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康隆达(603665):越南工厂顺利投产,期待25年轻装上阵
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [13]. Core Views - The company is expected to face losses in 2024 due to several factors, including low lithium salt prices, goodwill impairment, and depreciation costs from the Vietnam project, but is anticipated to rebound in 2025 with profit potential [4][9]. - The Vietnam factory has successfully commenced operations, and its production capacity is expected to contribute positively to revenue and profit in 2025, especially in light of increasing tariffs on Chinese imports [5][9]. - The company has a strategic advantage in the glove manufacturing sector, with a focus on high-end safety gloves and disposable medical gloves, benefiting from lower labor costs and favorable tax policies in Vietnam [5][9]. Summary by Sections Company Update - The Vietnam factory is operational, and the company is poised for a strong performance in 2025 [1][8]. - The company anticipates a significant contribution from the Vietnam project, with full production expected to generate around 1 billion yuan in output [5]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net loss of 375 million yuan for 2024, with a projected recovery to a net profit of 156 million yuan in 2025 [11]. - Revenue is expected to decline slightly in 2024 but rebound significantly in 2025, with a projected growth rate of 29% [11]. Business Segments - The glove business remains stable, with the Vietnam facility enhancing production capabilities and market share amid rising tariffs on competitors [5][9]. - The lithium segment is under pressure due to price volatility, but the company is positioned to benefit from future market adjustments [6][9]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to leverage its strategic positioning in Vietnam to capture market share and improve profitability as production ramps up [5][9]. - The anticipated recovery in lithium prices and the company's innovative material applications in robotics may provide additional growth avenues [6][9].