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完美世界20250616
2025-06-16 15:20
Summary of Conference Call Notes Company and Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses **Perfect World** and the **gaming industry** in general, with a focus on upcoming game releases and market trends [2][6][10]. Key Points and Arguments - **IP Derivative Sales**: The sales of the **Nezha IP** derivatives have reached several hundred billion GMV, with a target approaching 1,000 billion, indicating significant market potential for IP derivatives that could impact stock valuations of related companies [2][4]. - **New Consumption in Hong Kong**: In the new consumption sector in Hong Kong, **Pop Mart** and **Brook** have shown outstanding performance, with Pop Mart's expected PE exceeding 40 times, reflecting high growth expectations from the market [2][5]. - **Game Product Performance**: **Giant Network's** supernatural action group has seen a notable increase in revenue, while **ST Huatong's King's Raid** continues to show growth, indicating strong operational performance of gaming products that may lead to significant profits [2][5]. - **2025 Gaming Landscape**: The year 2025 is anticipated to be a major year for game products, with significant releases from Perfect World, including **"Yihuan"**, and other major titles expected to drive industry growth [2][6]. - **"Yihuan" Highlights**: The new game **"Yihuan"** utilizes the Unreal Engine 5, featuring a differentiated combat system and a light-hearted, suspenseful storyline, with expectations to surpass the previous title **"Huan Tower"** [2][7]. - **Open World Mobile Games**: The future of open-world mobile games looks promising, with players increasingly willing to pay for high-quality games, suggesting a growing market segment [2][8][9]. - **Player Payment Habits**: Players have developed a willingness to pay for quality games, creating a favorable ecosystem for the growth of open-world games, with three significant titles expected to launch in the next two years [2][9]. Additional Important Information - **Organizational Changes**: Perfect World has undergone structural adjustments to become more market-oriented, reducing its workforce from over 5,700 to approximately 3,900 and selling non-core assets [3][10]. - **Revenue Projections for "Yihuan"**: The first-year revenue for "Yihuan" is projected to be between 5 billion to 9.1 billion RMB, with a corresponding profit elasticity of 900 million to 2.25 billion RMB [3][11]. - **Future Revenue and Profit Expectations**: Revenue forecasts for Perfect World from 2025 to 2027 are 6.7 billion, 10.8 billion, and 9.9 billion RMB, with net profits of 630 million, 1.71 billion, and 1.82 billion RMB respectively [3][12]. - **Risk Factors**: Investors should be aware of risks such as potential delays or quality issues with new game releases, changes in international trade policies affecting overseas business, and the possibility of data discrepancies due to reliance on assumptions and third-party data [3][13].