钱"途的专业之一 吧。 图片来源 High Fl ...