Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue of 889 million yuan, down 0.7% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 40 million yuan, down 39.7% year-on-year [1] - The sales of traditional products are under pressure, while the pre-prepared food segment is experiencing rapid growth [1] Revenue Breakdown - In H1 2025, revenue from staple foods, snacks, baked goods, and frozen prepared dishes was 410 million, 200 million, 210 million, and 70 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -9.1%, -6.6%, +11.0%, and +67.3% [1] - The decline in staple and snack categories is attributed to market competition and product lifecycle issues, while the growth in baked goods is due to product adjustments for key clients [1] Channel Performance - Direct sales in H1 2025 generated 430 million yuan, an increase of 5.3% year-on-year, while distribution sales decreased by 6.4% to 450 million yuan [2] - The top five clients contributed revenues of 190 million, 50 million, 40 million, 30 million, and 3 million yuan, with varying year-on-year performance [2] Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 23.6%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to an increase in low-margin business [3] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 4.0%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, with a non-GAAP net profit margin of 3.9%, down 2.7 percentage points [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.89 billion, 2.00 billion, and 2.10 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.1%, 5.4%, and 5.5% respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same period are 80 million, 90 million, and 100 million yuan, with a projected decline in 2025 followed by growth in subsequent years [4]

民生证券股份有限公司王言海,张玲玉,范锡蒙近期对千味央厨（001215）进行研究并发布了研究报告 《2025年半年报点评：经营承压，修复在途》，给予千味央厨买入评级。 千味央厨 投资建议：我们预计公司2025-2027年营业收入分别为18.9/20.0/21.0亿元，同比+1.1%/5.4/5.5%；归母净利 润分别为0.8/0.9/1.0亿元，同比-9.3%/+15.8%/+14.1%，当前股价对应当前股价对P/E分别为37/32/28x，维 持"推荐"评级。 风险提示：下游客户拓展不及预期，新品拓展不及预期，原材料价格大幅上涨，行业竞争加剧，食品安全 风险等。 最新盈利预测明细如下： 事件：公司发布2025年半年报，25H1实现营业收入8.9亿元，同比-0.7%；实现归母净利润0.4亿元，同 比-39.7%；实现扣非净利润0.3亿元，同比-41.9%。单季度看，25Q2实现营业收入4.2亿元，同比-3.1%；归 母净利润0.1亿元，同比-42.1%；扣非净利润0.1亿元，同比-47.6%。 传统单品销售承压，预制菜快速放量。分产品看，25H1主食/小食/烘焙甜品/冷冻调理菜肴类及其他分别实 现收入4.1/ ...