Summary of Victory Giant Tech (300476.SZ) 4Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Victory Giant Tech (VGT) - **Ticker**: 300476.SZ - **Market Cap**: Rmb244,734 million (approximately US$35,131 million) [2] Financial Performance - **4Q25 NP Guidance**: Rmb915-1,315 million, with a midpoint indicating a 1% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) growth, which missed Citi's estimates by 30% and Bloomberg's by 36% [1][3] - **Comparison with Previous Quarters**: - High-end NP: Rmb1,315 million (Citi estimate: Rmb1,597 million, -18% difference) - Low-end NP: Rmb915 million (Citi estimate: Rmb1,597 million, -43% difference) - Mid-point NP: Rmb1,115 million (Citi estimate: Rmb1,597 million, -30% difference) [3] Key Drivers and Challenges - **Key Drivers**: - Continued revenue contribution from GB300 expected in 1Q26 [1] - Anticipated catalysts in March, including GTC, OFC, initial CCL/PCB order indications for Rubin, and final testing results of Rubin Ultra backplane [1] - **Challenges**: - Price cut pressure on key GPU products [1] - Delays in potential ASIC orders not starting mass production [1] - Overall sentiment in the VGT/PCB sector expected to remain range-bound during January-February [1] Valuation and Investment Outlook - **Target Price**: Rmb407.00, based on a 30x 2026E P/E ratio [8] - **Expected Earnings Growth**: 96% CAGR from 2025-2027, driven by: - Robust growth from GenAI-related PCB demand - Potential improvement in average selling price (ASP) and gross margin (GM) due to favorable product mix - Business opportunities in datacenter switches and ASICs [8] Risks - **Downside Risks**: - Less-than-expected share allocation in GenAI-related PCB due to yield issues - Pricing and competition pressures in the automotive supply chain - CSP capital expenditure reductions and weak economic conditions lowering demand - Increasing material costs - US-China geopolitical risks [9] Investment Recommendation - **Rating**: Buy [5] - **Expected Total Return**: 45.2%, including a 0.4% expected dividend yield [2] Conclusion Victory Giant Tech's 4Q25 performance fell short of expectations, primarily due to pricing pressures and production delays. However, the company is positioned for significant growth in the coming years, supported by strong demand in the GenAI sector and potential improvements in product margins. Investors should remain cautious of the outlined risks while considering the long-term growth potential.

| 东材科技3天2板 (PCB) | | --- | | 逸豪新材4天2板（PCB） | 今日共67股涨停，连板股总数17只，其中三连板及以上个股6只，上一交易日共12只连板股，连板股晋级率50%（不含ST股、退市股）。个股方面，全市场 超4200只个股上涨，短线情绪改善，亚玛顿上演"地天板"收获5天4板，柳钢股份反包涨停走出6天5板。此外，若非金一文化尾盘炸板，昨日所有3连板个股 将全部晋级。板块方面，以PCB为代表的算力硬件股全天领涨，金安国纪4连板，宏和科技6天4板，权重胜宏科技大涨近9%，沪电股份涨超7%创历史新 高，业绩超预期的工业富联涨停；光伏板块再度爆发，华光环能4连板，亚玛顿5天4板，亿晶光电5天3板，权重通威股份涨停。 | 连板数 晋级率 | | 2025-7-8 | | --- | --- | --- | | 4/5=80% 3 #4 | 华银电力(电力+业绩) | | | | 华光环能（电力+光伏） | | | 2进3 2/7=28% | 新中港 (电力) | | | 1讲2 11/55=20% | 四方新材(基建) | | | | 沃顿科技(半导体) | | | | 联环药业(创新药) ...