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ASML中国区总裁沈波:AI浪潮下的“光刻逻辑”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-06 23:25
Core Insights - ASML has reported strong financial results for the first three quarters of 2025, with net sales of €7.5 billion, net lithography system sales of €5.6 billion, and a net profit of €2.1 billion, reflecting a gross margin of 51.6% [2] - The company anticipates a 15% growth in net sales for 2025 and expects sales in 2026 to be at least at the same level as 2025, with long-term revenue projections for 2030 ranging between €44 billion and €60 billion [2] - AI is identified as a key driver for growth in the global semiconductor industry, with increasing demand for advanced logic chips and DRAM chips benefiting ASML's broader customer base [2][5] Financial Performance - ASML's net sales for Q3 2025 reached €7.5 billion, with a significant portion coming from lithography systems [2] - The company achieved a net profit of €2.1 billion, indicating robust financial health despite the cyclical adjustments in the semiconductor industry [2] Market Outlook - The semiconductor industry is currently in an adjustment phase, gradually moving towards an upward cycle, with ASML maintaining an optimistic outlook on the overall industry prospects [2][11] - AI is expected to play a transformative role in the semiconductor market, with predictions that it will contribute approximately $10 trillion to global GDP by 2030 [6] AI's Impact on Semiconductor Demand - AI is seen as a major force driving the next wave of semiconductor market growth, with the potential to significantly influence chip demand once applications become widespread [5][8] - Current AI developments are still in the investment and construction phase, and the true demand for chip production capacity has yet to be fully realized [3][7] China Market Dynamics - ASML's sales in China have been high due to previously accumulated unfulfilled orders, but the company expects a normalization of business in the Chinese market in the coming years [3][11] - The Chinese market accounted for over 30% of ASML's global sales in recent years, but this is expected to revert to historical levels of 15%-20% as part of the normal cyclical adjustments [12][13] Technological Challenges and Innovations - The AI era presents challenges in terms of computational power and energy consumption, with demand for AI capabilities growing exponentially [9][10] - ASML is pursuing a dual-track strategy to address these challenges, focusing on both 2D scaling and advancing 3D integration technologies to enhance chip performance and efficiency [10]