How long will the Disney-YouTube TV carriage dispute last? The Mouse House just told investors that it doesn't know. Disney reported earnings on Thursday morning and shared its 10-K form, an annual filing with information about its business.While Disney didn't mention YouTube, YouTube TV, or Google in its quarterly earnings or prepared executive commentary, it referenced its long-running standoff with the tech giant on its 10-K form in the "risk factors" section. Disney disclosed to investors that its "ch ...

Core Insights - Disney is currently engaged in negotiations with YouTube TV regarding a carriage dispute that has resulted in the blackout of several key networks, including ABC and ESPN, affecting millions of subscribers [1][2]. Group 1: Negotiation Status - Disney's CFO, Hugh Johnston, confirmed that negotiations are ongoing and that the company is prepared for a challenging battle [1]. - The standoff has lasted for two weeks, with significant programming, including college football and Monday Night Football, being affected [2]. Group 2: Impact on Viewers and Ratings - The absence of Disney's networks on YouTube TV has led to a 21% decline in ratings for a key NFL game scheduled for November 3 [2]. - Johnston emphasized that the situation is detrimental to YouTube customers who are missing critical sports content during the football season [4]. Group 3: Leverage in Negotiations - Johnston argued that Disney may have leverage in the negotiations due to the importance of sports content for viewers, suggesting that there are alternative platforms available for sports [4]. - He refrained from discussing specific negotiation points, indicating that both parties have their own demands [5].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Grupo Televisa's consolidated operating segment income margin expanded by 100 basis points year-on-year to 38.2%, driven by a year-on-year OPEX reduction of around 7% [3] - The company generated approximately MXN 4.2 billion in free cash flow, leading to a reduction in leverage ratio from 2.5 times EBITDA at the end of last year to 2.1 times [4] - TelevisaUnivision's third quarter revenue was $1.3 billion, a decline of 3% year-on-year, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 9% to $460 million [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The broadband gross ads improved, resulting in 22,000 net ads during the third quarter, compared to 6,000 in the second quarter [8] - Revenue from residential operations decreased by only 0.7% year-on-year to MXN 10.6 billion, marking the best quarter in two years for revenue growth [10] - TelevisaUnivision's consolidated subscription and licensing revenue increased by 3% year-on-year, driven by ViX's premium tier [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., advertising revenue decreased by 11%, while in Mexico, it increased by 3% year-on-year, primarily due to private and public sector ad sales [14] - The company ended the quarter with TelevisaUnivision's leverage at 5.5 times EBITDA, an improvement from 5.9 times in the previous quarter [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on attracting and retaining value customers in cable, which has led to growth in the internet subscriber base [2] - A disciplined CAPEX deployment approach is being maintained, with a budget of $600 million for 2025, implying a CAPEX to sales ratio of less than 20% [3] - Deleveraging remains a core strategic priority for TelevisaUnivision, with management committed to strengthening the capital structure [6] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing integration between Easy and Sky, which is expected to create greater value for shareholders [15] - The company views the current market dynamics as rational, with price increases being implemented by competitors, except for Telmex [32] - Management believes that the margins achieved in TelevisaUnivision are sustainable due to efficient content production and ownership of a large content library [50] Other Important Information - The company has successfully refinanced $2.3 billion of debt, enhancing liquidity and extending maturity profiles [6] - The partnership with Formula One is expected to provide a competitive advantage and drive subscriber growth [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: CAPEX outlook for 2026 and insurance claim related to Hurricane Otis - Management indicated that the CAPEX guidance for 2025 is around $600 million and confirmed that the insurance claim related to Hurricane Otis is the last portion expected [17][18] Question: Transition of local news content to ViX and advertising investments - Management acknowledged the importance of local news and is exploring its inclusion in the streaming platform while also discussing media for equity deals with startups [21][23] Question: Short-term and medium-term competition dynamics in cable - Management noted that the market is close to full penetration, focusing on high-end clients to increase ARPU, while Sky is viewed as a cash flow generator despite declining subscriber numbers [27][30] Question: Expectations for cable growth rates and sustainability of margins - Management expects diminishing net ads as market penetration increases but believes in ongoing margin improvements through technology and operational efficiencies [41][43]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Grupo Televisa's consolidated operating segment income margin expanded by around 80 basis points to 38.1% in the first half of the year, driven by a year-on-year OpEx reduction of around 7% [3] - The leverage ratio improved to 2.2x EBITDA at the end of the second quarter from 2.4x at the end of the first quarter, primarily due to free cash flow generation [4] - Televisa Univision's second quarter revenue declined by 4% year on year, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 10% [12][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cable operations ended June with a network of almost 20 million homes, with a monthly churn rate falling below the historical average of 2% [7] - Broadband growth improved with over 6,000 net adds during the second quarter, compared to disconnections of around 6,000 in the first quarter [8] - Sky's second quarter revenue declined by 16.3% year on year, primarily due to a lower subscriber base, resulting in a loss of 347,000 revenue-generating units [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Televisa Univision's advertising revenue in the U.S. decreased by 2%, while in Mexico, it declined by 13% year on year, driven by the depreciation of the Mexican peso [14] - Subscription and licensing revenue in the U.S. increased by 9%, while in Mexico, it fell by 23% [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on attracting and retaining value customers in cable, which has stabilized the Internet subscriber base [3] - A disciplined CapEx deployment approach is being maintained to focus on free cash flow generation, with a reduction in the CapEx budget from $665 million to $600 million [4][26] - Deleveraging remains a core strategic priority for Televisa Univision, with management committed to strengthening the capital structure [6] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes that the distribution business remains strong, with ongoing analysis of alternatives to generate value [18] - The integration of Sky is nearing completion, with no expected burden from disconnections due to a variable cost structure [20][22] - The company is enhancing digital sales and monetization strategies, particularly in the U.S. market [38][40] Other Important Information - The company generated around ARS 3.6 billion in free cash flow, allowing for the prepayment of a bank loan due in 2026 [4] - The efficiency plan at Televisa Univision is proving successful, with total operating expenses declining by around 13% year on year [5] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does Televisa Univision view the separation between content streaming and cable TV in the U.S.? - Management sees value in keeping distribution and content bundled for now, as it remains a significant revenue business [18] Question: What are the expectations for CapEx and broadband adds in the second half of the year? - CapEx guidance has been updated to $600 million, and churn is expected to remain low due to a focus on high-end subscribers [26][27] Question: How is the competition evolving in the market? - The competition in Mexico is rational, with no significant price swings, which supports the company's strategy [32]

