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建银国际:上调万洲国际目标价至9.2港元 维持“跑赢大市”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 06:37
Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International has slightly raised the target price for WH Group (00288) by 2.2% from HKD 9 to HKD 9.2, maintaining an "outperform" rating due to optimistic revenue prospects from effective expansion of sales channels in the Chinese market [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - WH Group reported a strong performance in Q3 2025, with revenue increasing by 7.9% year-on-year and operating profit growing by 1.8% [1] - The growth in sales was primarily driven by a 10.2% increase in pork sales, attributed to effective expansion of sales channels in the Chinese market [1] - Packaged meat revenue saw a stable growth of 5.1%, benefiting from price increases in the US and European markets [1] Group 2: Margin and Cost Analysis - The overall operating gross margin compressed by 0.6 percentage points, mainly due to rising raw material costs in the US and a shift in Chinese packaged meat products towards higher cost-performance products [1] - The decline in European pig prices negatively impacted the profitability of upstream operations [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company expects a 5.8% revenue growth in Q4, with a slight decrease in operating profit margin by 0.2 percentage points to 8.4%, influenced by accelerated marketing in China and increased costs in the US [2] - There is an expectation for gradual improvement in operating profit margins in FY 2026, primarily due to sales leverage [2]
建银国际:上调万洲国际(00288)目标价至9.2港元 维持“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-10-31 06:33
智通财经APP获悉,建银国际发布研报称,略上调万洲国际(00288)目标价2.2%,从9港元升至9.2港元, 维持"跑赢大市"评级。该行基于中国市场销售通路有效拓展,收入前景更加乐观,将2025及2026财年的 核心盈利预期均上调2.4%。同时,由于原料成本波动,对该公司经营利润率的假设也比较保守。该行 重申该公司的综合业务模式强劲的执行能力将支撑长期增长,约7%的诱人股息率也支撑其估值。 该行表示,中国销售渠道的扩张是一个关键。预计第四季收入增长5.8%以及经营利润率缩0.2个百分点 至8.4%,原因包括:1)中国市场营销加速以及推出更多高性价比产品加大规模;2)美国市场成本升高。不 过,相信经营利润率会在2026财年逐渐改善,主要原因是销售杠杆(sales leverage)。 万洲国际2025年第三季度业绩强势,收入同比增7.9%,经营利润增长1.8%,销售强势势头主要受惠 于:1)猪肉销量增长10.2%,归因于中国市场销售渠道的有效拓展;2)包装肉品收入稳定增长5.1%,受惠于 美国和欧洲市场的价格上涨。综合经营毛利率压缩0.6个百分点,主要原因是:1)美国原材料成本上涨 等;2)中国包装肉类产品转向 ...
星展:升万洲国际目标价至9.6港元 下半年前景稳健
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 09:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that WH Group's (00288) China packaged meat business sales are expected to increase by 1% year-on-year in Q2 2025, driven by precise sales strategies, new channel expansion, and regional market recovery [1] - The forecast for 2025 and 2026 earnings has been raised by 3% and 2% respectively, reflecting a stronger outlook for the U.S. business, with the target price increased from HKD 8.7 to HKD 9.6; it is anticipated that revenue and profit margins in the Chinese business will improve in the second half of the year [1] - Management expects growth momentum to strengthen in the second half of the year, with sales recovery offsetting the weak performance in the first half; despite rising marketing and labor costs, falling pork prices and improved operational efficiency are expected to support record-high profits, projected at RMB 4,700 per ton [1] Group 2 - In the U.S. market, stable hog prices and declining feed costs indicate robust momentum and a positive outlook; pork demand remains resilient compared to beef and chicken [1] - Smithfield, a subsidiary, has raised its full-year operating profit guidance by over 3.8% to USD 1.15 billion to USD 1.35 billion, while continuing to reduce underperforming farms and maintaining a mid-term production target of 10 million hogs [1] - Although packaged meat may face profit pressure due to rising pork prices, management plans to alleviate this through price adjustments, product mix optimization, and cost control to support ongoing profit margin expansion in the U.S. business [1] Group 3 - In Europe, the group is focusing on high-margin, high-growth product categories to drive long-term growth; management plans to fill product gaps through acquisitions, prioritizing pan-European brands [2] - With sales expected to exceed 400,000 tons this year, the group aims to improve profitability per ton to levels close to those in the U.S. and China through product mix and operational improvements [2]
星展:升万洲国际(00288)目标价至9.6港元 下半年前景稳健
智通财经网· 2025-08-14 09:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Wan Zhou International's (00288) sales in the Chinese packaged meat business are expected to increase by 1% year-on-year in Q2 2025, driven by precise sales strategies, new channel expansion, and regional market recovery [1] - DBS has raised its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 3% and 2% respectively, reflecting a stronger outlook for the US business, and has increased the target price from HKD 8.7 to HKD 9.6 [1] - The management anticipates that growth momentum will strengthen in the second half of the year, with sales recovery offsetting the weak performance in the first half [1] Group 2 - In the US market, the outlook is positive due to stable hog prices and declining feed costs, with pork demand remaining resilient compared to beef and chicken [1] - Smithfield has raised its full-year operating profit guidance by over 3.8% to USD 1.15 billion to USD 1.35 billion, while continuing to reduce underperforming farms and maintaining a mid-term target of 10 million hogs in production [1] - The company plans to alleviate profit pressure from rising pork prices through price adjustments, product mix optimization, and cost control to support ongoing profit margin expansion in the US business [1] Group 3 - In Europe, the group is focusing on high-margin, high-growth product categories to drive long-term growth [2] - The management intends to fill product gaps through acquisitions, prioritizing pan-European brands [2] - With sales expected to exceed 400,000 tons this year, the group aims to improve profitability per ton to levels close to those in the US and China through product mix and operational improvements [2]