Insurance - Accident and Health

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Globe Life Is Trading at a Discount: Time to Load Up or Hold Off?
ZACKS· 2025-09-18 17:36
Core Insights - Globe Life Inc. (GL) shares are trading at a discount compared to the Zacks Insurance - Accident and Health industry, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.58X versus the industry average of 12.4X [1] - The company has experienced a year-to-date share price increase of 28.1%, outperforming the industry, sector, and S&P 500 Composite, which grew by 5.3%, 13.6%, and 13.4% respectively [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GL's 2025 revenues is $6.04 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 4.6%, while the earnings per share for the current year is estimated at $14.43, up 16.7% from the previous year [6] Financial Performance - Globe Life has a market capitalization of $11.6 billion and an average trading volume of 0.6 million shares over the last three months [3] - The average target price for GL, based on 13 analysts, is $160.15 per share, indicating a potential upside of 13.7% from the last closing price [9] - The return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months is 21.2%, surpassing the industry average of 15%, and the return on invested capital is 12.5%, compared to the industry average of 7.3% [11] Growth Drivers - Globe Life's growth is driven by a focus on niche markets and an extensive distribution network, leading to stronger premiums at American Income Life and stable growth at Liberty National [12] - The company anticipates mid-single-digit net life sales growth at American Income Life and Liberty National for 2025, with double-digit growth expected from Family Heritage and United American [14] - Investment income has seen a compound annual growth rate of 6% over the past three years, supported by higher invested assets and improved yields [15] Challenges - Rising expenses, including policyholder benefits and other operating costs, are putting pressure on margins, necessitating close monitoring of profitability [16] - Globe Life's long-term debt has increased, resulting in a debt-to-capital ratio of 33.99, significantly above the industry average of 24.98, which may affect its ability to cover interest obligations [17] - The company has increased its dividend five times over the past five years, with a current payout ratio of 8%, emphasizing shareholder value creation [18] Conclusion - Globe Life is leveraging its niche focus and agency expansion to strengthen its core business, but rising expenses and increasing debt levels present challenges to profitability and financial stability [19]
Trupanion (TRUP) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 23:46
Core Viewpoint - Trupanion reported quarterly earnings of $0.22 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.03 per share, and showing improvement from a loss of $0.14 per share a year ago [1][2] Financial Performance - The earnings surprise for the quarter was +833.33%, with the company previously expected to post a loss of $0.04 per share but instead reporting a loss of $0.03, resulting in a +25% surprise [2] - Trupanion's revenues for the quarter ended June 2025 were $353.56 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.99% and up from $314.8 million year-over-year [3] - The company has exceeded consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters [3] Stock Performance and Outlook - Trupanion shares have increased by approximately 0.9% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.9% [4] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, with current consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming quarter at -$0.02 on revenues of $354.42 million, and $0.04 on $1.4 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year [5][8] Industry Context - The Insurance - Accident and Health industry, to which Trupanion belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 14% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [9]
Aflac (AFL) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-05 22:45
Company Performance - Aflac reported quarterly earnings of $1.78 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.71 per share, but down from $1.83 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +4.09% [1] - The company posted revenues of $4.54 billion for the quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.30%, but down from $5.14 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Aflac has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped revenue estimates just once [2] Future Outlook - The sustainability of Aflac's stock price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.73 on revenues of $4.47 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $6.75 on revenues of $17.68 billion [7] Industry Context - The Insurance - Accident and Health industry, to which Aflac belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 15% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact Aflac's performance [5][6]
Trupanion (TRUP) May Report Negative Earnings: Know the Trend Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 15:07
Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when Trupanion (TRUP) reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 7. On th ...
Employers Holdings (EIG) Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 22:41
Employers Holdings (EIG) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.48 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.94 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.1 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. Employers Holdings shares have lost about 9.9% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 8.3%. What's Next for Employers Holdings? While Employers Holdings has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is ...
Unum (UNM) Lags Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-29 22:31
Group 1: Earnings Performance - Unum reported quarterly earnings of $2.07 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.23 per share, and down from $2.16 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -7.17% [1] - Over the last four quarters, Unum has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once [2] - The company posted revenues of $3.38 billion for the quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.72%, compared to $3.24 billion in the same quarter last year [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - Unum shares have increased approximately 9.7% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 8.6% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.30 on revenues of $3.3 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $8.88 on revenues of $13.23 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Unum was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Group 3: Industry Context - The Insurance - Accident and Health industry, to which Unum belongs, is currently in the bottom 30% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, suggesting that investors should monitor these revisions closely [5]
Amerisafe (AMSF) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 22:46
Core Viewpoint - Amerisafe reported quarterly earnings of $0.53 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.55 per share, and down from $0.58 per share a year ago, indicating a -3.64% earnings surprise [1] - The company posted revenues of $76.14 million for the quarter, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.5%, and showing a slight increase from $76 million year-over-year [2] Company Performance - Over the last four quarters, Amerisafe has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times, but has not beaten consensus revenue estimates during the same period [2] - Amerisafe shares have declined approximately 14.6% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 8.1% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the next quarter is $0.55 on revenues of $78.3 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.25 on revenues of $311.32 million [7] Industry Context - The Insurance - Accident and Health industry, to which Amerisafe belongs, is currently ranked in the top 39% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8] - Employers Holdings, another company in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.94 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -14.6%, with revenues anticipated to be $214.65 million, down 1.1% from the previous year [9][10]
Globe Life (GL) Beats Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 22:31
Core Insights - Globe Life (GL) reported quarterly earnings of $3.27 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.25 per share, and showing an increase from $2.97 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +0.62% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.5 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, which was 0.42% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but an increase from $1.45 billion year-over-year [2] - Globe Life shares have increased approximately 10.1% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.3% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $3.74, with expected revenues of $1.52 billion, and for the current fiscal year, the EPS estimate is $13.59 on revenues of $6.05 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Globe Life was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Insurance - Accident and Health industry is currently ranked in the top 38% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that stocks in the top 50% tend to outperform those in the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [8] - Another company in the same industry, Unum (UNM), is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.23 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +3.2%, with revenues anticipated to be $3.32 billion, up 2.4% from the previous year [9][10]
Earnings Preview: Employers Holdings (EIG) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:08
Company Overview - Employers Holdings (EIG) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings, with expected earnings of $0.94 per share, reflecting a decrease of 14.6% compared to the previous year [3] - Revenues for the quarter are projected to be $214.65 million, which is a decline of 1.1% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their outlook for the company [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Employers Holdings is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.19%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Employers Holdings exceeded the expected earnings of $0.69 per share by delivering $0.87, resulting in a surprise of +26.09% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates on all occasions [14] Industry Context - In the broader context of the Zacks Insurance - Accident and Health industry, Unum (UNM) is expected to report earnings of $2.23 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year increase of 3.2% [18] - Unum's revenue is projected to be $3.32 billion, reflecting a growth of 2.4% from the previous year [18]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Globe Life Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 13:50
Core Insights - Investors in Globe Life Inc. (GL) should monitor stock movements due to significant activity in the options market, particularly the Aug 15, 2025 $95.00 Call which has high implied volatility [1] - Implied volatility indicates market expectations for future stock movement, suggesting potential upcoming events that could lead to significant price changes [2] - Analysts have mixed views on Globe Life, with one increasing earnings estimates while three have decreased them, resulting in a slight drop in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter from $3.26 to $3.25 per share [3] Options Market Dynamics - The high implied volatility surrounding Globe Life shares may indicate a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay [4] - Seasoned traders typically hope that the underlying stock does not move as much as initially expected by expiration, which aligns with the current market sentiment for Globe Life [4]