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北方导航(600435):首次覆盖报告:国内导航控制龙头,受益远火景气提升
Western Securities· 2025-07-25 11:28
Investment Rating - The report gives an "Accumulate" rating for the company, North Navigation (600435.SH), with a target price of 17.00 yuan based on an 85 times PE valuation for 2025 [3][6]. Core Viewpoints - North Navigation is a leading supplier of military guidance systems, benefiting from the rising demand for long-range artillery systems. The company focuses on military products, particularly in navigation control and ammunition information technology, and has developed a robust technical platform [1][6]. - The company is expected to see a significant recovery in profitability in 2025, with a forecasted net profit of 1.05 to 1.2 billion yuan, compared to a loss of 742.17 million yuan in the previous year [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - North Navigation is a key player in the domestic navigation control and ammunition information sector, backed by the China Ordnance Industry Group. The company has established a comprehensive technical platform encompassing seven major military technology sectors [1][25]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a revenue of 2.748 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 22.91% year-on-year, with a net profit of 59 million yuan, down 69.29% from the previous year. However, a significant turnaround is expected in 2025, with projected revenues of 5.244 billion yuan and net profits of 305 million yuan [2][4][30]. Growth Drivers - The demand for long-range guided weapons is expected to drive substantial growth for North Navigation. The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing international market for its products, particularly following a significant contract for the AR-3 rocket artillery system with the UAE worth approximately 1.7 billion yuan [2][3][65]. Profitability Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.24 billion yuan in 2025, 6.44 billion yuan in 2026, and 7.64 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 310 million yuan, 400 million yuan, and 510 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 91%, 23%, and 19% respectively [3][4][16].