NewBridge Asset Management, an investment management company, recently released its Q4 2025 letter for “NewBridge Large Cap Growth Equity Strategy”. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. Equity markets continued their upward momentum in the fourth quarter, driven by resilient economic growth and solid corporate returns. In the fourth quarter, large-cap growth outperformed, while in the third quarter, small-cap and value equities exceeded the growth strategy. The NewBridge Large Cap Growth Strategy g ...

22 January 2026 | 4:11PM EST Equity Research AMERICAS TECHNOLOGY: INTERNET Ridesharing & Delivery Q4'25 Preview: Analyzing the Industry Debates & Estimates In previewing the upcoming earnings season for the Mobility/Delivery Internet sub-sector, we expect reported results to come in broadly inline with investor expectations, with a relatively healthy consumer backdrop across all industry work and conversations. Within this note, we take the opportunity to update our UCAN Rideshare Industry model and US Food ...

Core Insights - DoorDash Inc. and Uber Technologies Inc. have reportedly deprived New York delivery workers of over $550 million in tips due to changes in their app interfaces [1][6] - The companies moved tipping prompts to less visible locations after new pay standards for delivery workers were implemented in December 2023, resulting in a significant drop in average tips [2][6] Company Actions - The Mayor's administration indicated that the companies raised service fees to subsidize new pay rates while altering the in-app tipping function to appear after checkout, making upfront costs seem lower [2] - DoorDash has publicly disputed the findings of the report, claiming that delivery workers receive 100% of tips placed through the app [3] Regulatory Environment - Mayor Mamdani's administration is focused on improving working conditions for delivery workers, having signed an executive order to address junk fees and misleading subscriptions, specifically targeting Uber and DoorDash [7] - New amendments to the city's delivery worker laws require apps to provide more prominent tipping options, including the ability to tip during checkout and offering a selectable 10% tip suggestion [9] Legal Challenges - DoorDash and Uber have jointly filed a lawsuit against the city to block the new tipping requirements, arguing that they infringe on their First Amendment rights [10] Future Outlook - New laws protecting workers' tips are set to take effect in 2026, with the Department of Consumer and Worker Protection committed to transparency regarding the practices of delivery app companies [11]

Group 1 - L1 Capital International Fund focuses on investing in high-quality companies with favorable cashflow-based valuations, emphasizing the importance of valuation analysis for AI-focused investments [1] - In 2025, the fund achieved a return of 9.8% net of fees, underperforming the benchmark MSCI World Net Total Return Index, which returned 12.4% [1] - The fund's fourth-quarter return was 2.2% net of fees, compared to 2.5% for the benchmark [1] Group 2 - Uber Technologies, Inc. is highlighted as a key investment, recognized as a leader in ridesharing and meal delivery networks [3] - As of January 14, 2026, Uber's stock closed at $84.65, with a one-month return of 6.96% and a 52-week gain of 26.31% [2] - Uber has a market capitalization of $177.47 billion with approximately 69.96 million shares outstanding [2] Group 3 - Uber is viewed as a "battleground" company with inherent uncertainties, categorized as a higher-risk, higher-return investment opportunity, and is a smaller position in the fund's portfolio [3] - The company is collaborating with various firms in the autonomous vehicle space, positioning itself well in a hybrid market of human-driven and autonomous vehicles [3] - Despite its potential, some analysts believe that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential with less downside risk compared to Uber [4]

Core Viewpoint - Uber Technologies is a dominant player in the ridesharing industry, holding approximately 75% of the U.S. market, but faces challenges in the autonomous vehicle sector [1][2][6] Market Position - Uber controls about 75% of the U.S. ridesharing market and competes closely with Lyft [1] - The company's stock has been under pressure due to competition in the self-driving vehicle sector [2][6] Stock Performance - Uber's stock has lagged behind the S&P 500 index since its IPO in mid-2019, with a current price of approximately $86.26, reflecting a 0.84% increase [3] - The stock has traded between $85.90 and $87.73 today, with a market cap of approximately $179.23 billion [3] Revenue and Growth Potential - Despite challenges, Uber remains a strong cash generator with impressive revenue growth, indicating potential for future stock improvement [2][6] - The potential success of Uber's autonomous vehicle business is not fully reflected in the current stock price, suggesting room for significant growth in the coming years [5] Legislative Developments - A legislative push led by Republican Representative Brett Guthrie aims to facilitate the deployment of autonomous vehicles in the U.S., which could benefit companies like Uber [4] - The proposed Motor Vehicle Modernization Act seeks to increase the number of AVs exempt from certain safety standards, impacting Uber's AV business [4]

Core Viewpoint - Uber has underperformed the stock market since its 2019 IPO, but there are indications that this trend may change as the company continues to grow and innovate in a rapidly expanding market [2][8]. Group 1: Market Position and Growth - Uber dominates approximately 75% of the ridesharing market in the United States and operates in around 15,000 cities across more than 70 countries [3][4]. - The global ridesharing market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 18%, reaching $788 billion by 2035, providing a significant tailwind for Uber [4]. - Uber's revenue is growing at a rate of 20% year over year, with nearly $50 billion in annual revenue, and it has converted 17.4% of its revenue into free cash flow over the past four quarters [6]. Group 2: Financial Metrics and Valuation - Uber's stock has increased by 25% over the past year, but it currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just over 19 times 2026 earnings estimates, indicating a low valuation for a company with strong growth [8]. - The company is expected to have earnings of $4.25 per share in 2026, with a conservative assumption of a 20% CAGR for earnings growth [15]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Future Plans - Concerns exist regarding the rise of self-driving vehicles and autonomous ridesharing services, which could impact Uber's business model, as compensating human drivers is a significant expense [9][10]. - Uber is actively pursuing partnerships, such as with Nvidia, to develop self-driving technology and plans to build an autonomous fleet of 100,000 vehicles starting in 2027 [11]. - If Uber successfully implements its autonomous plans, the stock could potentially trade at a price as high as $294, representing over a 250% gain over three years [16].

