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醫藥股異動!石藥單日飆近4% 關鍵技術位全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-04 03:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong stock market's innovative drug concept stocks continue to show strong momentum, particularly with CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093), which reached a peak price of HKD 11.5 and is currently trading at HKD 11.23, reflecting a 4.47% increase [1] - Technical analysis indicates that CSPC's stock price has broken through several key technical levels, forming a bullish pattern, although technical indicators show signs of overheating, suggesting investors should remain cautious [1] - The current support levels for CSPC are at HKD 10.2 (Support 1) and HKD 9.7 (Support 2), while resistance levels are at HKD 11.9 (Resistance 1) and HKD 12.6 (Resistance 2) [1] Group 2 - Haitong International's research report assigns a PE ratio of 29.1x for CSPC for the fiscal year 2026, up from 18.2x, with a target price of HKD 13.11 based on a forecasted EPS of HKD 0.45 [3] - Recent performance of CSPC's related derivatives has been outstanding, with products like the Societe Generale bull certificate (65724) and HSBC bull certificate (65641) recording increases of 110% and 112% respectively, compared to a 16.42% rise in the underlying stock [3] - For investors optimistic about the market, options such as the call warrants with exercise prices around HKD 12.98 and HKD 12.99, offering leverage of 4.4x and 4.2x respectively, are recommended [6] Group 3 - For bearish investors, options like the JPMorgan bear certificate (54424) with a redemption price of HKD 9.2 and a leverage of 4.5x are suitable, while UBS bear certificate (66328) and HSBC bear certificate (65200) offer higher leverage of 9.6x and 7.2x respectively [9] - CSPC is currently testing the key resistance level of HKD 11.9, raising questions about whether the recent price increase is a technical breakout or a short-term overheating [12]