Group 1 - Walt Disney Co has finalized a $439 million deal with Comcast to fully acquire Hulu [1] - Disney's stock is currently trading at $118.75, up 2.6%, marking its third consecutive gain and a new 52-week peak [2] - Over the last nine months, Disney shares have increased by 34% and are on track to extend a 6.5% year-to-date gain [2] Group 2 - The recent peak in Disney's stock price coincides with low implied volatility, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 18%, in the 1st percentile of its annual range [3] - Historically, similar low volatility conditions have led to a 10.4% gain in the stock one month later [3] - If this trend continues, Disney's stock could surpass $131 for the first time since April 2022 [3] Group 3 - There is a potential for additional upward momentum due to a decrease in pessimism among short-term options traders, as indicated by the Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) in the 84th percentile of annual readings [6] - This suggests an unusual appetite for bearish bets recently [6] - The current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for options trading, with Disney's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) scoring 94 out of 100, indicating it has exceeded options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [7]

Core Insights - Comcast is celebrating the intersection of art and technology by showcasing sculptures that represent mobile solutions for small businesses [1][2] - The sculptures are displayed in four high-traffic locations in Miami and will remain until the end of June [2] - A sweepstakes is being held for local businesses, offering a chance to win a $15,000 grand prize [7] Company Initiatives - Comcast Business aims to support the business community in Miami-Dade County, regardless of size, by providing technology solutions [8][9] - The company has partnered with local artists to create visually impactful sculptures that highlight the importance of connectivity and creativity [2][8] Artist Contributions - The featured artists include Abstrk, Atomik, Brian Butler, and Jose Mertz, each bringing unique styles and perspectives to the project [3][4][5][6] - Their works reflect Miami's vibrant culture and aim to illuminate the often-hidden contributions of local artists [6][7] Community Engagement - The initiative encourages community interaction with the art pieces and promotes local business participation through the sweepstakes [2][7] - Comcast Business is committed to fostering innovation and expression within the Miami community [9]

Core Viewpoint - Comcast's Q1 2025 earnings report revealed a higher-than-expected broadband subscriber loss, impacting stock performance despite some revenue and EBITDA growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1 2025 was $29.9 billion, a decrease of 0.6% year-over-year, but approximately $100 million above consensus estimates [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $9.5 billion, reflecting a 1.9% year-over-year increase and about $400 million above estimates [3]. - Adjusted EPS increased by 4.8% year-over-year to $1.09, exceeding estimates by $0.10 [3]. Subscriber Trends - Broadband subscribers decreased by 199,000 quarter-over-quarter to 31.643 million, worse than the consensus estimate of a 146,000 loss [3]. - Video subscribers fell by 427,000 to 12.1 million, exceeding the consensus loss by 11,000 [4]. - Wireless subscribers increased by 323,000, bringing the total to 8.15 million, which was 27,000 above estimates [4]. Strategic Initiatives - Comcast introduced a new 5-year fixed-cost pricing plan starting at $55/month, which includes unlimited data, Wi-Fi, and a free mobile service line for one year [3][4]. - The company anticipates that the new pricing plan will require investment, potentially impacting EBITDA growth [4]. Market and Competitive Landscape - The advertising market remained flat, excluding political and sports influences, with no immediate macroeconomic impacts observed [2]. - Competitive intensity has increased, contributing to subscriber losses and necessitating a strategic transition in pricing [2]. Future Developments - Comcast is planning new attractions, including a Universal Theme Park and Resort in Bedford, England, set to open in 2031, with construction starting in 2026 [6]. - The company reported strong demand for the upcoming Epic Universe, with pre-opening costs of $100 million as previously guided [5].

Core Points - Comcast has announced a donation of $50,000 to support nonprofit organizations in Arkansas and Tennessee affected by recent severe storms, specifically tornadoes and flooding [2] - The donation aims to provide essential resources to families and businesses impacted by the storms, reflecting Comcast's commitment to community support during crises [4][5] - Comcast's efforts include not only financial contributions but also repairing network damage to ensure continued connectivity for affected areas [2] Donation Breakdown - The donation allocation includes $20,000 to the American Red Cross Mid-South (Memphis), $15,000 to the American Red Cross of Arkansas, $10,000 to the Arkansas Food Bank, and $5,000 to Mercy Chefs (Memphis) [8] - This financial support is intended to enhance the capacity of these organizations to deliver critical relief and recovery services [6] Company Commitment - Comcast's actions are part of a broader mission to assist communities in rebuilding and recovering from disasters, emphasizing resilience and hope [4] - The company is recognized for its proactive approach in supporting essential services and connectivity during challenging times [2][6]