[Table_Page] 固定收益|专题报告 2026 年 2 月 12 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 全球固收量化：四大流派&五大局限 未来已来系列之一 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [分析师： Table_Author]杜渐 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260526020003 | | 010-59136690 | | | | dujian@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 吴棋滢 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260519080003 | | | SFC CE No. BQN213 | | 021-38003588 | | | | wuqiying@gf.com.cn | 请注意，杜渐并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 972918116公共联系人2026-02-12 20:06:58 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] 中国人如何理财：存款搬家研 究框架:A 股资金面框架（一） 2025-10-14 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 1 / 17 [Tabl ...

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Clearing House announced a phase-wise exemption of clearing fees for credit derivatives contracts in 2026 to reduce costs for market institutions and enhance financial services for the real economy [1] Group 1: Development of Credit Derivatives Market - The exemption period for clearing fees will be from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2026, with further adjustments to be notified later [1] - The Shanghai Clearing House aims to innovate and develop credit derivatives clearing services, focusing on policy direction and market demand [1] Group 2: Functions of Credit Derivatives - Credit derivatives serve as important pricing and hedging tools, enhancing the efficiency of bond issuance and broadening financing channels for real enterprises [1] - They enable market institutions to manage credit risk exposure effectively, smooth credit spread fluctuations, and improve investment efficiency in sectors like technology and green bonds [1] - Credit derivatives can hedge against credit spread volatility, expanding trading demand and diversifying application scenarios [1] Group 3: Centralized Clearing Function - The Shanghai Clearing House aims to enhance its clearing services to support the real economy and mitigate financial risks [2] - It has expanded the central counterparty clearing to include 32 new quality production enterprises, providing services for 145 standardized CDS contracts linked to technology and green sectors [2] - The introduction of the first Sci-Tech CDS index will help market institutions manage credit risk and provide a pricing benchmark for credit risk in Sci-Tech enterprises [2] - The clearing house continues to diversify its clearing targets, covering various types of bonds to meet market demands [2] - A one-stop online service for the lifecycle of credit derivatives has been established, significantly improving clearing efficiency and market transparency [2] Group 4: Future Plans - The Shanghai Clearing House will continue to leverage its financial infrastructure advantages under the guidance of the People's Bank of China, enriching the product spectrum of credit derivatives [3] - It aims to enhance the risk management, credit enhancement, and price discovery functions of credit derivatives, effectively guiding financial resource allocation [3]

二级速览： 中资美元债二级市场涨跌不一，截至12月26日，Markit iBoxx中资美元债综合指数周度上行0.06%，报251.26；投资级美元债指数周度上涨0.08%， 报244.35；高收益美元债指数周度下跌0.14%，报 241.3。地产美元债指数周度涨0.12%，报178.37；城投美元债指数周度下跌0.01%，报153.9；金融 美元债指数周度下跌0.06%，报290.9。 基准利差： 截至12月26日，中美10年期基准国债利差缩小至229.47bp，较前一周缩小2.13bp。 评级异动： 近两周市场情况 一级市场： 据新华财经统计，近两周（12月15日至12月26日）共发行12笔中资离岸债券，其中包括6笔离岸人民币债券和6笔美元债券，发行规模分别为430.58 亿元人民币和2.96亿美元。近两周发行方式为直接发行的债券共9只，担保发行2只，"直接发行+担保"的1只。 在离岸人民币债券领域，近两周人民币债券单笔发行最大规模为10.5亿元人民币，由南安市发展投资集团有限公司发行。近两周人民币债券发行最 高票息为6.9%，由淄博高新国有资本投资有限公司发行。 在中资美元债券市场，近两周美元债券单笔最大 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The proposal from the Central Committee emphasizes the need to steadily develop futures, derivatives, and asset securitization as essential measures for establishing a well-structured financial market system and accelerating the construction of a financial powerhouse [1] - The derivatives market in China is projected to exceed 230 trillion yuan in trading volume by 2024, highlighting the importance of derivatives in price discovery and risk management [2] - The current development of the derivatives market in China is lagging, with the daily trading volume of interest rate derivatives being only about 0.8% of the outstanding government bonds, compared to 8%-9% for USD and EUR derivatives [2] Group 2: Derivatives Market Development - To enhance the derivatives market, it is crucial to optimize regulatory approaches, allowing more qualified entities like insurance companies and banks to access derivatives, thus diversifying participants and trading scenarios [3] - Strengthening regulatory capabilities is essential to avoid systemic risks, improve transparency, and enhance regulatory effectiveness [3] - Financial institutions should develop internal management systems tailored to derivatives business characteristics, improve hedge accounting, and build talent in pricing and risk control [3] Group 3: Asset Securitization - Asset securitization plays a vital role in revitalizing existing assets, stabilizing macro leverage ratios, optimizing asset-liability structures, and broadening financing channels [4] - The asset securitization market in China has entered a normalization phase since 2014, with annual issuance reaching around 2 trillion yuan, but faces challenges such as unclear underlying legal relationships and high issuance management costs [4] - There is significant potential for asset securitization to support the real economy, particularly in infrastructure, public utilities, and advanced manufacturing sectors [5] Group 4: Future Directions - The focus should be on serving key areas of the real economy, enhancing innovation in standards, financial products, and policy guidance [5] - It is necessary to improve the legal framework and supporting arrangements for the market, ensuring clear rights and obligations among participants [5] - Diversifying investors and enhancing the secondary market's liquidity are critical for the long-term healthy development of the asset securitization market [5]

