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名创优品(09896.HK):Q3收入超预期 关注利润长期改善
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-29 20:19
Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of 5.797 billion, exceeding the previous guidance limit of 28%, with a year-on-year growth of 28.2% [1] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 was 767 million, reflecting an 11.7% increase, but net profit margin decreased by 2.0 percentage points to 13.2% [1] - The acquisition of Yonghui Supermarket has impacted short-term profits, leading to financial expenses of 105 million and investment losses of 145 million in Q3 [1] Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached 15.190 billion, marking a 23.7% increase, with a gross margin of 44.4% [1] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 2.046 billion, up 6.1%, but the adjusted net profit margin decreased by 2.2 percentage points to 13.5% [1] Store Expansion - The company achieved a milestone of 8,000 stores, with a total of 8,138 stores as of Q3 2025, a net increase of 718 stores year-on-year [1] - By brand, MINISO generated Q3 revenue of 5.222 billion, a 22.9% increase, with 7,831 stores, including 4,407 in mainland China and 3,424 overseas [1] - TOPTOY reported Q3 revenue of 575 million, reflecting a significant growth of 111.4%, with 307 stores [1] Same-Store Sales Improvement - MINISO's same-store sales in mainland China showed high single-digit growth in Q3, with estimates indicating low double-digit growth in October [2] - Overseas same-store sales experienced mid-single-digit growth, influenced by geopolitical factors in regions like Latin America, but long-term prospects remain positive [2] - TOPTOY also reported same-store sales growth in the low single digits, driven by the company's IP strategy and large store contributions [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on an IP-driven strategy, having signed contracts with 16 artist IPs, and is utilizing a "small batch trial sales + data iteration" model for promotion [2] - The introduction of large store formats, such as MINISOLAND and MINISO FRIENDS, is expected to enhance store performance and contribute to revenue growth [2] - A significant transformation is planned, with 80% of stores expected to undergo changes by 2026, shifting from retail to cultural and creative offerings [2] Financial Outlook - The company anticipates revenue adjustments for 2025-2027 to 21.203 billion, 25.800 billion, and 29.992 billion, respectively, considering the impact of the Yonghui acquisition [3] - Projected net profits for the same period are 1.989 billion, 3.155 billion, and 4.020 billion, with corresponding PE ratios of 22.19, 13.99, and 10.98 [3] - The investment recommendation remains "buy" based on same-store recovery and rapid overseas expansion, despite the financial burdens from the Yonghui acquisition [3]
叶国富:名创优品用5年做到了100亿,比马云还快
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 11:21
Core Insights - The discussion highlighted the rapid growth of Miniso, which reached a revenue of 10 billion RMB in approximately five years, outpacing Alibaba's growth [2] - Miniso's current in-store conversion rate stands at 30%, with a flagship store in Shanghai achieving sales of 100 million RMB in nine months [2][4] - The company has adopted a dual-track strategy for IP development, collaborating with major brands like Disney and signing artists for unique product designs [3] Company Development - Miniso was founded in 2013 by Ye Guofu, inspired by foreign lifestyle specialty stores, and has since expanded significantly [2] - The company has 4,305 domestic stores and 3,307 international stores, with a net increase of 30 and 94 stores respectively in the latest quarter [4] - The revenue for the second quarter of 2025 reached 4.97 billion RMB, marking a year-on-year growth of 23.1% with a gross margin of 44.3% [4] Strategic Initiatives - Ye Guofu emphasized the importance of a "trial and error" budget for innovation, suggesting that investing in experimentation is crucial for long-term success [3] - Miniso's subsidiary, TOP TOY, is projected to achieve revenues of 4 billion RMB by the second quarter of 2025, with a significant year-on-year increase of 87% [3] - The company plans to close and reopen 80% of its stores in the next two years to shift from retail to cultural creativity [4] Acquisitions and Partnerships - Miniso acquired a 29.4% stake in Yonghui Supermarket for approximately 6.3 billion RMB, becoming its largest shareholder [4] - Ye Guofu praised the collaboration with Donglai, highlighting the importance of product quality and service in retail success [3][4]