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鱼跃医疗(002223):2025 年中报点评:业绩符合预期,期待cgm新品放量
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-23 07:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met expectations, with total revenue of 46.59 billion yuan, an increase of 8.16% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.03 billion yuan, up 7.37% year-on-year [7] - The main business showed steady growth, with significant contributions from respiratory oxygen and home health monitoring solutions, particularly the electronic blood pressure monitors and infrared thermometers [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the launch of new Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) products, which have received positive feedback from users, driving rapid growth in the CGM business [7] - Cost control measures have been effective, with a gross margin of 50.37%, an increase of 0.37 percentage points year-on-year [7] - Future profit forecasts have been adjusted slightly, with net profit for 2025 expected to be 19.54 billion yuan, and for 2026-2027 adjusted to 22.05 billion yuan and 25.35 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A: 7,972 million yuan, 2024A: 7,566 million yuan, 2025E: 8,760 million yuan, 2026E: 10,134 million yuan, 2027E: 11,711 million yuan [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be: 2023A: 2,396 million yuan, 2024A: 1,806 million yuan, 2025E: 1,954 million yuan, 2026E: 2,205 million yuan, 2027E: 2,535 million yuan [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: 2023A: 2.39 yuan, 2024A: 1.80 yuan, 2025E: 1.95 yuan, 2026E: 2.20 yuan, 2027E: 2.53 yuan [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios based on the latest diluted EPS are: 2023A: 15.31, 2024A: 20.32, 2025E: 18.78, 2026E: 16.64, 2027E: 14.47 [1]