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免疫肿瘤学(IO)双抗
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沉寂数月后,80亿元资金已涌入这一板块丨每日研选
Core Viewpoint - Despite a slowdown in the sector in the second half of the year, there remains strong interest from capital, with nearly 8 billion yuan of net inflow over five consecutive trading days, indicating a new round of investment layout [1] Group 1: Global Trends - Over the past decade, the number of pharmaceutical transactions globally has shown a steady growth trend, with multinational corporations (MNCs) needing to replenish their pipelines due to profit pressures [1] - By 2030, products with sales exceeding 5 billion USD that are nearing patent expiration will total nearly 200 billion USD, driving MNCs' enthusiasm for business development (BD) [1] Group 2: Chinese Pharmaceutical Companies - Chinese pharmaceutical companies are increasingly competitive globally, with the total amount of license-out transactions exceeding 100 billion USD this year, doubling compared to 2024 [2] - From 2015 to 2024, the number of original innovative drugs entering clinical trials from Chinese companies reached 4,382, surpassing the 4,009 from the United States, with 704 new drugs entering clinical trials in 2024, ranking first globally [2] - The number of innovative drugs developed by Chinese companies that have entered late-stage clinical trials is comparable to that of the United States [2] Group 3: Technological Trends - Antibody-drug conjugates (ADC) have become a hot topic for license-out transactions among Chinese companies over the past three years, transitioning from a follower to a leader in innovation [2] - Chinese companies are rapidly following innovations in immuno-oncology (IO) and have the potential to surpass competitors, with some products already authorized for international markets [2] Group 4: Policy Environment - The average price reduction of drugs in the 2025 medical insurance negotiations is expected to stabilize, with a significant proportion of newly added drugs being domestically produced [3] - Future centralized procurement may focus more on comprehensive value assessments rather than solely on low prices, emphasizing efficacy, quality, and patient accessibility [3] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Focus on IO and ADC as foundational therapies for tumors, particularly with the upcoming expiration of PD-1 patents, which may lead to a market shift towards second-generation IO therapies [3] - Highlighted companies in the IO and ADC sectors include: 3SBio, Innovent Biologics, CanSino Biologics, Rongchang Biopharmaceuticals, Huahai Pharmaceutical, Yiming Pharmaceutical, Lepu Medical, Kelun-Biotech, and CSPC Pharmaceutical [3][5] - Emphasis on the internationalization of Chinese pharmaceutical companies, with a long-term view of the industry evolving into global leaders, particularly in innovative drugs and medical devices [3] - Notable companies in the medical device sector include Mindray Medical, United Imaging Healthcare, BGI Genomics, and Haitai New Light [3][5] - The CXO industry is expected to improve due to better supply-demand dynamics, with global investment recovery likely to boost client demand [4] - Key CXO leaders to watch include WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Tigermed, and Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical [4][5]