与银行理财规模同步增长的，还有基金产品的规模。9月25日，中国证券投资基金业协会发布的数据显 示，截至2025年8月底，我国公募基金资产净值合计36.25万亿元，再创新高。这是我国公募基金总规模 今年以来第五次创下历史新高，也是公募基金规模首次突破36万亿元。 值得一提的是，自2024年9月底以来，公募基金规模持续增长。2024年12月底，公募基金规模达32.83万 亿元。2025年7月底，公募基金总规模突破35万亿元大关。与7月底相比，8月公募基金规模增长约1.2万 亿元。 国庆期间，家住西北某省会城市的张女士，申请提前支取10万元定期存款。近一年来，张女士的子女和 身边的朋友，通过理财都获得了不错的收益，这让张女士也有些动心，决定先用10万元存款"试试水"。 张女士的情况并非个例。"十四五"期间，中国居民理财观念经历了一场变革：银行理财规模突破30万亿 元，公募基金站上36万亿元新高，私募基金走向专业化。这组数字背后，是普通人从"唯存款"转向多元 配置的五年，是百姓财富观念重塑的五年。 理财、基金规模持续攀升 银行业理财登记托管中心此前发布的《中国银行业理财市场半年报告(2025年上)》显示，截至2025 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights that a significant amount of high-interest fixed deposits made by residents will mature between 2025 and 2026, with a total of 66.54 trillion yuan in fixed deposits added from 2021 to 2024, leading to a peak maturity of 22.28 trillion yuan in 2025 and 9.4 trillion yuan in 2026 [3][9] - In August, there was a notable decrease in bank deposits, with only 110 billion yuan saved compared to a typical 600 billion yuan, indicating a shift of funds from banks to other investments, particularly the stock market, as evidenced by a 7.97% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index and a 24.13% increase in the ChiNext Index [10][11] - The M2-M1 growth rate difference is narrowing, suggesting a transition from "dead money" (fixed deposits) to "live money" (liquid assets), reflecting a recovery in economic activity as businesses and consumers are more willing to invest and spend [12][15] Group 2 - The article suggests that the upcoming maturity of high-interest fixed deposits in 2025 and 2026, combined with a sustained positive performance in the stock market, could enhance liquidity in the stock market as more fixed deposits convert to liquid assets [15]

Core Viewpoint - The phenomenon of "deposit migration" among residents and enterprises is increasingly prominent due to the continuous decline in deposit interest rates and the advantages of wealth management products [1][2]. Group 1: Deposit Migration Trends - In August, new resident deposits decreased by 600 billion yuan year-on-year, totaling 1.1 trillion yuan, marking two consecutive months of negative growth [2]. - Non-bank deposits increased by 11.8 trillion yuan, up 5.5 trillion yuan year-on-year, highlighting the "seesaw" effect between resident and non-bank deposits [2]. - The trend of asset allocation is reflected in listed companies' preferences for wealth management, with a noticeable decline in the amount spent on wealth management products and cash deposits [2]. Group 2: Decline in Listed Companies' Wealth Management Scale - As of September 26, 2023, 1,095 listed companies held 12,395 wealth management products with a total subscription amount of 779 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.04% compared to the same period last year [4]. - The subscription amount for structured deposits decreased by nearly 100 billion yuan year-on-year, with a decline of 16.78%, while the amount for fixed-term deposits fell by over 150 billion yuan, down 37.29% [4][5]. Group 3: Reasons for Decline in Wealth Management Scale - The decline in wealth management scale is attributed to strict controls on idle funds and the management of bank structured deposit quotas [5]. - The shift in focus towards market-oriented wealth management reflects a reallocation of financial resources in response to the low-interest-rate environment [9][10]. Group 4: Diversification of Wealth Management Structure - Despite the overall decline in wealth management scale, the structure is evolving towards diversification, with an increasing preference for products linked to bonds, equities, and mixed assets [6][10]. - The subscription amount for securities company wealth management products increased by 7.74% year-on-year, while investments in other financial products also saw growth [6]. Group 5: Increased Interest in Direct Securities Investment - Since the A-share market's recovery, over 70 listed companies have announced plans to use idle funds for securities investment, aiming to enhance fund utilization and profitability [11][12]. - The shift towards securities investment is driven by the need for better returns in a low-interest-rate environment, with companies seeking to optimize their asset allocation [11][12].

"今日买入，明日起息""节前出手早，玩 '赚'假期不打烊""节前巧布局，假期更无忧"……距离"十一"长 假仅剩两天，贝壳财经记者发现，多家银行理财公司发布了"节前理财攻略"，吸引投资者在节前将资金 购入理财产品，以确保在8天的长假期间财富"不打烊"。 贝壳财经记者了解到，大部分理财公司发布的攻略中，主要包括了现金管理类产品和日开产品，部分 T+1的产品需要于9月29日收盘前购入，可在9月30日确认并在8天小长假中赢得收益。另有部分日开产 品最晚可于9月30日购入，亦可在假期享受收益。 有业内人士指出，节假日是银行理财传统的营销时节，今年又恰逢银行存款"搬家"热兴起，越来越多的 银行存款转移至银行理财、基金股票等领域。因此，今年银行理财公司更需加大力度来吸引更多资金和 投资者，以抢占市场。 十一专项理财产品普遍风险低、流动性较好 临近十一长假，工银理财、交银理财、平安理财、招银理财、民生理财、徽银理财等多家银行理财公司 发布了十一假期前的理财"攻略"。 据贝壳财经记者不完全统计，招银理财、民生理财、平安理财等多家银行理财公司均在今日开设了夜市 专场，在24:00之前购买指定的理财产品，均可在国庆假期计息。 如招 ...

