Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of thorough due diligence in investment research, highlighting the author's extensive experience in the freight forwarding industry and the ability to identify valuable investment opportunities [1]. Group 1 - The author has over 20 years of experience in the freight forwarding industry, which provides valuable insights into market dynamics and investment psychology [1]. - The approach to investing is often contrarian, suggesting a focus on uncovering hidden opportunities in the market [1]. - The emphasis is placed on making money work effectively for investors, rather than against them, indicating a proactive investment strategy [1].

Grupo Televisa (TV) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 23, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsAlfonso de Angoitia Noriega - Co-CEOFrancisco Valim - CEO of IZZI Grupo Televisa´s Cable CompanyMilenna Okamura - Equity Research AssociateConference Call ParticipantsEmilio Fuentes - Senior Analyst - Equity ResearchLivea M - Equity Research AnalystMatthew Harrigan - Equity Research AnalystOperatorMorning. Welcome to Coripa Televisa's second quarter twenty twenty five conference call. Before we begin, I would like to dra ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Grupo Televisa's consolidated operating segment income margin expanded by around 80 basis points to 38.1% in the first half of the year, driven by a year-on-year OpEx reduction of around 7% [3] - The leverage ratio improved to 2.2x EBITDA at the end of the second quarter from 2.4x at the end of the first quarter, primarily due to free cash flow generation [4] - Televisa Univision's second quarter revenue declined by 4% year on year, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 10% [12][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cable operations ended June with a network of almost 20 million homes, with a monthly churn rate falling below the historical average of 2% [7] - Broadband growth improved with over 6,000 net adds during the second quarter, compared to disconnections of around 6,000 in the first quarter [8] - Sky's second quarter revenue declined by 16.3% year on year, primarily due to a lower subscriber base, resulting in a loss of 347,000 revenue-generating units [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Televisa Univision's advertising revenue in the U.S. decreased by 2%, while in Mexico, it declined by 13% year on year, driven by the depreciation of the Mexican peso [14] - Subscription and licensing revenue in the U.S. increased by 9%, while in Mexico, it fell by 23% [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on attracting and retaining value customers in cable, which has stabilized the Internet subscriber base [3] - A disciplined CapEx deployment approach is being maintained to focus on free cash flow generation, with a reduction in the CapEx budget from $665 million to $600 million [4][26] - Deleveraging remains a core strategic priority for Televisa Univision, with management committed to strengthening the capital structure [6] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes that the distribution business remains strong, with ongoing analysis of alternatives to generate value [18] - The integration of Sky is nearing completion, with no expected burden from disconnections due to a variable cost structure [20][22] - The company is enhancing digital sales and monetization strategies, particularly in the U.S. market [38][40] Other Important Information - The company generated around ARS 3.6 billion in free cash flow, allowing for the prepayment of a bank loan due in 2026 [4] - The efficiency plan at Televisa Univision is proving successful, with total operating expenses declining by around 13% year on year [5] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does Televisa Univision view the separation between content streaming and cable TV in the U.S.? - Management sees value in keeping distribution and content bundled for now, as it remains a significant revenue business [18] Question: What are the expectations for CapEx and broadband adds in the second half of the year? - CapEx guidance has been updated to $600 million, and churn is expected to remain low due to a focus on high-end subscribers [26][27] Question: How is the competition evolving in the market? - The competition in Mexico is rational, with no significant price swings, which supports the company's strategy [32]

美国股票、债券和货币齐齐遭到抛售的"三杀"局面告一段落。但观察市场数据可以看到，市 场参与者仍然没有放松紧张情绪。美国经济是导致美国股债汇"三杀"的关键…… 在金融市场上，对美国特朗普政府政策操作的过度警惕感逐渐缓解。上周，美国股票、债券和货币齐齐 遭到抛售的"三杀"局面告一段落。但观察市场数据可以看到，市场参与者仍然没有放松紧张情绪，认为 抛售美国可能复燃。本周（4月28日开始的一周）将公布美国就业指标的结果，根据内容，市场的平静 可能会被打破。 上周的外汇市场上，4月以来持续的美元贬值趋势得到了遏制。代表美元对主要货币综合实力的"美元指 数"4月21日从约三年来的底部——97区间，恢复到了99区间。 在交易货币买卖权利的货币期权市场上，应对日元升值和美元贬值的趋势正在缓解。反映各货币对美元 买权需求和卖权需求哪个更大的"风险逆转(Risk Reversal,1个月指标)"在4月25日为-1.5%以下。自4月3日 以来，负值最小。负值越大，表明日元买权需求越大，日元升值警惕感越强。4月11日，负值一度达 到-3.5%以下，这是自2024年8月金融市场混乱以来的最大负值。 从利率期货市场价格走势来预测今后政策 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the significant increase in the effective tariff rate imposed by the U.S., reaching the highest level since 1910, with a broad 10% minimum baseline tariff set to take effect on April 5 [4][10] - The tariffs on key trading partners vary significantly, with China facing a 34% tariff, Vietnam 46%, the EU 20%, Japan 24%, India 26%, and Thailand 36% [4][31] - The report indicates that the U.S. trade deficit is projected to reach $1.2 trillion in 2024, with China, the EU, and Mexico contributing 25%, 20%, and 14% respectively [4][31] Group 2 - China's response to U.S. tariffs has been characterized by a strong strategic stance, implementing countermeasures including a 34% tariff on all U.S. imports and export controls on certain U.S. companies [3][8] - The report anticipates further escalation of the trade conflict, particularly given the U.S. administration's firm stance and the lack of effective agreements with other countries [9][10] - The Federal Reserve's reluctance to lower interest rates in the face of high inflation and economic resilience is noted, with potential economic impacts from the tariffs expected to be more significant than previously anticipated [10][11] Group 3 - The report identifies "risk-off" sentiment in the market, with traditional safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasuries, the Japanese yen, and the VIX index experiencing strong gains, while risk assets have faced significant declines [12][15] - It suggests that the current market environment is similar to past periods of heightened uncertainty, with a focus on defensive investment strategies [12][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-dividend, domestic demand, and food security sectors as potential investment opportunities amid the ongoing trade tensions [15][20] Group 4 - The report outlines specific investment opportunities in Hong Kong stocks, particularly in high-dividend sectors, gold, semiconductor companies, and domestic consumption as a response to the trade conflict [20][22] - It highlights the potential for gold stocks to benefit from increased geopolitical risks and central bank purchases, as well as the opportunity for domestic semiconductor companies to gain from increased restrictions on imports [21][22] - The report also notes that agricultural stocks may benefit from the trade tensions, particularly those related to food security, as China imposes tariffs on U.S. agricultural products [22]