Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 21.66 CNY, based on a projected average PE of 19 times for comparable companies in 2025 [4][8]. Core Insights - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, predicting net profits of 364 million CNY, 406 million CNY, and 454 million CNY respectively, reflecting a growth trajectory despite a revenue decline in 2024 [4][11]. - The gross margin has significantly improved, with a reported gross margin of 46.2% in 2024, up 6.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating better cost management and pricing power [11]. - The company is actively pursuing opportunities in recycled materials, with successful project deliveries in chemical recycling technology, which is expected to expand into polyester recycling [11]. - The industrial AI solutions segment has shown resilience, achieving a 12% revenue growth despite overall revenue decline, indicating a strong demand for digital transformation in the industry [11]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2023 was 1,250 million CNY, with a projected decline to 1,074 million CNY in 2024, followed by a recovery to 1,206 million CNY in 2025 [6]. - The net profit for 2023 was 290 million CNY, expected to rise to 318 million CNY in 2024, and further to 364 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a consistent growth pattern [6]. - The gross margin is projected to remain stable at 47.3% from 2025 to 2027, while the net profit margin is expected to hover around 30% [6][11].

风险提示 产品需求下滑；产品价格下滑；新项目进度不及预期。 再生材料增长机会。近年来，公司积极布局再生材料技术，项目陆续交付落地。 2024 年二季度，公司与台华新材旗下子公司江苏嘉华签署的化学法循环再生尼龙材料项目成功交付， 标志着公司化学回收技术首个工业化样板取得成功。化学法是公司下一阶段再生塑料技术的重点布局方 向，化学法回收产品也有望从尼龙进一步延伸至聚酯，形成物理和化学法回收相结合，更全面的废塑料 循环技术体系。食品级再生rPET 项目方面，2024 年子公司Polymetrix 再次完成对两家墨西哥用户的工 程交付。除了传统欧美市场外，巴西、印度、墨西哥等新兴市场的再生材料市场机会可期。 大数据工厂项目结项，工业AI 方案板块营收实现增长。2024 年公司总收入同比下滑，但工业AI 集成解 决方案营收仍实现了12%增长。2024 年，公司"纺织产业大数据工厂项目"如期结项，该平台将支撑公 司"化纤智能体系统解决方案"继续向化纤垂类大模型及智能体架构演进，构建覆盖全链条的智能化平 台，并推动行业协同发展。 我们结合公司2024 年各板块业务利润率情况调整公司盈利预测，预测公司2025-2027 年归 ...