兴业可转债

Search documents
兴业银行:负债成本优化,资产结构调优-20250605
HTSC· 2025-06-05 10:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 25.60 [9]. Core Views - The company is focusing on optimizing its liability costs and adjusting its asset structure to support the real economy. It aims to reduce low-yield assets and increase general loan issuance, particularly in green, technology, and high-end manufacturing sectors [2][3]. - The company expects a year-on-year decline in new non-performing loans and impairment provisions for the current year [4]. - The establishment of a financial AIC (Asset Investment Company) is expected to enhance the company's bond trading capabilities and integrate group resources to provide comprehensive financial services [3]. Summary by Sections Liability Cost Optimization - The company is expected to continue optimizing its liability costs, with room for improvement in the proportion of time deposits. The replacement of high-cost liabilities with low-cost ones is anticipated to lead to an ongoing improvement in liability costs, countering the downward pressure on loan pricing. The estimated decline in net interest margin for the year is about 10 basis points [2]. Asset Quality - The asset quality remains stable, with a focus on potential pressures in retail. The company predicts a year-on-year decline in new non-performing loans and impairment provisions. As of Q1 2025, the non-performing loan ratio was 1.08%, with a coverage ratio of 233% [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 at RMB 774 billion, RMB 782 billion, and RMB 801 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.2%, 1.1%, and 2.5% [5]. - The estimated book value per share (BVPS) for 2025 is RMB 39.39, corresponding to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.60 times. The target PB for 2025 is set at 0.65 times, with a target price of RMB 25.60 [5].