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裕同科技(002831):25Q3业绩表现符合预期,盈利能力稳定提升,25Q4收入增长有望提速
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-03 10:46
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with total revenue of 12.601 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 2.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.181 billion yuan, up 6% year-on-year [6] - Q3 2025 revenue was 4.726 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.66%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 627 million yuan, an increase of 1.62% year-on-year [6] - The company anticipates accelerated revenue growth in Q4 2025 due to delayed deliveries from major clients in the consumer electronics sector and the rapid iteration of AI hardware [6] - The company is actively expanding into new business areas such as new consumer packaging and environmentally friendly materials, with injection molding product revenue in H1 2025 reaching 379 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.8% [6] - The company has a leading international and intelligent layout, with over 15 years of overseas operational experience and multiple factories established in various countries [6] - The gross profit margin for Q1-3 2025 was 25%, while Q3 2025 saw a gross profit margin of 28.7%, benefiting from internal smart upgrades and lean production [6] - The company has launched an employee stock ownership plan with performance targets set for the next three years, reflecting confidence in future growth [6] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 to 1.631 billion and 1.903 billion yuan, respectively, while introducing a new forecast for 2027 at 2.251 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 15X, 13X, and 11X [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 18.448 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.5% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 1.631 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.8% [5] - The earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 1.77 yuan [5] - The gross profit margin is projected to be 25.0% for 2025, increasing to 25.6% by 2027 [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 13.4% in 2025 to 16.3% in 2027 [5]