证券ETF(159841)及其联接基金(A:008590,C:008591)跟踪中证全指证券公司指数，最新规模为94.37亿 元，一键打包优质上市券商，其中近6成仓位集中于十大龙头券商，另外4成仓位兼顾中小券商的业绩高 弹性，是9·24行情爆发以来的"牛市旗手"的代表，2024年9月24日-10月8日，累计涨幅超50%。 在两融余额攀升至2.4万亿的历史高位、A股成交额维持日均1.6万亿元成交，叠加流动性宽松的情况 下，7、8月居民存款连续两个月同比少增，非银存款连续两月同比多增，或与存款搬家进入股市有关。 随着8月A股新开户数持续高增，证券板块依旧受益于股市活跃。 消息面上，央行三季度例会指出，用好证券、基金、保险公司互换便利和股票回购增持再贷款，探索常 态化的制度安排，维护资本市场稳定。 今日A股的证券板块大爆发，国盛金控涨停创历史新高，华泰证券涨停，广发证券涨超9%，带动证券 ETF（159841）涨5.33%。 作为"9·24"反弹先锋的证券板块，近期表现持续低迷，证券ETF（159841）自高点回撤逾10%，而资金 坚定博弈底部反弹机遇，"越跌越买"态势不减，已连续25个交易日净流入，净流入额高达3 ...

Macro Strategy - The current economic situation indicates increasing pressure on stabilizing investment and consumption, suggesting that a new round of growth stabilization policies is imminent. The cumulative growth rate of fixed asset investment for the first eight months of this year is only 0.5%, necessitating coordinated fiscal and monetary policies to promote recovery [10][11] - The expected GDP growth for the third quarter is between 4.7% and 4.9%, with a cumulative growth rate of approximately 5.1% for the first three quarters. If the growth rate for the fourth quarter exceeds 4.5%, the annual target of around 5.0% can be achieved [10][11] - The report anticipates that the new policies will focus on four areas: early use of debt limits, introduction of new policy financial tools, potential interest rate cuts, and adjustments to consumption policies to stimulate demand [10][11] Fixed Income - The issuance of the Jin 25 convertible bond is set at a total scale of 2 billion yuan, with net proceeds allocated for the Zambia Lubanbi copper mine project and related operational and capital expenditures. The bond has a maturity of six years and a yield to maturity of 2.46% [20] Industry Analysis - The insurance industry showed strong growth in life insurance premiums in August, while non-auto property insurance faced short-term pressure. The valuation of insurance stocks remains low, with expected PEV ratios between 0.57 and 0.85 and PB ratios between 1.02 and 2.16 for 2025, indicating significant upside potential [7] - The report highlights that the demand for savings remains robust, and with ongoing regulatory guidance and proactive transformation by insurance companies, liability costs are expected to gradually decrease, alleviating pressure on interest margins [7] Energy Storage - The report emphasizes the rise of independent energy storage in China, with significant demand growth expected in both domestic and international markets. The ongoing shortage of energy storage cells is projected to continue until the second half of 2026, with price increases anticipated [8] - Key companies recommended for investment in the energy storage sector include CATL, Sungrow, and Yiwei Lithium Energy, among others, due to their competitive advantages and profit growth potential [8]

Group 1: Market Insights - The combination of "low deposit rates + high investment returns" is insufficient to attract residents' deposits into the market from both relative and absolute return perspectives[2] - China's excess savings are approximately zero, contrasting with the large excess deposits seen in other markets[3] - The increase in savings rate and decrease in deposit proportion reflect a change in risk preference among residents[4] Group 2: A-Share Market Dynamics - The current A-share market rally is more akin to an "emotional bull market" driven by increased risk appetite rather than a substantial influx of resident deposits[4] - For A-shares to reach new highs, a recovery in earnings is necessary to solidify optimistic sentiment and transition into a "slow bull" market[4] - The expectation of a significant influx of resident deposits into the market lacks triggering conditions in the short term[4] Group 3: Financial Data Analysis - In July, resident deposits decreased by approximately 1.1 trillion yuan month-on-month, with a year-on-year reduction of about 780 billion yuan, raising market concerns[21] - The decrease in resident deposits was primarily due to a 92% contribution from a decline in demand deposits, while time deposits only decreased by 85 billion yuan[21] - In August, resident deposits increased by about 110 billion yuan, indicating a lack of large-scale market entry from deposits[22]

