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翱捷科技(688220):合同负债环比大幅增长,云端ASIC项目储备多种方案
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-17 15:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in contract liabilities, with a 123.6% quarter-on-quarter growth, indicating strong demand for its products [2]. - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 2.88 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.42%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -327 million yuan [1]. - The company is focusing on the development of its 6nm octa-core 4G chip and has multiple cloud ASIC project reserves, which are expected to enhance its competitive edge in the market [3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 26.65%, an increase of 3.44 percentage points from the previous quarter [1]. - The revenue from the cellular baseband segment grew approximately 25% year-on-year, with a gross margin improvement leading to a total gross profit increase of over 50% in that segment [2]. - The company anticipates a substantial revenue increase in the coming year as project deliveries are expected to ramp up [2]. Earnings Forecast - The projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are -406 million yuan, 52 million yuan, and 251 million yuan respectively, showing a recovery trend from previous losses [4]. - Revenue forecasts for the years 2023 to 2027 are 2.6 billion yuan, 3.39 billion yuan, 4 billion yuan, 5.59 billion yuan, and 7.08 billion yuan, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [5][21]. Market Position - The company is well-positioned in the cellular baseband chip market, with a unique competitive advantage and a continuous release of products for various smartphone clients [4]. - The ASIC business is strategically aligned with the trend of AI industrialization, enhancing the company's market positioning [4].