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三联虹普(300384):毛利率持续提升,看好工业AI发展
HTSC· 2025-04-25 12:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 23.80 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for 2024, with a forecasted revenue of 1.07 billion RMB, down 14.1% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 9.6% to 320 million RMB [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the downstream demand for PA66 and recycled materials, with industrial AI business anticipated to drive new growth [1][4]. - The gross margin has been improving, reaching 68.4% in Q4 2024, up 28.8 percentage points year-on-year, indicating enhanced profitability through technological improvements [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of 1.07 billion RMB, with a net profit of 320 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline in revenue but an increase in net profit [1]. - The gross margin for the new materials and synthetic materials segments improved significantly, with gross margins of 48.7%, 39.8%, and 43.1% for different segments, showing a year-on-year increase [2]. - The financial expense ratio decreased due to increased interest from deposits, while operating cash flow saw a decline of 24.9% year-on-year [3]. Growth Prospects - The industrial AI segment is projected to grow, with a revenue increase of 12.4% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in this area [2]. - The company has signed a contract for a nylon project worth 170 million RMB, which is expected to contribute positively to future revenues [4]. - The company’s earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 380 million RMB, 460 million RMB, and 550 million RMB respectively, reflecting a slight downward revision [5]. Valuation - The company is assigned a valuation premium with a target price set at 23.80 RMB based on a 20x PE ratio for 2025, despite a slight reduction from the previous target of 25.20 RMB [5]. - The expected PE ratio for 2025 is 20x, with a projected EPS of 1.19 RMB [5][7].