Core Viewpoint - Lyft Inc. is facing significant challenges due to its exclusive focus on the US ridesharing market and is considered vulnerable to autonomous vehicle (AV) disruption, leading to concerns about its long-term valuation being overestimated [1][3]. Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Wedbush downgraded Lyft to Underperform from Neutral, setting a new price target of $16, down from $20, citing high vulnerability to AV disruption [1]. - Jefferies reduced its price target on Lyft to $22 from $23 while maintaining a Hold rating, warning that rising operational investments may hinder profit margin growth [2]. - Wells Fargo raised its price target on Lyft to $26 from $20 with an Equal Weight rating, acknowledging potential benefits from a strong domestic market forecast but remaining cautious due to concerns over international expansion [3]. Group 2: Business Model and Market Position - Lyft operates a peer-to-peer marketplace for on-demand ridesharing in the US and Canada, utilizing multimodal transportation networks through its platform and mobile applications [4]. - The company's specialized focus on the US market may provide short-term benefits, but its lack of a diversified business model raises long-term concerns [1][3].

Core Insights - Uber Technologies has launched robotaxi passenger rides in Dubai in partnership with WeRide, marking a significant step in the autonomous vehicle market in the Middle East [1][4] - The robotaxi service is available through the Uber app in popular tourist areas, following a successful pilot program [2][3] - Uber's strategy focuses on partnerships to minimize R&D costs while expanding its autonomous vehicle capabilities [5] Business Performance - Uber's gross bookings grew by 21% year over year to $48.7 billion in the third quarter of 2025, driven by strong performance in both Mobility and Delivery segments [9][10] - The Mobility segment saw a revenue increase of 20% year over year, reaching $7.68 billion, while gross bookings rose 19% to $25.1 billion [7][8] - The Delivery segment also performed well, with revenues growing 27% year over year and gross bookings increasing 24% to $23.3 billion [9] Market Position and Strategy - The launches in Dubai and Abu Dhabi enhance Uber's position as a leader in the global autonomous transportation market [4][10] - Uber's partnership-driven approach allows it to leverage technology from other leaders in the AV space, avoiding heavy in-house development costs [5] - The global autonomous vehicle market is projected to grow from approximately $106 billion in 2021 to over $2.3 trillion by 2030, indicating significant growth potential for Uber [5] Expansion Efforts - Uber is diversifying its services beyond ridesharing, including food delivery and freight, to mitigate risks and enhance growth [10][11] - Recent partnerships, such as with ALDI, expand Uber Eats offerings, allowing grocery deliveries from over 2,500 stores [12] Valuation - Uber's stock is currently undervalued, trading at a price-to-sales multiple of 2.76, significantly lower than the industry average of 7.22 [13]

Upgrades - Keefe Bruyette upgraded Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) to Outperform from Market Perform with an unchanged price target of $16, citing attractive entry point for shares [2] - JPMorgan upgraded Paccar (PCAR) to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $133, increased from $108, due to offsetting tariff-related headwinds following the latest Section 232 proclamation [3] - Wells Fargo upgraded Generac (GNRC) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $195, up from $186, highlighting a "near-free call option" on data center growth after recent share pullback [4] - Barclays upgraded Cummins (CMI) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $546, increased from $515, reflecting new emissions rules and reduced R&D expenses [5] - Citizens upgraded Stryker (SYK) to Outperform from Market Perform with a price target of $440, citing reasonable valuation at current share levels [5] Downgrades - Wedbush downgraded Lyft (LYFT) to Underperform from Neutral with a price target of $16, down from $20, due to risks from autonomous vehicle disruption in the U.S. ridesharing market [6] - JPMorgan downgraded Lockheed Martin (LMT) to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $515, up from $465, based on out-year cash flow estimates being below consensus [6] - Raymond James downgraded Allegiant Travel (ALGT) to Outperform from Strong Buy with a price target of $98, up from $78, citing valuation concerns after recent share strength [6] - Deutsche Bank downgraded Elevance Health (ELV) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $320, down from $332, due to reduced estimates and challenging macro environment [6] - Williams Trading downgraded Birkenstock (BIRK) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $51, down from $75, following earnings report and lack of clarity from management [6]

Core Viewpoint - Uber Technologies, Inc. is viewed positively by Jim Cramer, who believes the stock is no longer expensive and suggests a buying strategy at various price points [1][2]. Company Overview - Uber operates technology platforms that connect users for mobility, delivery, and freight services, including ridesharing, food and retail delivery, and digital freight logistics [2]. Financial Performance - Despite a strong quarterly performance, Wall Street's reaction was not as favorable, indicating a disconnect between the company's results and market perception [3]. Strategic Goals - Uber aims to grow its market share in both ride-sharing and delivery sectors, enhance customer engagement through cross-selling, and expand its Uber One Membership program while maintaining profitability [3].