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Walt Disney Stock Could Extend Rally After Buyout
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-10 19:38
Group 1 - Walt Disney Co has finalized a $439 million deal with Comcast to fully acquire Hulu [1] - Disney's stock is currently trading at $118.75, up 2.6%, marking its third consecutive gain and a new 52-week peak [2] - Over the last nine months, Disney shares have increased by 34% and are on track to extend a 6.5% year-to-date gain [2] Group 2 - The recent peak in Disney's stock price coincides with low implied volatility, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 18%, in the 1st percentile of its annual range [3] - Historically, similar low volatility conditions have led to a 10.4% gain in the stock one month later [3] - If this trend continues, Disney's stock could surpass $131 for the first time since April 2022 [3] Group 3 - There is a potential for additional upward momentum due to a decrease in pessimism among short-term options traders, as indicated by the Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) in the 84th percentile of annual readings [6] - This suggests an unusual appetite for bearish bets recently [6] - The current market conditions present a favorable opportunity for options trading, with Disney's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) scoring 94 out of 100, indicating it has exceeded options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [7]
Wells Fargo Stock Rises After Fed Lifts Growth Cap
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-04 13:06
Core Insights - Wells Fargo & Co's shares increased by 2.2% following the Federal Reserve's decision to lift the asset cap that had been in place since 2018, which limited the bank's total assets to approximately $2 trillion [1] - The stock has shown a year-to-date increase of 7.7% in 2025 and a year-over-year gain of 27.5%, recovering from a low of $58.42 on April 7 [2] - Analysts have responded positively, with Morgan Stanley raising its price target to $87 and BofA Global Research increasing its forecast to $90, although some analysts still maintain "hold" ratings [3] Trading Activity - Options traders were already showing bullish sentiment prior to the Fed's announcement, with a call/put volume ratio of 2.64, placing it in the 97th percentile of annual readings [4] - Wells Fargo's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is at 94 out of 100, indicating that the stock has consistently outperformed options traders' volatility expectations, which is advantageous for premium buyers [5]