Group 1: Core Insights - The proposal from the Central Committee emphasizes the need to steadily develop futures, derivatives, and asset securitization as essential measures for establishing a well-structured financial market system and accelerating the construction of a strong financial nation [1] - The derivatives market in China is expected to exceed 230 trillion yuan in trading volume by 2024, highlighting the importance of derivatives in price discovery and risk management [2] - The current development of the derivatives market in China is lagging, with the daily trading volume of interest rate derivatives being only about 0.8% of the outstanding government bonds, compared to 8-9% for USD and EUR derivatives [2] Group 2: Derivatives Market Development - To enhance the derivatives market, it is crucial to optimize regulatory approaches, allowing more qualified entities like insurance companies and banks to engage in derivatives trading [3] - Strengthening regulatory capabilities is essential to avoid systemic risks, improve transparency, and enhance regulatory effectiveness [3] - Financial institutions should develop internal management systems tailored to derivatives business characteristics and improve talent development in pricing and risk control [3] Group 3: Asset Securitization - Asset securitization plays a vital role in revitalizing existing assets, stabilizing macro leverage ratios, optimizing asset-liability structures, and broadening financing channels [4] - The asset securitization market in China has entered a normalization phase since 2014, with annual issuance reaching around 2 trillion yuan, but faces challenges such as unclear legal relationships and high issuance costs [4][5] - To promote the long-term healthy development of the asset securitization market, it is necessary to focus on serving key sectors of the real economy and enhance the legal and regulatory framework [5]

Core Points - The Shanghai Clearing House has launched an online bilateral clearing service for credit derivatives to enhance market participation convenience and support market expansion [1][2] - The first batch of institutions to complete the online application includes China Construction Bank, Changsha Bank, Southwest Securities, and Zhongyu Guarantee [1] - The clearing services provided cover various aspects such as cash flow calculation, fund settlement, credit event settlement, valuation management, and counterparty credit risk management [1] - Currently, there are 47 participants in the credit derivatives clearing, accounting for 96% of the trading scale in the interbank market for contract-based credit derivatives [1] Future Plans - The Shanghai Clearing House plans to continue enhancing clearing service capabilities and product offerings under the guidance of the People's Bank of China [2] - The aim is to support various institutions in managing risks with credit derivatives and to improve the effectiveness of credit derivatives in serving the real economy [2] - The initiative is part of efforts to effectively prevent and resolve financial risks, thereby supporting high-quality development of the real economy [2]

Core Viewpoint - The expansion of credit derivatives in the technology bond market is accelerating, serving as both a "risk mitigator" and a "confidence amplifier" for financing [1][2][6] Group 1: Role of Credit Derivatives - Credit derivatives are becoming a key mechanism to address financing challenges for technology enterprises by reducing credit risk through external mechanisms [2][6] - They enhance market confidence and improve financing efficiency by connecting issuers and investors, thereby alleviating concerns about repayment capabilities [2][3] - The use of credit derivatives allows for better risk management for investors, enabling them to hedge against valuation risks associated with high-volatility technology bonds [3][6] Group 2: Recent Developments - Several financial institutions, including Bank of Communications and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, have successfully completed credit derivative transactions linked to technology enterprises, marking a significant step in the development of the technology bond market [4][5] - The first credit derivative transaction involving a technology enterprise was completed by Bank of Communications, providing credit risk protection through a credit default swap (CDS) [4] - The issuance of a 300 million yuan credit derivative transaction by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank demonstrates the growing acceptance and implementation of these financial instruments [4][5] Group 3: Challenges and Recommendations - Despite the growing application of credit derivatives, there are still institutional shortcomings in capital relief, pricing mechanisms, and legal applicability that need to be addressed [6][7] - The current market shows a lack of participation from commercial banks in credit derivatives due to accounting treatment issues, which may increase capital requirements instead of reducing them [6][7] - Recommendations include clarifying the capital savings potential of credit derivatives, developing a valuation system suited to the Chinese market, and enhancing legal training to mitigate disputes [7][8]