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大量定期存款到期,“固收+”再迎爆发式增长?
经济观察报· 2026-02-11 11:18
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential surge in "fixed income +" products as a new destination for capital, driven by a significant amount of deposits maturing in 2026, amidst a low-interest-rate environment [2][3]. Group 1: Market Context - In 2026, approximately 75 trillion yuan of resident fixed-term deposits are expected to mature, with 67 trillion yuan being one year or longer, marking a 12% and 17% increase compared to 2025, respectively [2]. - The current weak consumer sentiment and limited real estate demand suggest that a substantial portion of these funds may flow into investment areas, indicating a market consensus on "deposit migration" [2][3]. Group 2: Growth of "Fixed Income +" Products - The "fixed income +" products have evolved over the past decade, adapting to investor needs and enhancing asset allocation and value discovery capabilities, positioning them for renewed popularity in 2026 [2][3]. - The macroeconomic environment is expected to show marginal improvement, with a "restorative growth" pattern, leading to a low-risk appetite among bank depositors who prioritize capital preservation [3]. Group 3: Regulatory Support and Investor Education - The China Securities Regulatory Commission's 2025 action plan emphasizes the development of low-volatility and asset allocation products, which aligns with the investment strategies of many "fixed income +" products [3][4]. - Increased investor education and acceptance of "fixed income +" products are anticipated to further drive their adoption [3]. Group 4: Performance of "Fixed Income +" Products - By the end of 2025, the total market size of "fixed income +" funds reached a historical high of 2.735 trillion yuan, reflecting a growing trend in multi-asset allocation [4]. - Several "fixed income +" products from博时基金 (Bosera Fund) have shown strong performance, with notable returns exceeding their benchmarks, indicating effective asset management strategies [9][10]. Group 5: Investment Strategy and Team Expertise - 博时基金 emphasizes two core capabilities in its "fixed income +" product strategy: broad asset allocation and relative pricing ability, supported by a seasoned investment research team [5][8]. - The team is led by experienced professionals who focus on balancing risks and returns, utilizing a comprehensive approach to asset management that includes both fixed income and equity investments [6][7][8].
大量定期存款到期,“固收+”再迎爆发式增长?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-11 05:39
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming maturity of a significant amount of residential time deposits in 2026, estimated at approximately 75 trillion yuan, is expected to drive funds towards "fixed income +" products, as traditional deposit rates decline below 1% [1][2]. Group 1: Market Context - In 2026, a large volume of three-year and five-year time deposits will be repriced, with an estimated 67 trillion yuan of one-year and above deposits maturing, which is higher than the market's estimate of around 50 trillion yuan [1]. - The growth in maturing deposits compared to 2025 is projected to be 12% for all deposits and 17% for one-year and above deposits, translating to an increase of 8 trillion yuan and 10 trillion yuan respectively [1]. - The current weak consumer sentiment and limited real estate demand suggest that a significant portion of these funds may flow into investment areas, indicating a market consensus on "deposit migration" [1]. Group 2: Product Development - The "fixed income +" products have evolved over more than a decade, entering a new stage of development characterized by improved asset allocation and value discovery capabilities [1]. - The macroeconomic environment in 2026 is expected to show marginal improvement, with a "recovery growth" pattern, leading to a low-risk appetite among bank depositors who prioritize capital safety and stable returns [1][2]. Group 3: Regulatory Support - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued a plan to support the development of various fund products, emphasizing the creation of low-volatility and asset allocation products to meet diverse investor needs [2]. Group 4: Fund Performance - As of the end of 2025, the total market size of "fixed income +" funds reached a historical high of 2.735 trillion yuan, reflecting a growing acceptance among investors [3]. - Several "fixed income +" products from Bosera Fund have shown strong performance, with specific funds achieving notable net value growth rates significantly above their respective benchmarks [8][9].