The Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry is hurt by elevated production and logistics costs, as well as shifting consumer spending. However, strong franchise and licensing partnerships, robust e-commerce and omnichannel sales, and consistent innovation in product categories bode well. The robust demand for smart toys, STEM (science, technology, engineering and math) toys, sports toys, and fashion dolls and accessories bodes well. Industry participants have been focusing on the better execution of marketing ...

分组1 - Jakks Pacific reported quarterly earnings of $1.8 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.6 per share, and down from $4.79 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -30.77% [1] - The company posted revenues of $211.21 million for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 18.99%, and down from $321.61 million year-over-year [2] - Jakks shares have lost about 36.6% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 17.2% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is -$0.96 on revenues of $132.59 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.63 on revenues of $588.19 million [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Toys - Games - Hobbies is currently in the top 39% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating that the industry outlook can significantly impact stock performance [8]

Financial Performance - Hasbro reported quarterly earnings of $1.68 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.66 per share, but down from $1.73 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +1.20% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.39 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.16% and up from $1.28 billion year-over-year [2] Market Performance - Hasbro shares have increased approximately 34.4% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 13.9% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.90 on revenues of $1.21 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.90 on revenues of $4.42 billion [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Toys - Games - Hobbies is in the top 14% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry [8] Estimate Revisions - Prior to the earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Hasbro was favorable, leading to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, suggesting expected outperformance in the near future [6]

Core Insights - Mattel reported quarterly earnings of $0.89 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.05 per share, and down from $1.14 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -15.24% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.74 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.06%, and down from $1.84 billion year-over-year [2] - Mattel has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters, but has only topped revenue estimates once in the same period [2] Future Outlook - The sustainability of Mattel's stock price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.43 on revenues of $1.8 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.61 on revenues of $5.46 billion [7] - The Zacks Rank for Mattel is currently 3 (Hold), indicating that shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry is currently in the top 14% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% of ranked industries [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak, having achieved significant surprises in its recent earnings reports, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 60.95% [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In the last reported quarter, Hasbro's earnings were $1.3 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.78 per share, resulting in a surprise of 66.67% [2]. - For the previous quarter, Hasbro was expected to report earnings of $0.67 per share but delivered $1.04 per share, achieving a surprise of 55.22% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Hasbro have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises, and it currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +1.21%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its near-term earnings potential [5][8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that stocks with this combination beat consensus estimates nearly 70% of the time [6][8]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions, which may provide a more accurate prediction of earnings [7]. - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce the predictive power of the metric, but it does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9]. Importance of Earnings ESP - Many companies may beat consensus EPS estimates, but this alone may not drive stock prices higher; thus, checking a company's Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for investment decisions [10].

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro's stock performance has been under pressure recently, with a notable decline over the past month, while upcoming earnings are anticipated to show a slight decline in EPS but growth in revenue [1][2]. Company Performance - Hasbro's stock increased by 1.38% to $75.59, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.59% on the same day [1]. - Over the past month, Hasbro's stock has dropped by 8.63%, contrasting with the Consumer Discretionary sector's loss of 1.13% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.72% [1]. - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show an EPS of $1.65, reflecting a 4.62% decline year-over-year, while revenue is forecasted to be $1.34 billion, indicating a 4.58% growth [2]. Earnings Estimates - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $4.88 per share and revenue of $4.41 billion, representing year-over-year changes of +21.7% and +6.68%, respectively [3]. - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Hasbro are crucial as they indicate the evolving business trends and analysts' outlook on the company's health and profitability [3][4]. Valuation Metrics - Hasbro's Forward P/E ratio stands at 15.27, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 10.32 [6]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.96, which is lower than the Toys - Games - Hobbies industry average PEG ratio of 1.54 [6]. Industry Context - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 194, placing it in the bottom 22% of over 250 industries [7]. - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, indicating that higher-ranked industries tend to outperform lower-ranked ones [7].

Company Performance - Hasbro's stock closed at $79.75, down 1.76%, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.69% [1] - Prior to the recent trading session, Hasbro shares had gained 5.57%, lagging behind the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 6.08% and outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 3.79% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings release is projected to show an EPS of $1.64, indicating a 5.20% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is estimated at $1.33 billion, reflecting a 3.85% increase from the equivalent quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $4.87 per share and revenue of $4.41 billion, representing changes of +21.45% and +6.64% respectively from last year [3] - Recent revisions in analyst estimates suggest optimism regarding Hasbro's business and profitability [3] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Hasbro currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), with a proven track record of outperformance [5] - The Forward P/E ratio for Hasbro is 16.65, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 11.34 [5] Industry Metrics - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 12, placing it in the top 5% of over 250 industries [7] - The average PEG ratio for the Toys - Games - Hobbies industry is 1.64, while Hasbro's PEG ratio is 1.05 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro's stock has shown strong performance, with a 5.8% increase over the past month and a 43.7% gain since the start of the year, outperforming both the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry [1] Financial Performance - Hasbro has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, reporting an EPS of $1.3 against a consensus estimate of $0.78 in its last earnings report [2] - For the current fiscal year, Hasbro is projected to achieve earnings of $4.79 per share on revenues of $4.37 billion, reflecting a 19.45% increase in EPS and a 5.67% increase in revenues [3] - The next fiscal year forecasts earnings of $5.14 per share on revenues of $4.58 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of 7.4% in EPS and 4.91% in revenues [3] Valuation Metrics - Hasbro's stock trades at 16.8 times current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is above the peer industry average of 11.3 times [7] - On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock trades at 14.5 times compared to the peer group's average of 7.7 times [7] - The stock has a PEG ratio of 1.06, which does not place it among the top tier of stocks from a value perspective [7] Zacks Rank - Hasbro holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) due to a favorable earnings estimate revision trend [8] - The company meets the criteria for investors looking for stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B, suggesting potential for further gains [8]

Core Viewpoint - Jakks Pacific reported quarterly earnings of $0.03 per share, significantly beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.38 per share, although this is a decline from earnings of $0.65 per share a year ago, indicating a notable earnings surprise of +107.89% [1] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $119.09 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.8% and down from $148.62 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Jakks has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - Jakks shares have declined approximately 26.2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 8.1% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Jakks is 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $3.52 on revenues of $315.72 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.34 on revenues of $691.25 million [7] - The trend of estimate revisions for Jakks was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, which may impact future stock movements [5][6] Industry Context - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry, to which Jakks belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 6% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for the company [8]

Core Viewpoint - Mattel reported quarterly earnings of $0.19 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.16 per share, and matching the earnings from the previous year, indicating a positive earnings surprise of +18.75% [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $1.02 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, which fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.79% and represented a decline from $1.08 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Mattel has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - Mattel shares have increased approximately 12.2% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.3% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for determining the stock's immediate price movement, with current consensus EPS estimates at $1.16 on $1.88 billion in revenues for the upcoming quarter and $1.64 on $5.46 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year [4][7] - The estimate revisions trend for Mattel was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry, to which Mattel belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 7% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8]