文｜犀牛娱乐 沈婉婷 编辑｜朴芳 毫无疑问，2025年对长剧来说并不好过。 行业周期的变化、流量红利的消逝、短剧的持续冲击……让长剧在过去一整年都几乎面临着震荡"下行"的焦虑，市场水位的整体缩水与超级头部作品的缺 位也已成为不可逆的事实。 在此背景下，随之而来的是发生在内容、平台、公司、演员等各个层面的剧烈洗牌，而只有那些真正回归创作本质、尊重并理解观众的作品，才能跨越不 确定性找到"上行"的空间。 变与不变之中究竟得失几何？本文将结合云合、灯塔、猫眼、德塔文等第三方平台公布的年度数据报告或榜单，详细回顾2025年长剧市场在这一年的具体 表现，也为刚到来的2026提供可供参考的一二经验及反思。 大盘再收缩，"超头"缺失 流量规模的整体收缩体现在各个维度。 根据云合数据《报告|2025年长剧集网播年度观察》，2025年上新长剧霸屏榜TOP20正片有效播放296亿，较去年同期缩减20%；其中，41部云合评级为 S+，同比减少3部。 长视频平台长剧上新数量也呈现下滑态势，2025年共上新长剧624部，同比减少31部，可看出"提质减量"大方针仍在坚定贯彻。 头部流量的缩水更加明显，要说去年还有一部热播期集均破亿的"独 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Radio and Television Station is preparing a diverse range of dramas for the summer season, focusing on realistic and historical themes to engage audiences [1][5]. Group 1: Focus on Realistic Themes - Dramas such as "The Age of Quenching" and "In the Name of Law" have gained widespread attention, reflecting the struggles and progress of Chinese manufacturing and providing insights into the judicial system [2][4]. - The summer lineup includes various realistic dramas that explore themes of female growth, the struggles of migrant workers, and historical narratives related to the Anti-Japanese War [2][4]. Group 2: Awards and Recognition - Recent awards at the 30th Shanghai Television Festival highlighted the success of realistic dramas, indicating a deepening of creative efforts in this genre [4]. - The increasing quantity and quality of realistic dramas have positioned them at the forefront of viewership and critical acclaim in the Chinese television landscape [9]. Group 3: International Expansion - Chinese dramas have become a significant cultural export, with 70% of the total audiovisual program export revenue coming from this genre, reaching over 200 countries and regions [11]. - Notable international successes include "My Alashan," which is the first Chinese drama to compete in the main competition at the Cannes Television Festival, and "Blossoms," which won an award at the Busan International Film Festival [11][13]. Group 4: Cultural Representation - The integration of traditional Chinese culture and aesthetics in historical dramas is crucial for expanding their international market appeal [13][15]. - Sci-fi dramas, such as "The Three-Body Problem," have also gained attention in international markets, indicating a growing interest in diverse genres beyond traditional narratives [15][17].

阅文集团现四年首亏，新丽传媒成"拖油瓶"，版权 运营过度依赖爆款 2020年，阅文集团将原来三年的业绩承诺期延长至五年并下调了业绩要求：新丽传媒2020-2024年 净利润最低为2亿元、3亿元、3亿元、3亿元、3亿元，最高为4亿元、5亿元、5亿元、5亿元、5亿元。在 阅文集团的"放水"下，新丽传媒业绩终于达到业绩要求。 但新丽传媒的盈利能力却逐年下滑。2022-2024年，其净利润分别为5.4亿元、4.9亿元、3.4亿元， 逐年大幅缩减。2020年，因新丽传媒业绩不佳，阅文集团对其计提了高达40.16亿元的商誉减值，并额 外计提3.9亿元商标权减值准备，导致阅文集团当年严重亏损。 尽管2024年推出了《庆余年2》《热辣滚烫》等爆款影视作品，阅文集团(00772.HK)依然亏损严 重。财报显示，阅文集团2024年营收同比增长虽达到15.8%，归母净利润却亏损2.09亿元，这是其近四 年来业绩首次由盈转亏。 证券之星注意到，虽然阅文集团2024年亏损主要由于新丽传媒商誉减值导致，但营收和净利润走势 背离背后，依然暴露出其当前正陷于付费阅读根基动摇、IP开发效率失衡、并购后遗症爆发等经营困 局。 高价收购新丽传媒遭 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 8.12 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.8%, while the gross profit reached 3.92 billion RMB, up 16.3% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 48.3%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points. However, the company faced a net loss attributable to shareholders of 210 million RMB, compared to a profit of 800 million RMB in 2023, primarily due to a net loss of 970 million RMB related to goodwill impairment from Xinli Media [2][3]. Group 1: Online Business Performance - Online business revenue was 4.03 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%. Revenue from proprietary platform products rose by 3.4% to 3.53 billion RMB, while revenue from Tencent product channels decreased by 28.2% to 250 million RMB due to a focus on core paid reading products, leading to reduced advertising revenue. Third-party platform online business revenue increased by 32.0% to 250 million RMB due to expanded cooperation with certain third-party distribution partners [3]. - The average monthly active users (MAU) for the company's proprietary platform and Tencent product self-operated channels was 16.66 million, a year-on-year decline of 19%. The MAU for the proprietary platform was 10.38 million, remaining relatively stable, while the MAU for Tencent's self-operated channel dropped by 37.7% to 6.28 million. The average monthly number of paying users increased by 4.6% year-on-year to 9.1 million, attributed to the launch of more membership content, although the average revenue per paying user decreased by 1.5% to 32 RMB [3]. Group 2: IP Derivatives and Xinli Media Performance - Revenue from copyright operations and other income grew by 33.5% to 4.09 billion RMB. Xinli Media generated 1.64 billion RMB in revenue with a profit of 340 million RMB in 2024. The company launched several TV dramas in the first half of 2024, but some series were delayed, impacting profits. The project pipeline for the next two years is robust, with several anticipated releases [4]. - In the short drama segment, the company released over 100 short dramas in 2024, with the highest single work revenue nearing 40 million RMB. New releases at the beginning of 2025 achieved over 50 million RMB in revenue within seven days [4]. - The company's derivative products achieved a gross merchandise volume (GMV) exceeding 500 million RMB in 2024, with card products contributing over 200 million RMB. The company established partnerships with over 150 licensing partners and developed a comprehensive sales channel, including online and offline stores [4].