2026年初，科技分析师惊恐地盯着交易终端，一场软件股的血腥抛售正席卷整个华尔街，对冲基金精准狙击AI冲击下的脆弱环节，收获了一场做空盛宴。 短短一个多月，美股软件行业总市值蒸发 1万亿美元，而在这场崩塌中，对冲基金通过做空软件股已斩获 240亿美元 的利润 金融分析公司S3 Partners的数据显示，对冲基金正加大对软件股的做空力度，成为今年以来该领域惨烈抛售的主要推手之一 这些对冲基金并未选择普遍做空科技板块，而是精确瞄准了那些为客户提供基础自动化服务的公司——这类服务被认为极易被新兴的人工智能工具所取代 这一数据背后是整个行业面临的生存危机。DA Davidson分析师吉尔·卢里亚直言不讳地指出："对冲基金目前对软件板块全是净做空。" 这股做空浪潮与AI技术进步密不可分，市场正日益担忧AI技术将彻底颠覆传统软件商业模式 而投资者们似乎集体认为，软件行业正经历一场深刻的 "结构性变革" ，这可能导致更多的并购活动，包括大型公司对小型企业的收购 对冲基金的做空策略具有极强的针对性。据两家主要对冲基金的消息人士透露，目前做空火力集中于那些业务模式容易被新兴AI工具取代的公司，尤其是 提供基础自动化服务的企业 ...

Core Insights - Hedge funds are increasing short positions in software stocks, contributing to significant sell-offs in the sector this year [1] - Hedge funds have made $24 billion in profits from shorting software stocks since 2026, while the total market capitalization of the U.S. software industry has decreased by $1 trillion during the same period [1] - The focus of short-selling appears to be on companies providing basic automation services, which are at risk of being replaced by new AI tools [1] Group 1 - Hedge funds are currently net short on the software industry, indicating a bearish outlook [2] - The stocks facing the largest short bets include TeraWulf and Asana, with over 35% and 25% of their tradable shares shorted, respectively [2] - Dropbox and Cipher Mining have 19% and 17% of their float shorted [2] Group 2 - The worst-performing stocks in the iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF (IGV) this year include Intuit and DocuSign, both down over 30% [3] - Major stocks within the ETF, such as Microsoft and Oracle, have also suffered, with declines of 15% and 21% respectively, while Salesforce, Adobe, and ServiceNow have dropped over 20% [4] - The recent sell-off was triggered by concerns over AI disruption, particularly following the release of a new tool by AI startup Anthropic [4] Group 3 - Despite the sell-off, there is currently no widespread panic in the credit markets, as corporate revolving credit lines remain untapped [5] - Analysts suggest that market sentiment may shift soon with several software companies set to release earnings reports [6]