Core Insights - The futures market for live pigs shows a closing price of 13,790 yuan/ton on June 27, 2025, reflecting an increase of 110 yuan/ton from the previous week [1] - The current prices for live pigs in various regions have increased, with Henan at 14.86 yuan/kg (+0.53 yuan), Jiangsu at 15.24 yuan/kg (+0.58 yuan), and Sichuan at 13.86 yuan/kg (+0.21 yuan) [1] - The supply side indicates a slight increase in the number of breeding sows and a decrease in the number of sows being eliminated, while the total stock of market pigs has increased by 0.45% [1] Supply Analysis - As of May, the number of breeding sows stands at 5.0834 million, up 0.33% month-on-month [1] - The number of eliminated sows is 96,829, down 0.91% from the previous month [1] - The total stock of market pigs is 35.6403 million, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.45% [1] Demand Analysis - The slaughtering rate of enterprises is at 27.74%, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points from the previous week [1] - The inventory rate of frozen products in key domestic slaughtering enterprises is 17.41%, an increase of 0.06% [1] - Consumer demand appears to be recovering, with an increase in slaughter volume and frozen inventory, although overall consumption remains weak [1] Market Outlook - The analysis suggests that if the breeding sector reduces the number of pigs being sold in July, live pig prices may rise [1] - The September futures contract is showing strong performance, indicating market confidence [1] - In the medium to long term, the production capacity and profitability of pig farming remain favorable, with a trend of increasing breeding sows expected to continue [1]