《2025上半年宏观经济展望及全球资产配置策略指引》

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“一揽子金融政策”稳信心 恒友汇《全球指引》看好中国资产长期价值
Cai Fu Zai Xian· 2025-05-09 00:14
Group 1 - The global economy is facing uncertainty, with fragmentation and trade tensions disrupting supply chains and weakening growth momentum [1][2] - China's financial decision-makers have introduced a comprehensive "10+8+3" financial policy package to stabilize the market and provide clear guidance for investors [1][4] - The policy aims to inject liquidity into the capital market and support the allocation of Chinese assets, reflecting a strong commitment to counter market uncertainties [1][4] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China has lowered the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points, releasing approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to ensure reasonable liquidity levels [2][3] - Interest rate cuts are expected to alleviate financing burdens for the real economy, with the five-year mortgage rate dropping to 2.6% [2][3] - Structural policies are directing financial resources to key sectors, including an increase in re-lending quotas for technology innovation and support for agriculture and small enterprises [3][7] Group 3 - The macroeconomic data since 2025 shows positive trends, with stable growth in social financing and loans, and a low financing cost environment [3][6] - The capital market is exhibiting resilience, with the stock market performing steadily and the RMB appreciating slightly [3][6] - The recent financial policies are expected to boost investor confidence and support the long-term value of Chinese assets, particularly in the A-share market [5][8] Group 4 - The "Global Guide" report emphasizes the importance of aligning with market trends and highlights the favorable conditions for re-evaluating and allocating Chinese assets [4][6] - The report suggests a priority allocation strategy favoring equities (mainly Chinese A-shares), followed by gold and bonds, indicating a shift in investment focus [6][7] - The combination of policy support and market dynamics is reshaping the growth logic of Chinese assets, making them increasingly attractive to investors [7][8]
恒友汇解锁新时期全球资产配置密码,新加坡全球首发N.E.X.T投资框架
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-21 10:03
放眼当下,全球经济复苏之路崎岖坎坷,地缘政治冲突、贸易保护主义抬头,特朗普关税政策引发国际金融市场大幅震荡等因素相互交织;国内经济长期向 好的基本面未变,但经济结构转型、产业升级等依然带来阶段性挑战。站在时代经济浪潮的关键节点,投资者面临着更大的不确定性,每一次市场的细微波 动,都可能牵一发而动全身。 为了精准把握市场脉搏、顺应经济发展大势,普通投资者对于专业、精准且具前瞻性投资指引的需求愈发迫切。 4月16日,深耕会员服务领域多年的恒友汇,特邀中国银行首席研究员宗良博士,凭借深厚行业经验与敏锐市场洞察,全球首发《2025上半年宏观经济展望 及全球资产配置策略指引》(以下简称《全球指引》)。《全球指引》中详细梳理投资大环境,找到关键变量,提出 "权益(中国A股为主,美股适度参 与)>黄金>债券"为优先级方向的整体配置建议,帮助投资者在资产配置新时代实现资产稳健增长与合理配置。 在迈入成立14年的新阶段,恒友汇将秉持"风险适配"和"长期主义"的原则,站在全球的宏观视野,帮助投资人于变化中寻找确定性,在危机中发 掘新机遇,携手广大投资者穿越周期,实现财富保值增值。 近日,国际金价不断震荡上涨、美债因遭到抛售收益率 ...