【司南绝对收益】
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南方基金:7日资金价格上破1.5%,美联储独立性受干扰?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-14 05:19
Group 1: Bond Market Overview - The bond market has mostly turned positive, with the 30-year government bond yield falling below 2.3% as of yesterday [1] - Government bond futures saw most contracts rise, with the 30-year main contract up by 0.17% and the 10-year main contract up by 0.04% [1] - Credit bonds are showing continued performance divergence, with high-grade varieties experiencing a general decline while low-grade varieties have turned positive [1] Group 2: Funding Conditions - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase agreement exceeding 350 billion, offsetting the impact of a 600 billion buyout reverse repurchase agreement maturing yesterday, resulting in a cumulative net withdrawal of over 220 billion this week [5] - During the trading session, key funding prices continued to rise, with overnight funding prices increasing by over 5 basis points and 7-day funding prices surpassing 1.5% [5] Group 3: Market Commentary and Outlook - Recent investigations into the Federal Reserve Chairman have raised concerns about the potential impact on the Fed's independence, increasing uncertainty around future monetary policy [6] - The collective rise in U.S. Treasury yields reflects investors' risk-averse response to policy uncertainty, necessitating ongoing monitoring of the investigation's progress and market re-pricing of U.S. Treasury credit spreads [7] - It is suggested to maintain a balanced allocation between equities and bonds, with a focus on global diversification to better manage market volatility [7] - For those with lower risk tolerance seeking better investment experiences than pure bonds, two types of moderate to low volatility fixed-income strategies are recommended: one focusing on stable absolute returns and the other aiming for higher yields in volatile markets [7]