Core Insights - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] - The Zacks Momentum Style Score helps investors identify stocks with potential momentum, addressing the challenges in defining momentum [2] Company Overview: Hasbro (HAS) - Hasbro currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook for the stock [3][4] - Over the past week, Hasbro's shares increased by 0.5%, while the Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry remained flat [6] - In the last month, Hasbro's stock price rose by 5.92%, matching the industry's performance [6] - Over the past quarter, Hasbro's shares increased by 17.39%, and over the last year, they gained 52.37%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which rose by 3.36% and 18.44% respectively [7] Trading Volume and Market Activity - Hasbro's average 20-day trading volume is 1,392,049 shares, which serves as a baseline for price-to-volume analysis [8] - A rising stock with above-average volume is generally considered a bullish sign, while a declining stock with above-average volume is typically bearish [8] Earnings Outlook - Recent earnings estimate revisions for Hasbro show one estimate increased for the full year, raising the consensus estimate from $5.00 to $5.01 [10] - For the next fiscal year, two estimates have moved upwards with no downward revisions, indicating positive sentiment [10] Conclusion - Considering the positive momentum indicators and earnings outlook, Hasbro is positioned as a 2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a potential candidate for near-term investment [12]

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro's stock has shown strong performance, reaching a 52-week high and outperforming both the broader consumer discretionary sector and the toys industry [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Hasbro's shares have increased by 5.5% over the past month and 4.4% since the beginning of the year, compared to a 2.5% increase in the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and a 28.2% return in the Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry [1]. - The stock reached a new 52-week high of $86.51 in the previous session [1]. Group 2: Earnings Performance - Hasbro has a strong record of positive earnings surprises, having met or exceeded earnings consensus estimates in the last four quarters [2]. - In the latest earnings report on October 23, 2025, Hasbro reported an EPS of $1.68, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.66, and beat the revenue estimate by 3.16% [2]. Group 3: Future Earnings Estimates - For the current fiscal year, Hasbro is projected to earn $5.44 per share on revenues of $4.54 billion, with a year-over-year change of 8.58% [3]. - For the next fiscal year, earnings are expected to rise to $5.89 per share on revenues of $4.81 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of 5.96% [3]. Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Hasbro's stock trades at 15.7 times the current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is above the peer industry average of 11.9 times [7]. - On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock trades at 15.4 times compared to the peer group's average of 5.6 times, with a PEG ratio of 1.53 [7]. Group 5: Zacks Rank and Style Scores - Hasbro has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), supported by a solid earnings estimate revision trend [8]. - The company has a Value Score of C, Growth Score of B, and Momentum Score of C, resulting in a combined VGM Score of B [6][8].

Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry is facing challenges from high production and logistics costs, alongside changing consumer spending patterns, but strong franchise partnerships, e-commerce growth, and product innovation present positive prospects for companies like Hasbro and Mattel [1]. Industry Overview - The industry includes companies that design, manufacture, and sell various games and toys, ranging from traditional action figures and dolls to video game platforms and related software [2]. Trends Impacting the Industry - **Cost Inflation and Supply Chain Pressures**: The industry is dealing with elevated production and logistics costs, which have not normalized post-pandemic, affecting manufacturers' margins due to higher input prices and volatile freight rates [3][4]. - **Shifting Consumer Spending**: Inflation is leading consumers to prioritize essentials over discretionary purchases like toys, resulting in reduced traffic and sales at major retailers [5][6]. - **Popularity of STEM Toys**: There is a growing demand for educational toys that promote problem-solving and creativity, with STEM toys becoming increasingly popular among families [7][8]. - **Focus on Emerging Markets**: Companies are expanding their presence in emerging markets, particularly in Eastern Europe, Asia, and Latin America, which offer greater revenue growth opportunities compared to developed markets [9]. Industry Performance - The Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 218, placing it in the bottom 10% of 243 Zacks industries, indicating dull near-term prospects [10][11][12]. - The industry has underperformed the S&P 500, with a 12% increase compared to the S&P 500's 15.1% rise, while the sector has declined by 3.3% [13]. Valuation Metrics - The industry is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 11.22X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 23.53X and the sector's 19.89X, with historical trading ranges between 10.29X and 25.55X over the past five years [16]. Company Highlights - **Hasbro**: The company is benefiting from its entertainment pipeline, strategic partnerships, and focus on high-margin segments, with shares gaining 24.1% over the past year and projected earnings growth of 7.4% for 2026 [18][19]. - **Mattel**: The company is expected to benefit from its growth optimization program and strong demand for Hot Wheels, with shares increasing by 9.3% over the past year and projected earnings of $1.74 for 2026, indicating a 10.7% year-over-year gain [21][23].

