二手集装箱船

Search documents
2025年上半年全球集装箱航运市场分析及后市展望
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 18:27
Group 1: Global Container Shipping Market Overview - The global container shipping market in the first half of 2025 is characterized by "policy disruptions, demand differentiation, and capacity restructuring," leading to a "weak growth, high volatility" new normal due to U.S. tariff policies and geopolitical conflicts [1][2] - Container trade volume growth is expected to slow, with a projected year-on-year increase of 4% to 6% for 2025, which is lower than historical highs but indicates a return to a healthier growth range [1][2] - The global container fleet is operating at full capacity, with idle vessels remaining at historically low levels [1] Group 2: Container Shipping Rates - Container shipping rates experienced a decline followed by a recovery in the first half of 2025, with the China Container Freight Index (CCFI) rising to 1,277.46 in June, down 27.80% from the same period in 2024 [6] - The average CCFI for the first half of 2025 was 1,258.46, which is an 8.31% decrease compared to the average during the market upturn in 2024 [6] Group 3: Market Structure and Competition - The top container shipping companies maintain a stable ranking, with the top four companies holding 57.50% of the global market share [8][9] - The operational status of shipping companies shows regional differentiation, with those focusing on near-sea routes performing better compared to those reliant on trans-Pacific routes [8] Group 4: Container Shipbuilding Market - In the first half of 2025, the global container shipbuilding market saw new ship orders increase by 25.78% year-on-year, with a total of 192.01 million TEU and 202 vessels ordered [11] - The trend towards larger and greener vessels continues, with 85.55% of new orders being for ships using or reserving green fuels [15] Group 5: Second-Hand Container Ship Market - The second-hand container ship market showed signs of recovery in the first half of 2025, with 119 vessels sold, although this represents a 16.78% decrease compared to the same period in 2024 [18] Group 6: Future Outlook - The supply side is expected to see a continued slowdown in capacity growth, with the global container fleet capacity reaching 31.7887 million TEU, growing by 8.3% year-on-year [20] - Demand differentiation is likely to intensify, particularly with the long-term impact of U.S. tariff policies suppressing trans-Pacific route demand while near-sea routes may become key growth areas [27]