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瑞聲突破保力加通道頂部;關鍵阻力位52元在望!
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-18 19:17
Core Viewpoint - 瑞声科技 (02018) has shown strong upward momentum, breaking through key technical levels and signaling potential for further gains in the near term [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The stock price reached a high of 50.6 HKD, currently trading at 50.15 HKD, reflecting a 6.03% increase [1]. - The price has surpassed the 10-day (44.86 HKD), 30-day (41.93 HKD), and 60-day (40.45 HKD) moving averages, indicating a "buy" signal [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 76, entering the overbought territory, while the Williams and Stochastic indicators also signal buying opportunities [1]. - CCI indicator shows overbought conditions, suggesting potential short-term pullback risks [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - Immediate support levels are at 45.1 HKD (Support 1) and 42.8 HKD (Support 2) [2]. - Resistance levels are identified at 52 HKD (Resistance 1) and 56.2 HKD (Resistance 2) [2]. Derivative Products Performance - A notable performance was observed in the recommended derivative products, with a call option (15694) surging by 50% during a 9.13% rise in 瑞声科技 [4]. - The 国君 call option (15427) offers a leverage of 5.5 times with an exercise price of 54.73 HKD, making it suitable for investors anticipating a breakout above 52 HKD [6]. - The 中银 call option (18352) has a slightly lower leverage of 2.8 times but offers a favorable implied volatility of 61.89%, suitable for short-term trading [6]. Market Sentiment - The market shows mixed sentiments with a 5-day volatility of 12.6%, reflecting differing opinions on future price movements [2]. - The bullish camp argues that the MACD and moving averages indicate strong short-term momentum, suggesting that any pullback could be a buying opportunity [10]. - Conversely, the cautious camp highlights the overbought RSI and potential for a price correction, advocating for strict stop-loss measures when entering positions [10].
【02018技术观察】瑞声科技突破后的走势展望
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-18 02:32
Core Viewpoint - 瑞声科技's stock price has shown a strong upward trend, breaking through key technical levels and indicating a bullish market sentiment [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The stock reached a peak of 41.4 HKD, surpassing the upper Bollinger Band at 40.4 HKD, with a latest price of 40.6 HKD [1]. - The price has broken through all major moving averages, with the 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages at 38.87 HKD, 38.45 HKD, and 39.55 HKD respectively, indicating a bullish alignment [1]. - The MACD indicator maintains a buy signal, confirming the establishment of a medium-term upward trend [1]. - The current important support level is at 38.7 HKD, with a stronger support at 37.3 HKD; the key resistance level above is at 42.3 HKD, which if broken, could challenge 44.9 HKD [3]. - The RSI indicator is at 62, nearing the overbought zone, while the Williams indicator shows a sell signal for overbought conditions; however, the CCI indicator and Bollinger Bands still maintain buy signals, reflecting overall upward momentum [3]. Investment Instruments - For investors optimistic about 瑞声科技's future, the call option 15694 offers a leverage of 4.2 times with an exercise price of 44.88 HKD, making it suitable for cost-conscious investors [6]. - Other options include UBS call option 13898 with a leverage of 3.2 times and an exercise price of 52.38 HKD, and Huatai call option 16584 with an exercise price of 52.43 HKD, which is 29.13% out of the money [6]. - For bearish investors, Citibank put option 14757 provides a leverage of 1.3 times with an exercise price of 40.88 HKD, also featuring a low premium characteristic [6].