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居民“存款搬家”仍处萌芽阶段 当前股市上行更多受活跃资金驱动
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 14:50
Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index has successfully broken through the 3,800-point mark, with trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 2.55 trillion yuan on August 22, indicating a growing "bull market" sentiment and attracting new capital [1][2] - The phenomenon of "deposit migration" among residents is becoming a widely discussed topic, although it is still in its early stages. The recent market uptrend is primarily driven by active funds, with individual investors remaining cautious due to "fear of heights" and profit-taking sentiments [1][5] - The number of new individual investor accounts has surged, with 1.9636 million new accounts opened in July 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71% and a month-on-month increase of 19% [2][4] Market Trends - Since April 2025, the A-share market has entered a four-month upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising from around 3,360 points to surpass 3,600 points within a month [2] - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market has increased to approximately 2 trillion yuan in August, compared to 1.63 trillion yuan in July and 1.39 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, indicating a gradual improvement in individual investor sentiment [4] - The active user base of securities service applications reached 167 million in July, marking a month-on-month increase of 3.36% and a year-on-year increase of 20.89%, reflecting heightened engagement among investors [3] Investor Behavior - The influx of new accounts is not solely from inexperienced investors; rather, it is primarily driven by experienced retail investors who are familiar with trading processes and are actively seeking to optimize their trading conditions [3] - The trend of "deposit migration" is evidenced by a significant reduction of 1.11 trillion yuan in household deposits in July, while deposits in non-bank financial institutions increased by 2.14 trillion yuan, indicating a shift of savings towards financial markets [5][6] - Despite the trend of deposit migration, the current market uptrend is not predominantly driven by retail investors, as their activity levels remain lower compared to earlier in the year, suggesting lingering caution among this group [7]