分组1 - Jakks Pacific reported quarterly earnings of $1.8 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.6 per share, and down from $4.79 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -30.77% [1] - The company posted revenues of $211.21 million for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 18.99%, and down from $321.61 million year-over-year [2] - Jakks shares have lost about 36.6% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 17.2% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is -$0.96 on revenues of $132.59 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.63 on revenues of $588.19 million [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Toys - Games - Hobbies is currently in the top 39% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating that the industry outlook can significantly impact stock performance [8]

Financial Performance - Hasbro reported quarterly earnings of $1.68 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.66 per share, but down from $1.73 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +1.20% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.39 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.16% and up from $1.28 billion year-over-year [2] Market Performance - Hasbro shares have increased approximately 34.4% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 13.9% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.90 on revenues of $1.21 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.90 on revenues of $4.42 billion [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Toys - Games - Hobbies is in the top 14% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry [8] Estimate Revisions - Prior to the earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Hasbro was favorable, leading to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, suggesting expected outperformance in the near future [6]

Core Insights - Mattel reported quarterly earnings of $0.89 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.05 per share, and down from $1.14 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -15.24% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.74 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.06%, and down from $1.84 billion year-over-year [2] - Mattel has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters, but has only topped revenue estimates once in the same period [2] Future Outlook - The sustainability of Mattel's stock price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.43 on revenues of $1.8 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.61 on revenues of $5.46 billion [7] - The Zacks Rank for Mattel is currently 3 (Hold), indicating that shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry is currently in the top 14% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% of ranked industries [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak, having achieved significant surprises in its recent earnings reports, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 60.95% [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Hasbro's earnings were $1.3 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.78 per share, resulting in a surprise of 66.67% [2]. - For the previous quarter, Hasbro was expected to report earnings of $0.67 per share but delivered $1.04 per share, achieving a surprise of 55.22% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Hasbro have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises, and it currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +1.21%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its near-term earnings potential [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that stocks with this combination beat consensus estimates nearly 70% of the time [6][8]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may provide a more accurate prediction of earnings [7]. - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce the predictive power of the metric, but it does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9]. Importance of Earnings ESP - Many companies may beat consensus EPS estimates, but this alone may not drive stock prices higher; thus, checking a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for investment decisions [10].

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro's stock performance has been under pressure recently, with a notable decline over the past month, while upcoming earnings are anticipated to show a slight decline in EPS but growth in revenue [1][2]. Company Performance - Hasbro's stock increased by 1.38% to $75.59, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.59% on the same day [1]. - Over the past month, Hasbro's stock has dropped by 8.63%, contrasting with the Consumer Discretionary sector's loss of 1.13% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.72% [1]. - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show an EPS of $1.65, reflecting a 4.62% decline year-over-year, while revenue is forecasted to be $1.34 billion, indicating a 4.58% growth [2]. Earnings Estimates - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $4.88 per share and revenue of $4.41 billion, representing year-over-year changes of +21.7% and +6.68%, respectively [3]. - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Hasbro are crucial as they indicate the evolving business trends and analysts' outlook on the company's health and profitability [3][4]. Valuation Metrics - Hasbro's Forward P/E ratio stands at 15.27, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 10.32 [6]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.96, which is lower than the Toys - Games - Hobbies industry average PEG ratio of 1.54 [6]. Industry Context - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 194, placing it in the bottom 22% of over 250 industries [7]. - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, indicating that higher-ranked industries tend to outperform lower-ranked ones [7].

Company Performance - Hasbro's stock closed at $79.75, down 1.76%, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.69% [1] - Prior to the recent trading session, Hasbro shares had gained 5.57%, lagging behind the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 6.08% and outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 3.79% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings release is projected to show an EPS of $1.64, indicating a 5.20% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is estimated at $1.33 billion, reflecting a 3.85% increase from the equivalent quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $4.87 per share and revenue of $4.41 billion, representing changes of +21.45% and +6.64% respectively from last year [3] - Recent revisions in analyst estimates suggest optimism regarding Hasbro's business and profitability [3] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Hasbro currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), with a proven track record of outperformance [5] - The Forward P/E ratio for Hasbro is 16.65, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 11.34 [5] Industry Metrics - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 12, placing it in the top 5% of over 250 industries [7] - The average PEG ratio for the Toys - Games - Hobbies industry is 1.64, while Hasbro's PEG ratio is 1.05 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro's stock has shown strong performance, with a 5.8% increase over the past month and a 43.7% gain since the start of the year, outperforming both the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry [1] Financial Performance - Hasbro has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, reporting an EPS of $1.3 against a consensus estimate of $0.78 in its last earnings report [2] - For the current fiscal year, Hasbro is projected to achieve earnings of $4.79 per share on revenues of $4.37 billion, reflecting a 19.45% increase in EPS and a 5.67% increase in revenues [3] - The next fiscal year forecasts earnings of $5.14 per share on revenues of $4.58 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of 7.4% in EPS and 4.91% in revenues [3] Valuation Metrics - Hasbro's stock trades at 16.8 times current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is above the peer industry average of 11.3 times [7] - On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock trades at 14.5 times compared to the peer group's average of 7.7 times [7] - The stock has a PEG ratio of 1.06, which does not place it among the top tier of stocks from a value perspective [7] Zacks Rank - Hasbro holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) due to a favorable earnings estimate revision trend [8] - The company meets the criteria for investors looking for stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B, suggesting potential for further gains [8]