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万代南梦宫控股(7832):高达手游超预期,IP价值持续兑现
HTSC· 2025-08-06 13:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Bandai Namco Holdings [6] Core Views - Bandai Namco's 1QFY26 performance exceeded expectations, driven by strong sales from the Gundam mobile game and related merchandise, leading to a revenue increase of 7.1% year-on-year to 300.43 billion yen [1][5] - The company is actively exploring the value of its IP and expanding into overseas markets, indicating stable long-term growth potential in its gaming and toy businesses [1][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1QFY26, total revenue reached 300.43 billion yen, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 296.8 billion yen. Operating profit was 51.92 billion yen, exceeding the expected 44.1 billion yen, and net profit attributable to the parent company was 38.33 billion yen, higher than the anticipated 32.1 billion yen [1][5] - The gaming segment generated revenue of 107.77 billion yen, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%. Online gaming revenue was 55.6 billion yen, up 30.8%, primarily due to the successful launch of the new Gundam mobile game [2] - The toy segment achieved revenue of 146.89 billion yen, a 10.6% increase year-on-year, with Gundam-related toy sales reaching 25.4 billion yen, up 35.1% [3] Profitability - The company reported an operating profit of 51.92 billion yen, a year-on-year increase of 17.9%. The gaming business contributed an operating profit of 21.7 billion yen, up 47.3%, while the toy business generated 28.57 billion yen, a 6% increase [4] - The company has revised its 1HFY26 guidance for gaming operating profit to 32 billion yen from the previous 20.5 billion yen [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report slightly lowers FY26 and FY27 revenue estimates by 4.6% and 3.2% to 1,285.17 billion yen and 1,383.83 billion yen, respectively, while introducing a FY28 revenue forecast of 1,440.82 billion yen [5] - The target price is set at 6,052 yen, up from the previous 5,803 yen, based on a revised PE ratio of 29x for FY26, aligning with the average of comparable companies [11][5]