以下文章来源于大胡子财研社 ，作者湾区区长 大胡子财研社 . 独到的财经观点，深度的金融分析，助你抓住最新财富机会，实现资产稳步增长！ 前几天，最新的社融数据出炉了，其中一个最值得大家留意的数据是存款数据。 最新8月份的数据显示： 8月份东大新增企业存 款2997亿元，同比少增503亿元； 新增的居民存款1100亿元，同比去年少增6000 亿 元。 而在此之前的 7月， 居民存款存量大概是 1.11万亿元 ，同比多减7800亿元。 在银行存款不断下跌、资金显著流出的同时，非银行业金融机构，比如券商、基金、保险公司这 些机构的存款，则在显著增长。 因为从数据上看， 这一轮资金转移并没有盲目涌向高风险的领域，而是更多流向相对稳健的理 财、债基产品。 8月份， 非银存款增加了 1.18万亿元 ，同比多增5500亿元。 7月份非银机构的存款增加额更是高达 2.14万亿元 。 今年前8个月，非银存款累计新增达到了 5.87万亿元 ，创下了历史同期的新高。 大量存款离开银行存款，流向券商、基金这些机构，说明什么？ 说明随着大A资本市场的热度提升， 资金正在不断挪动转场进入资本市场，大规模的存款搬家已 经开始了。 而且不仅 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent "9·24" policy has not only boosted stock market indices and market capitalization but also significantly impacted household finances, leading to a shift in wealth from traditional bank deposits to investment markets [1][9]. Group 1: Deposit Trends - A new wave of "deposit migration" appears to be underway, driven by declining interest rates and a shift in investment preferences among residents [3][6]. - As of August 2025, the balance of RMB deposits reached 322.73 trillion yuan, with household deposits increasing by 9.77 trillion yuan, while non-bank financial institution deposits surged by 5.87 trillion yuan [3][4]. - In August, household deposits saw a net increase of only 110 billion yuan, a decrease of 600 billion yuan year-on-year, while non-bank deposits increased by 1.18 trillion yuan, reflecting a significant shift in fund allocation [3][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The A-share market has entered a bullish phase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 14% since the beginning of the year, and total A-share market capitalization exceeding 104 trillion yuan [4][9]. - The average daily trading volume has surpassed 1.64 trillion yuan, indicating heightened market activity and investor interest [4][9]. - The number of new stock accounts opened has doubled month-on-month, with 2.64 million new personal stock accounts in August alone, marking a 165.57% year-on-year increase [10]. Group 3: Factors Driving Change - The decline in bank deposit interest rates, coupled with rising stock market performance and regulatory policies, has been a significant driver of the current deposit migration trend [6][8]. - Historical patterns show that deposit migration has occurred during periods of low interest rates and strong stock market performance, indicating a shift in investment strategies among residents [6][7]. - The current environment reflects a transition from traditional high-yield bank deposits to more diversified investment products, including stocks and non-bank financial products [5][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The upcoming peak of high-yield fixed-term deposits maturing in 2025-2026, combined with ongoing favorable policies for the capital market, suggests that the deposit migration process will continue [13]. - Analysts predict that the strength and duration of this migration will depend on the yield differential between asset management products and new deposits, as well as the overall economic outlook [13][14]. - Financial institutions are advised to adapt their strategies to retain deposits, optimize their funding structures, and enhance customer satisfaction to mitigate the impact of deposit migration [14][15].

Group 1: Banking Industry - The report tracks the progress of deposit migration from the perspective of financial system liquidity, indicating that the trend of deposit migration continues, reflected in the activation of deposits and increased activity in capital markets, although the pace has slightly slowed down due to three main factors: the front-loaded fiscal and credit monetary supply in the first half of the year, increased investor divergence after the stock market rise, and a slowdown in the return of foreign exchange funds amid export deceleration [5] - The estimated potential for deposit migration remains at 5-7 trillion yuan, suggesting that this trend may continue in the medium term despite the current slowdown [5] Group 2: Macroeconomy - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is a critical period for China's financial cycle and economic transformation, with the "15th Five-Year Plan" expected to enhance supply capacity while addressing debt and demand issues arising from real estate adjustments [7] - To maintain GDP growth within a certain range, a rebalancing of supply and demand is necessary, particularly in boosting demand through debt resolution, consumption promotion, and fiscal reforms [7] - Policies aimed at stimulating demand may also benefit supply in the long term, with a focus on technological innovation and the internationalization of the renminbi amid changes in the international monetary system [8] Group 3: Strategy - In August, while A-shares, particularly the STAR Market, were strong, Hong Kong stocks remained stagnant. However, in September, A-shares entered a phase of fluctuation while Hong Kong stocks gained momentum, supported by expectations of Federal Reserve easing and AI internet developments [10] - The report discusses the potential for market leadership among the three regions (China, Hong Kong, and the US) and identifies which industries may offer greater value [10] Group 4: Automotive and Components Industry - The trend towards liquid cooling solutions in data centers is driving increased demand for liquid cooling components, with domestic automotive parts companies leveraging their capabilities in thermal management to expand into this market [14] - The rise in AI chip power consumption is accelerating the application of liquid cooling solutions, enhancing the demand for core components like quick-connect fittings (UQD) [14] - The domestic supply chain possesses cost advantages and significant potential for domestic substitution in the liquid cooling market [14]